Criciuma vs São Bernardo Prediction

Criciuma
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
São Bernardo
B. Arleu 27/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalGOODModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Criciuma Rest
3 days
São Bernardo Rest
5 days

Criciuma vs São Bernardo: result, form and history

Criciuma beat São Bernardo 1-0 in the Serie B on 27 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee B. Arleu averages 5.66 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.67
X
28%3.38
2
20%5.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.13
X2
47%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.25
No
48%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.97 = 2.28
Over 1.5
69%1.44
Over 2.5
44%2.42
Over 3.5
22%4.50
Under 1.5
31%2.60
Under 2.5
56%1.53
Under 3.5
78%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.35
Over 9.5
54%1.58
Over 10.5
42%1.93
Under 8.5
34%2.98
Under 9.5
46%2.26
Under 10.5
58%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 1.9 = 4.4
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
38%1.67
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
62%2.12

Match Events

16'EduardoFoul
26'R. Otero(Penalty)
39'WaguininhoUnsportsmanlike conduct
47'RomissonUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'Dudu MiraimaFoul
60'Dudu Miraima INHyoran out
60'Pablo Dyego IND. Davi out
64'Eduardo INJean Irmer out
67'Rodrigo FerreiraFoul
70'Waguininho INNicolas out
70'R. Otero INJhonata Robert out
71'Echapora INLucas Rian out
78'AugustoFoul
80'Jhonata RobertUnsportsmanlike conduct
81'Willean Lepo INMarcinho out
81'Fellipe Mateus INRomarinho out
81'Felipe Garcia INDaniel Amorim out
81'Foguinho INMarcao Silva out

Team Comparison

CriciumaCriciuma
São BernardoSão Bernardo
1637Elo Rating 1618
1.13Attack 1.70
2.40Defense 1.46
63%Hit Rate 50%
21.1Shots per Game 11.5
3.8Shots on Target 4.2
7.5Corners per Game 6.2
3.1Cards per Game 2.1

Game State Tendencies

CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
São BernardoSão Bernardo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

CriciumaCriciuma
4W5D1L
24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
W
16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D
06/06/2026
CriciumaLondrina
10
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
11
D
10/05/2026
JuventudeCriciuma
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
27/04/2026
CriciumaCRB
31
W
20/04/2026
Fortaleza ECCriciuma
32
L
São BernardoSão Bernardo
6W3D1L
21/06/2026
São BernardoJuventude
01
L
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
07/06/2026
CRBSão Bernardo
23
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
24/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo
01
W
16/05/2026
São BernardoAmerica Mineiro
11
D
13/05/2026
LondrinaSão Bernardo
13
W
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
W
26/04/2026
São BernardoGoias
10
W
18/04/2026
Nautico RecifeSão Bernardo
03
W

Referee Profile

B. Arleu244 matches

5.66Cards per match
5.44Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Arleu5.66
Other referees5.16

5.66 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 201 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
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About the Criciuma vs São Bernardo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Criciuma and São Bernardo in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 4th and São Bernardo 11th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Criciuma 38-31, São Bernardo 52-42. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Criciuma and São Bernardo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.