Novorizontino vs Vila Nova Prediction

Novorizontino
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte·L. Torezin 27/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel29%SurpriseHighGap+6.2%
Novorizontino Rest
3 days
Vila Nova Rest
6 days

Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: the result in context

Novorizontino beat Vila Nova 2-1 in the Serie B on 26 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Vila Nova had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Novorizontino.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee L. Torezin averages 5.71 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.00
X
28%3.17
2
27%3.88
Double Chance
1X
73%1.23
X2
55%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.95
No
48%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.99 = 2.44
Over 1.5
73%1.40
Over 2.5
49%2.25
Over 3.5
24%4.05
Under 1.5
27%2.76
Under 2.5
51%1.61
Under 3.5
76%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
65%1.40
Over 9.5
53%1.63
Over 10.5
41%1.98
Under 8.5
35%2.70
Under 9.5
47%2.10
Under 10.5
59%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
55%-
Over 4.5
36%-
Under 3.5
45%-
Under 4.5
64%-

Match Events

6'Luís OyamaAssist: Robson
31'Penalty cancelledAndré Luís
41'Nathan CamargoAssist: João Pedro Vieira
47'Ryan limaFoul
49'Gabriel Henrique Feitosa da SilvaFoul
59'Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes INJuninho out
60'Raphael Guimarães de Paula INEduardo Dos Santos out
60'Willian Maranhão INMarquinhos Gabriel out
63'Nathan CamargoFoul
67'Eduardo Dos SantosFoul
70'Nathan Camargo INHayner out
70'André Luís INGuilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre out
75'Vinicius INCarlos Henrique de Moura Brito out
75'Leonardo Naldi de Matos INLuiz Otavio Maria out
84'Enderson Alves MoreiraDissent
88'Romulo Azevedo Simão INC. Ortiz out
88'Robson INHelio Cunha Borges out
88'Ryan lima INWillian Prado Camargo out

Extra Time

94'Juninho

Lineups

Novorizontino
Coach: Moreira Enderson
Vila Nova
Coach: Ferreira Guto

Novorizontino Starting XI

93Jordi5.8
20N. Castrillón6.2
4Patrick7.0
66Maykon6.4
6Luis Oyama6'6.8
18Léo Naldi75'for Luiz Otavio Maria6.6
10Romulo88'replaced by C. Ortiz6.7
11Robson88'replaced by Helio Cunha Borges7.7
Avg rating6.72

Vila Nova Starting XI

1Helton Leite5.9
20Nathan Camargo41'63'70'replaced by Hayner88'replaced by Ryan lima6.7
3Tiago Pagnussat6.5
38Caio Marcelo6.2
8Willian Maranhão60'replaced by Marquinhos Gabriel6.0
5João Vieira6.6
99Janderson6.3
7André Luís70'replaced by Guilherme Augusto Alves Dellatorre6.5
Avg rating6.27

Novorizontino Substitutes

9Carlão75'replaced by Vinicius6.5
31César
14Eduardo Brock
77Hélio Borges88'for Robson6.6
22A. Alvariño
50Juninho59'replaced by Francisco Reidiney Duarte Gomes94'8.1
30Nicolas Careca
8C. Ortíz88'for Romulo Azevedo Simão6.4
27Diego Mathias

Vila Nova Substitutes

49Dellatorre70'for André Luís6.2
29Dalberson
22Hayner70'for Nathan Camargo6.1
33Bruno Xavier
10Marquinhos Gabriel60'for Willian Maranhão5.9

Match Stats

NovorizontinoVila Nova
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box5
5Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots5
16Fouls15
3Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves3
373Total Passes363
275Passes Accurate263
74%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
Vila NovaVila Nova
1745Elo Rating 1661
2.27Attack 1.72
2.18Defense 1.38
81%Hit Rate 17%
16.8Shots per Game 14.1
5.9Shots on Target 5.1
5.5Corners per Game 6.1
3.0Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vila NovaVila Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

NovorizontinoNovorizontino3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
Vila NovaVila Nova2Wins · 25%
2.1Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie B28/09/2025
NovorizontinoVila Nova
11
Serie B31/05/2025
Vila NovaNovorizontino
01
Serie B31/08/2024
NovorizontinoVila Nova
20
Serie B15/05/2024
Vila NovaNovorizontino
21
Serie B30/07/2023
NovorizontinoVila Nova
31
Serie B15/04/2023
Vila NovaNovorizontino
21
Serie B30/07/2022
NovorizontinoVila Nova
11
Serie B13/04/2022
Vila NovaNovorizontino
00

Recent Form

NovorizontinoNovorizontino
4W5D1L
23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
W
15/06/2026
NovorizontinoNautico Recife
22
D
11/06/2026
GoiasNovorizontino
04
W
31/05/2026
São BernardoNovorizontino
11
D
28/05/2026
Chapecoense-scNovorizontino
22
D
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
W
21/05/2026
NovorizontinoChapecoense-sc
02
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
11/05/2026
NovorizontinoBotafogo SP
10
W
04/05/2026
AvaiNovorizontino
33
D
Vila NovaVila Nova
6W2D2L
21/06/2026
Vila NovaNautico Recife
43
W
14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
L
09/06/2026
Vila NovaBotafogo SP
10
W
31/05/2026
LondrinaVila Nova
01
W
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
W
17/05/2026
Vila NovaAvai
20
W
09/05/2026
GoiasVila Nova
10
L
05/05/2026
Vila NovaAthletic Club
11
D
26/04/2026
CearaVila Nova
33
D
18/04/2026
Vila NovaOperario-PR
21
W

Referee Profile

L. Torezin129 matches

5.71Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
27.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

L. Torezin5.71
Other referees5.21

5.71 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.21).

Cards come from 76 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3712101540:49-946LWLDL
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3740:4946
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
PromotionRelegation

About the Novorizontino vs Vila Nova forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Novorizontino and Vila Nova in the Serie B table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Novorizontino are 1st in the Serie B, 4 points ahead of Vila Nova in 3rd. League goal record so far: Novorizontino 66-32, Vila Nova 53-38. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Novorizontino have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.