A. Italiano vs Nublense Prediction

A. Italiano
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Nublense
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago·Mathias Riquelme, Chile 11/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.78
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
A. Italiano Rest
10 days
Nublense Rest
6 days

A. Italiano vs Nublense: result, form and history

A. Italiano and Nublense drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 11 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

A. Italiano have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. A. Italiano tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 4.0 for Nublense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.27
X
26%3.23
2
35%3.00
Double Chance
1X
65%1.34
X2
61%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.78
No
39%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.34 + 1.27 = 2.61
Over 1.5
72%1.32
Over 2.5
51%2.03
Over 3.5
30%3.60
Under 1.5
28%3.20
Under 2.5
49%1.73
Under 3.5
70%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.4 = 8.7
Over 8.5
53%1.69
Over 9.5
38%2.14
Over 10.5
29%2.85
Under 8.5
47%2.04
Under 9.5
62%1.63
Under 10.5
71%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.7 = 5.5
Over 3.5
79%-
Over 4.5
61%-
Under 3.5
21%-
Under 4.5
39%-

Match Events

9'M. RiveraAssist: J. Campusano
33'M. FuentesAssist: C. Pinares
42'E. FerrarioFoul
45+3'P. CalderonFoul
65'B. Soto INA. Uribe out
65'M. Fuentes INM. Sandoval out
67'L. Molina Canto INC. Mansilla out
67'P. Calderon INF. Campos Mosqueira out
69'F. Campos MosqueiraFoul
73'F. Mateos INF. Salomoni out
74'F. Troyansky IND. Coelho out
75'G. Graciani INE. Calderon out
83'P. Guajardo IND. Pizarro out
85'M. OrtizUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+2'M. Plaza(Penalty)
90+4'M. Plaza INA. Valdes out
90+4'M. Rivera IND. Saavedra out
90+5'D. SaavedraFoul
90+12'C. Pinares(Penalty)
90+13'J. RiberaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

A. Italiano
4-1-3-2Coach: Patricio Graff
Nublense
3-5-2Coach: Jose Ribera Juan
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.73
Tomás Ahumada6.31T. Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo6.935R. Rebolledo
Enzo Ferrario6.213E. Ferrario
Marcelo Ortíz6.229M. Ortíz
Vicente Zenteno6.22V. Zenteno
Bryan Soto6.632B. Soto
Paolo Guajardo6.77P. Guajardo
Federico MateosC6.728F. Mateos
César Pinares8.219C. Pinares
Franco Troyansky6.311F. Troyansky
Michael Vadulli7.627M. Vadulli
Nicola Pérez7.61N. Pérez
Pablo Calderón6.36P. Calderón
Osvaldo Bosso6.24O. Bosso
Sebastián Valencia6.915S. Valencia
Diego Sanhueza6.916D. Sanhueza
Lorenzo ReyesC7.021L. Reyes
Matías Plaza7.210M. Plaza
Manuel Rivera8.528M. Rivera
Jovany Campusano7.214J. Campusano
Gabriel Graciani6.28G. Graciani
Lucas Molina6.211L. Molina

A. Italiano Substitutes

30Ariel Uribe65'for B. Soto6.5
6Mario Sandoval65'for M. Fuentes6.9
3Felipe Salomoni6.2
9Diego Coelho74'for F. Troyansky7.2
22Damián Pizarro83'for P. Guajardo6.7
25Pedro Garrido
14Diego Monreal
8Marco Collao
17Favian Loyola

Nublense Substitutes

5Felipe Campos67'for P. Calderon69'6.2
35Christian Mansilla6.5
26Esteban Calderón6.3
22Alex Valdés90+4'for M. Plaza6.5
13Daniel Saavedra5.9
25Hernán Muñoz
3Carlos Salomón
27Vicente Guzmán
36Bastian Muñoz

Match Stats

A. ItalianoNublense
58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box2
5Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots0
12Fouls20
1Offsides4
0Goalkeeper Saves5
527Total Passes389
440Passes Accurate311
83%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
NublenseNublense
1563Elo Rating 1529
0.42Attack 0.79
1.87Defense 0.89
0%Hit Rate 39%
16.9Shots per Game 12.6
6.7Shots on Target 3.9
6.3Corners per Game 4.0
4.6Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
NublenseNublense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

A. ItalianoA. Italiano6Wins · 60%
Draws110%
NublenseNublense3Wins · 30%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División15/02/2026
NublenseA. Italiano
10
Primera División02/12/2025
A. ItalianoNublense
10
Primera División16/06/2025
NublenseA. Italiano
23
Primera División04/08/2024
A. ItalianoNublense
01
Primera División03/03/2024
NublenseA. Italiano
12
Primera División09/10/2023
A. ItalianoNublense
10
CONMEBOL Sudamericana22/07/2023
A. ItalianoNublense
01
CONMEBOL Sudamericana14/07/2023
NublenseA. Italiano
00
Primera División25/04/2023
NublenseA. Italiano
25
Primera División01/07/2022
NublenseA. Italiano
12

Referee Profile

Mathias Riquelme32 matches

5.26Cards per match
4.81Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mathias Riquelme5.26
Other referees5.68

5.26 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.68).

Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo27194459:30+2961WWDLD
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile27156647:22+2551WLWWW
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica27154856:37+1949WWDLW
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache271241148:40+840LWWDL
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina27117943:35+840LDLWW
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido261151039:35+438WWLWL
7PalestinoPalestino271151139:38+138LLDDL
8ConcepciónConcepción271151130:30038WWLDD
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena27910840:42-237WDWLL
10NublenseNublense27981031:41-1035LLWLL
11HuachipatoHuachipato26961134:41-733LDDWW
12O'HigginsO'Higgins27941432:42-1031LWDLL
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano27791128:36-830LLDDW
14CobresalCobresal27761439:50-1127LDDDW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion27751522:49-2726WLLDL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera27661524:43-1924WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2759:3061
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2747:2251
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2756:3749
4Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2748:4040
5Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2743:3540
6Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2639:3538
7PalestinoPalestino2739:3838
8ConcepciónConcepción2730:3038
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2740:4237
10NublenseNublense2731:4135
11HuachipatoHuachipato2634:4133
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2732:4231
13A. ItalianoA. Italiano2728:3630
14CobresalCobresal2739:5027
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2722:4926
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2724:4324

About the A. Italiano vs Nublense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

A. Italiano and Nublense in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Nublense are 10th and A. Italiano 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: A. Italiano 28-36, Nublense 31-41. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.