Criciuma vs Sport Recife Prediction

Criciuma
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
B. Vasconcelos 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-2.6%
Criciuma Rest
7 days
Sport Recife Rest
5 days

Criciuma vs Sport Recife: the result in context

Criciuma beat Sport Recife 1-0 in the Serie B on 4 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Criciuma had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sport Recife.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Criciuma tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 3.3 for Sport Recife.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.96
X
31%3.20
2
21%4.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.22
X2
52%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.91
No
50%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.88 = 2.30
Over 1.5
70%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.21
Over 3.5
23%4.00
Under 1.5
30%2.80
Under 2.5
57%1.63
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.2 = 10
Over 8.5
62%1.26
Over 9.5
52%1.47
Over 10.5
41%1.83
Under 8.5
38%3.38
Under 9.5
48%2.46
Under 10.5
59%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
51%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
49%-

Match Events

3'ThiaguinhoFoul
14'Goal Disallowed - offsideWaguininho
29'Waguininho
32'WaguininhoUnsportsmanlike conduct
33'BenevenutoFoul
36'Pedro MartinsUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'Thiaguinho INJean Irmer out
46'Pedro Martins INFabio Matheus out
46'de Pena Carlos INIury Castilho out
51'Chrystian BarlettaUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'Cesar MartinsFoul
59'Jean IrmerFoul
63'Cesar Martins INBruno Alves out
63'R. Otero INJhonata Robert out
77'Marcelo Ajul INMarlon Douglas out
79'Waguininho INRomarinho out
83'Biel Fonseca INYago Felipe out
83'Madson INAugusto out
90+3'Gui Lobo INCaue Santos out

Lineups

Criciuma
3-4-3Coach: Eduardo Baptista
Sport Recife
3-4-3Coach: Márcio Goiano
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.55
Airton6.832Airton
César Martins6.537C. Martins
Rodrigo6.73Rodrigo
Luciano Castán6.54L. Castán
Marcelo Hermes6.622M. Hermes
R. Otero6.991R. Otero
Waguininho6.413Waguininho
Fellipe Mateus6.27F. Mateus
Thiago Couto7.126T. Couto
Marcelo Benevenuto6.55M. Benevenuto
Zé Marcos6.14Z. Marcos
Madson6.413Madson
Biel6.36Biel
Felipinho6.660Felipinho
Chrystian Barletta6.630C. Barletta
Perotti6.89Perotti
C. de Pena6.410C. de Pena

Criciuma Substitutes

11Romarinho79'for Waguininho
88Cauê
34Bruno Alves63'for Cesar Martins
10Jhonata Robert63'for R. Otero
21João Carlos
1Alisson

Sport Recife Substitutes

95Iury Castilho46'for de Pena Carlos
1Halls
11Gustavo Maia
47Fábio Matheus46'replaced by Pedro Martins
7Yago Felipe83'for Biel Fonseca
35Clayson
31Marlon77'replaced by Marcelo Ajul
28Habraão
23Zé Gabriel

Match Stats

CriciumaSport Recife
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
13Fouls17
6Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves3
296Total Passes360
217Passes Accurate279
73%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

CriciumaCriciuma
Sport RecifeSport Recife
1637Elo Rating 1599
1.13Attack 1.18
2.40Defense 1.81
63%Hit Rate 37%
21.1Shots per Game 14.6
3.8Shots on Target 4.7
7.5Corners per Game 3.3
3.1Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CriciumaCriciuma
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Sport RecifeSport Recife
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

CriciumaCriciuma1Wins · 25%
Draws375%
Sport RecifeSport Recife0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie B10/09/2023
Sport RecifeCriciuma
33
Serie B25/05/2023
CriciumaSport Recife
10
Serie B03/08/2022
Sport RecifeCriciuma
11
Serie B23/04/2022
CriciumaSport Recife
11

Recent Form

CriciumaCriciuma
5W5D0L
27/06/2026
CriciumaSão Bernardo
10
W
24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
W
16/06/2026
CriciumaCeara
11
D
06/06/2026
CriciumaLondrina
10
W
30/05/2026
AvaiCriciuma
12
W
25/05/2026
Operario-PRCriciuma
11
D
17/05/2026
CriciumaAtletico Goianiense
11
D
10/05/2026
JuventudeCriciuma
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
27/04/2026
CriciumaCRB
31
W
Sport RecifeSport Recife
4W3D3L
28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
L
19/06/2026
Sport RecifeAtletico Goianiense
11
D
14/06/2026
São BernardoSport Recife
00
D
11/06/2026
Sport RecifeAthletic Club
11
D
31/05/2026
Sport RecifeNautico Recife
20
W
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
L
24/05/2026
JuventudeSport Recife
01
W
21/05/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
12
W
18/05/2026
Sport RecifeCRB
12
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
W

Referee Profile

B. Vasconcelos94 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.15Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
25.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

B. Vasconcelos5.40
Other referees5.22

5.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).

Cards come from 52 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Criciuma vs Sport Recife forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Criciuma and Sport Recife in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Criciuma are 4th and Sport Recife 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Criciuma 38-31, Sport Recife 50-42. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.