Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta Prediction

Fortaleza EC
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalHIGHModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Fortaleza EC Rest
4 days
Ponte Preta Rest
4 days

Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta: the result in context

Fortaleza EC beat Ponte Preta 2-0 in the Serie B on 3 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Fortaleza EC had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Ponte Preta.

Referee F. Fernandes de Lima averages 5.65 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
67%1.30
X
19%5.00
2
14%9.70
Double Chance
1X
86%1.05
X2
33%3.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.14
No
56%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 0.79 = 2.38
Over 1.5
70%1.22
Over 2.5
49%1.75
Over 3.5
25%2.80
Under 1.5
30%3.95
Under 2.5
51%2.05
Under 3.5
75%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.35
Over 9.5
46%1.63
Over 10.5
34%2.01
Under 8.5
42%2.83
Under 9.5
54%2.13
Under 10.5
66%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.7 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%-
Over 4.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
32%-
Under 4.5
49%1.91

Match Events

43'Luiz FernandoUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'S. PalaciosUnsportsmanlike conduct
45'BaianinhoFoul
46'Baianinho INDiego Tavares out
54'PierreFoul
60'J. B. MiritelloAssist: Luiz Fernando
63'Pierre INLucas Sasha out
64'Mauricio Junior INLucca Prior out
64'Diego Porfirio INDavid da Hora out
66'Lucas GazalFoul
76'Kevyson INJuan Rodrigues out
78'Welliton INPaulo Baya out
79'Rodriguinho INMailton out
82'Brandao INRodriguinho out
83'Marcio Silva INJonathan Cafu out
84'MailtonAssist: Lucas Sasha
85'Rodrigo INRyan out
89'Diego TavaresFoul
90+4'Lucca PriorFoul

Team Comparison

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1701Elo Rating 1339
1.32Attack 0.82
2.21Defense 0.70
34%Hit Rate 0%
14.3Shots per Game 9.8
3.7Shots on Target 4.3
6.2Corners per Game 3.0
2.7Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+362 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)

Recent Form

Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC
4W1D5L
28/06/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
21
W
21/06/2026
CRBFortaleza EC
11
D
17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
L
10/06/2026
Nautico RecifeFortaleza EC
01
W
06/06/2026
VitoriaFortaleza EC
21
L
03/06/2026
Fortaleza ECVitoria
12
L
30/05/2026
Athletic ClubFortaleza EC
10
L
28/05/2026
Sport RecifeFortaleza EC
02
W
23/05/2026
Fortaleza ECLondrina
30
W
21/05/2026
Fortaleza ECSport Recife
12
L
Ponte PretaPonte Preta
1W1D8L
28/06/2026
Atletico GoianiensePonte Preta
20
L
23/06/2026
Ponte PretaNovorizontino
02
L
14/06/2026
JuventudePonte Preta
30
L
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
L
02/06/2026
Ponte PretaBotafogo SP
00
D
24/05/2026
CRBPonte Preta
42
L
19/05/2026
Ponte PretaLondrina
14
L
09/05/2026
Ponte PretaSport Recife
13
L
03/05/2026
São BernardoPonte Preta
30
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
W

Referee Profile

F. Fernandes de Lima185 matches

5.65Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
31.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

F. Fernandes de Lima5.65
Other referees5.13

5.65 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.13).

Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Fortaleza EC and Ponte Preta in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Fortaleza EC are 5th and Ponte Preta 20th, 47 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortaleza EC 44-33, Ponte Preta 21-81. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortaleza EC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortaleza EC and Ponte Preta have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.