A. Italiano vs Nublense Prediction

A. Italiano
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Nublense
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago· Mathias Riquelme, Chile 11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.78
SignalGOODModel43%RiskMediumGap+9.3%
A. Italiano Rest
10 days
Nublense Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.27
X
26%3.23
2
35%3.00
Double Chance
1X
65%1.34
X2
61%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.78
No
39%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.27 = 2.61
Over 1.5
72%1.32
Over 2.5
51%2.03
Over 3.5
30%3.60
Under 1.5
28%3.20
Under 2.5
49%1.73
Under 3.5
70%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.69
Over 9.5
38%2.14
Over 10.5
29%2.85
Under 8.5
47%2.04
Under 9.5
62%1.63
Under 10.5
71%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.7 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
61%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
39%-

Match Events

9'M. RiveraAssist: J. Campusano
33'M. FuentesAssist: C. Pinares
42'E. FerrarioFoul
45+3'P. CalderonFoul
65'B. Soto INA. Uribe out
65'M. Fuentes INM. Sandoval out
67'L. Molina Canto INC. Mansilla out
67'P. Calderon INF. Campos Mosqueira out
69'F. Campos MosqueiraFoul
73'F. Mateos INF. Salomoni out
74'F. Troyansky IND. Coelho out
75'G. Graciani INE. Calderon out
83'P. Guajardo IND. Pizarro out
85'M. OrtizUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'M. Plaza(Penalty)
90+4'M. Plaza INA. Valdes out
90+4'M. Rivera IND. Saavedra out
90+5'D. SaavedraFoul
90+12'C. Pinares(Penalty)
90+13'J. RiberaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

A. Italiano
4-1-3-2Coach: Patricio Graff
Nublense
3-5-2Coach: Jose Ribera Juan
Tomás Ahumada1T. AhumadaTomás Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo35R. RebolledoRaimundo Rebolledo
Enzo Ferrario13E. FerrarioEnzo Ferrario
Marcelo Ortíz29M. OrtízMarcelo Ortíz
Vicente Zenteno2V. ZentenoVicente Zenteno
Bryan Soto32B. SotoBryan Soto
Paolo Guajardo7P. GuajardoPaolo Guajardo
Federico Mateos28F. MateosFederico Mateos
César Pinares19C. PinaresCésar Pinares
Franco Troyansky11F. TroyanskyFranco Troyansky
Michael Vadulli27M. VadulliMichael Vadulli
Nicola Pérez1N. PérezNicola Pérez
Pablo Calderón6P. CalderónPablo Calderón
Osvaldo Bosso4O. BossoOsvaldo Bosso
Sebastián Valencia15S. ValenciaSebastián Valencia
Diego Sanhueza16D. SanhuezaDiego Sanhueza
Lorenzo Reyes21L. ReyesLorenzo Reyes
Matías Plaza10M. PlazaMatías Plaza
Manuel Rivera28M. RiveraManuel Rivera
Jovany Campusano14J. CampusanoJovany Campusano
Gabriel Graciani8G. GracianiGabriel Graciani
Lucas Molina11L. MolinaLucas Molina

A. Italiano Substitutes

30Ariel UribeM
6Mario SandovalM
3Felipe SalomoniD
9Diego CoelhoF
22Damián PizarroF
25Pedro GarridoG
14Diego MonrealD
8Marco CollaoM
17Favian LoyolaM

Nublense Substitutes

5Felipe CamposD
35Christian MansillaM
26Esteban CalderónF
22Alex ValdésM
13Daniel SaavedraM
25Hernán MuñozG
3Carlos SalomónD
27Vicente GuzmánD
36Bastian MuñozM

Match Stats

A. ItalianoNublense
58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
12Fouls20
1Offsides4
0Goalkeeper Saves5
527Total Passes389
440Passes Accurate311
83%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
NublenseNublense
1585Elo Rating 1546
0.83Attack 0.78
1.89Defense 1.04
50%Hit Rate 14%
11.3Shots per Game 11.5
3.1Shots on Target 3.2
4.6Corners per Game 4.3
2.9Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

A. Italiano 56%Draw 0%44% Nublense
2.06Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
34%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Mathias Riquelme, Chile · 24 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
22.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 72% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

A. Italiano vs Nublense Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

A. Italiano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. A. Italiano and Nublense have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.06 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.