Juventude vs Ceara Prediction

Juventude
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Ceara
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul·L. Casagrande 28/06/2026
JuventudeJuventude
2-0
Finished
CearaCeara

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+0.4%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.44
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Juventude Rest
6 days
Ceara Rest
7 days

Juventude vs Ceara: the result in context

Juventude beat Ceara 2-0 in the Serie B on 28 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Juventude had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Ceara.

Juventude have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.05
X
24%3.02
2
20%3.90
Double Chance
1X
80%1.25
X2
44%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.05
No
48%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 0.84 = 2.59
Over 1.5
73%1.44
Over 2.5
49%2.45
Over 3.5
27%4.50
Under 1.5
27%2.62
Under 2.5
51%1.53
Under 3.5
73%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
59%1.43
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
35%2.10
Under 8.5
41%2.60
Under 9.5
53%2.00
Under 10.5
65%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.91
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%1.80

Match Events

13'Diogo Barbosa INGabriel Pinheiro out
26'Alisson SafiraAssist: Marcos Paulo
34'Gabriel PinheiroAssist: Rai Silva
46'Pedro Esli INCaio out
63'Joao Gabriel INLuiz Otavio out
63'R. Ramos INEnzo Lodovico out
64'MP INMandaca out
64'Rai Silva INM. Castro out
67'Matheusinho INKaua Ziegler out
68'Enzo LodovicoFoul
78'Alisson Safira INWadson out
78'Fabio Lima INLuan Martins out
78'Melk INWendel Silva out

Team Comparison

JuventudeJuventude
CearaCeara
1707Elo Rating 1591
2.68Attack 0.76
2.15Defense 1.81
58%Hit Rate 31%
17.3Shots per Game 13.7
6.5Shots on Target 3.8
4.6Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

JuventudeJuventude
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CearaCeara
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

JuventudeJuventude5Wins · 63%
Draws112%
CearaCeara2Wins · 25%
2.1Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie A30/08/2025
CearaJuventude
01
Serie A12/04/2025
JuventudeCeara
21
Serie B25/11/2023
CearaJuventude
13
Serie B23/07/2023
JuventudeCeara
10
Serie A13/11/2022
CearaJuventude
41
Serie A24/07/2022
JuventudeCeara
10
Serie A23/10/2021
JuventudeCeara
00
Serie A04/07/2021
CearaJuventude
20

Recent Form

JuventudeJuventude
5W3D2L
21/06/2026
São BernardoJuventude
01
W
14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
W
06/06/2026
Operario-PRJuventude
21
L
30/05/2026
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
30
W
24/05/2026
JuventudeSport Recife
01
L
17/05/2026
Athletic ClubJuventude
11
D
14/05/2026
JuventudeSao Paulo
31
W
10/05/2026
JuventudeCriciuma
00
D
03/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseJuventude
00
D
26/04/2026
JuventudeLondrina
10
W
CearaCeara
2W2D6L
21/06/2026
CearaBotafogo SP
01
L
16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D
11/06/2026
CearaAvai
21
W
31/05/2026
CearaOperario-PR
12
L
23/05/2026
NovorizontinoCeara
21
L
17/05/2026
CearaFortaleza EC
21
W
14/05/2026
CearaAtletico-MG
2241
L
10/05/2026
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
L
03/05/2026
Sport RecifeCeara
20
L
26/04/2026
CearaVila Nova
33
D

Referee Profile

L. Casagrande71 matches

4.58Cards per match
4.35Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
27.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

L. Casagrande4.58
Other referees5.07

4.58 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.07).

Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino361910764:31+3367WWDWW
2JuventudeJuventude361811747:25+2265DWDDW
3Vila NovaVila Nova36189952:38+1463DLDWD
4CriciumaCriciuma361881038:30+862WLWWL
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC361614643:31+1262DDWDW
6CRBCRB361671354:51+355LWLDW
7GoiasGoias361671338:41-355WWDWW
8Sport RecifeSport Recife361413948:39+955DWLDW
9Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense361413942:33+955DLDDL
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3614101251:40+1152WWLDL
11Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
12Operario-PROperario-PR361491346:48-251LWLLL
13CuiabaCuiaba3611141133:30+347LLLLD
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3611141142:41+147WLDDL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3612101440:46-646WLDLL
16CearaCeara3611101538:46-843LLDLW
17AvaiAvai361071933:46-1337LLDWW
18LondrinaLondrina37882145:58-1332LLLWD
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro36752426:55-2926WWWLL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta36362721:78-5715LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3664:3167
2JuventudeJuventude3647:2565
3Vila NovaVila Nova3652:3863
4CriciumaCriciuma3638:3062
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3643:3162
6CRBCRB3654:5155
7GoiasGoias3638:4155
8Sport RecifeSport Recife3648:3955
9Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3642:3355
10São BernardoSão Bernardo3651:4052
11Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
12Operario-PROperario-PR3646:4851
13CuiabaCuiaba3633:3047
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3642:4147
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3640:4646
16CearaCeara3638:4643
17AvaiAvai3633:4637
18LondrinaLondrina3745:5832
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3626:5526
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3621:7815
PromotionRelegation

About the Juventude vs Ceara forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Juventude and Ceara in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Juventude are 2nd and Ceara 16th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Juventude 47-25, Ceara 38-46. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Juventude have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.