Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta Prediction

B. Machado 28/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalSTRONGModel100%SurpriseLowGap+12.6%
Atletico Goianiense Rest
9 days
Ponte Preta Rest
5 days

Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta: result, form and history

Atletico Goianiense beat Ponte Preta 2-0 in the Serie B on 28 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Referee B. Machado averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
83%1.42
X
11%4.10
2
6%7.50
Double Chance
1X
94%1.08
X2
17%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.12
No
48%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.26 + 0.76 = 3.02
Over 1.5
85%1.29
Over 2.5
63%1.95
Over 3.5
45%3.40
Under 1.5
15%3.25
Under 2.5
37%1.82
Under 3.5
55%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.5
66%1.33
Over 9.5
54%1.54
Over 10.5
44%1.85
Under 8.5
34%3.00
Under 9.5
46%2.28
Under 10.5
56%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.8
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%1.91

Match Events

18'Gustavo Coutinho(Penalty)
20'Gustavo CoutinhoAssist: Bruno Jose
25'CristianoFoul
37'Andre LimaFoul
46'Willian Pottker INBrandao out
46'Rodriguinho INDiego Porfirio out
58'Baianinho INJonathan Cafu out
70'Tito INNata out
70'Cristiano INAssis out
74'M. L. Diego INJuan Rodrigues out
82'Leo Gomes INGustavo Telles out
85'Geovany Soares INLeo Jaco out
88'Ewerthon INFelipe Guimaraes out

Team Comparison

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1650Elo Rating 1339
0.50Attack 0.82
1.99Defense 0.70
0%Hit Rate 0%
23.3Shots per Game 9.8
4.4Shots on Target 4.3
10.4Corners per Game 3.0
2.8Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+311 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Ponte PretaPonte Preta0Wins · 0%
1.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Copa Do Brasil19/03/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
10
Serie B15/10/2023
Ponte PretaAtletico Goianiense
02
Serie B24/06/2023
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
10

Recent Form

Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense
3W5D2L
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
13/06/2026
Atletico GoianienseCRB
33
D
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
W
30/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseGoias
11
D
24/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseSão Bernardo
01
L
17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
11
D
15/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseAtletico Paranaense
1040
L
10/05/2026
CearaAtletico Goianiense
01
W
03/05/2026
Atletico GoianienseJuventude
00
D
27/04/2026
Atletico GoianienseAvai
21
W
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
2W1D7L
23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L
14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
L
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
W
19/04/2026
AvaiPonte Preta
12
W

Referee Profile

B. Machado211 matches

6.06Cards per match
5.77Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Machado6.06
Other referees5.14

6.06 cards a match, 0.92 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 161 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
10Operario-PROperario-PR371591349:50-154WLWLL
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3714101352:42+1052LWWLD
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3711141244:44047LWLDD
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta37362821:79-5815LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
10Operario-PROperario-PR3749:5054
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3752:4252
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
14Athletic ClubAthletic Club3744:4447
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3721:7915
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About the Atletico Goianiense vs Ponte Preta forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Goianiense and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Atletico Goianiense are 8th and Ponte Preta 20th, 43 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Goianiense 45-35, Ponte Preta 21-79. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.