Cuiaba vs America Mineiro Prediction

Cuiaba
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
America Mineiro
Arena Pantanal·F. Rodrigues 03/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Cuiaba Rest
6 days
America Mineiro Rest
5 days

Cuiaba vs America Mineiro: result, form and history

Cuiaba beat America Mineiro 1-0 in the Serie B on 3 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Cuiaba had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for America Mineiro.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Cuiaba tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 3.9 for America Mineiro.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.83
X
22%3.20
2
19%4.70
Double Chance
1X
81%1.18
X2
41%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.15
No
48%1.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.81 = 2.62
Over 1.5
73%1.46
Over 2.5
49%2.45
Over 3.5
28%4.78
Under 1.5
27%2.58
Under 2.5
51%1.52
Under 3.5
72%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.46
Over 9.5
50%1.83
Over 10.5
37%2.18
Under 8.5
39%2.48
Under 9.5
50%1.86
Under 10.5
63%1.58
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
58%1.65
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
42%2.15

Match Events

46'Vitor Mendes INRodrigo Rodrigues out
46'Dalbert INL. Montes out
60'Felipe AmaralFoul
61'Weverson INMarcos Junior out
61'Marlon INEric Melo out
66'Felipe Amaral INJorge Jimenez out
74'Vinicius Peixoto INAiyran out
79'Pepe INDavid Miguel out
82'Willian Bigode INGonzalo Mastriani out
82'Yago Souza INEverton Brito out
89'Eric MeloFoul
90'Aiyran
90+5'Eduardo Person INPaulo Victor out
90+8'Umberto LouzerUnsportsmanlike conduct

Match Stats

CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots0
10Fouls12
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
460Total Passes381
393Passes Accurate317
85%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

CuiabaCuiaba
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1583Elo Rating 1489
0.27Attack 1.23
1.87Defense 2.42
0%Hit Rate 69%
21.1Shots per Game 9.9
5.1Shots on Target 3.2
8.6Corners per Game 3.9
0.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CuiabaCuiaba
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

CuiabaCuiaba3Wins · 38%
Draws337%
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro2Wins · 25%
2.6Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Serie B16/11/2025
America MineiroCuiaba
11
Serie B24/07/2025
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
31
Serie A16/09/2023
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
22
Serie A07/05/2023
America MineiroCuiaba
12
Serie A29/09/2022
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
21
Serie A04/06/2022
America MineiroCuiaba
21
Serie A02/10/2021
CuiabaAmerica Mineiro
02
Serie A17/06/2021
America MineiroCuiaba
00

Recent Form

CuiabaCuiaba
3W5D2L
26/06/2026
CuiabaLondrina
22
D
21/06/2026
AvaiCuiaba
10
L
14/06/2026
CuiabaVila Nova
10
W
10/06/2026
Ponte PretaCuiaba
12
W
01/06/2026
CuiabaCRB
20
W
23/05/2026
Nautico RecifeCuiaba
10
L
17/05/2026
CuiabaNovorizontino
00
D
09/05/2026
Athletic ClubCuiaba
00
D
02/05/2026
CuiabaCriciuma
11
D
23/04/2026
CuiabaBotafogo SP
11
D
America MineiroAmerica Mineiro
1W1D8L
27/06/2026
Operario-PRAmerica Mineiro
10
L
24/06/2026
America MineiroCriciuma
01
L
17/06/2026
Fortaleza ECAmerica Mineiro
03
W
09/06/2026
America MineiroAtletico Goianiense
12
L
30/05/2026
JuventudeAmerica Mineiro
30
L
24/05/2026
America MineiroVila Nova
12
L
16/05/2026
São BernardoAmerica Mineiro
11
D
10/05/2026
Nautico RecifeAmerica Mineiro
40
L
04/05/2026
America MineiroCRB
12
L
25/04/2026
Ponte PretaAmerica Mineiro
10
L

Referee Profile

F. Rodrigues11 matches analysed

4.41Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 47% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino372010766:32+3470WWWDW
2JuventudeJuventude371911749:26+2368WDWDD
3Vila NovaVila Nova37199953:38+1566WDLDW
4CriciumaCriciuma371881138:31+762LWLWW
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC371614744:33+1162LDDWD
6CRBCRB371771357:51+658WLWLD
7GoiasGoias371771339:41-258WWWDW
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense371513945:35+1058WDLDD
9Operario-PROperario-PR381691351:50+157WWLWL
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3714131050:42+855LDWLD
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3814111354:44+1053DLWWL
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP371491445:39+651WDWWW
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3811151246:46048DLWLD
14CuiabaCuiaba3711141234:32+247LLLLL
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3812101641:51-1046LLWLD
16CearaCeara3711101638:47-943LLLDL
17AvaiAvai371171935:47-1240WLLDW
18LondrinaLondrina38982147:59-1235WLLLW
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro37852427:55-2829WWWWL
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta38362921:81-6015LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1NovorizontinoNovorizontino3766:3270
2JuventudeJuventude3749:2668
3Vila NovaVila Nova3753:3866
4CriciumaCriciuma3738:3162
5Fortaleza ECFortaleza EC3744:3362
6CRBCRB3757:5158
7GoiasGoias3739:4158
8Atletico GoianienseAtletico Goianiense3745:3558
9Operario-PROperario-PR3851:5057
10Sport RecifeSport Recife3750:4255
11São BernardoSão Bernardo3854:4453
12Botafogo SPBotafogo SP3745:3951
13Athletic ClubAthletic Club3846:4648
14CuiabaCuiaba3734:3247
15Nautico RecifeNautico Recife3841:5146
16CearaCeara3738:4743
17AvaiAvai3735:4740
18LondrinaLondrina3847:5935
19America MineiroAmerica Mineiro3727:5529
20Ponte PretaPonte Preta3821:8115
PromotionRelegation

About the Cuiaba vs America Mineiro forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Cuiaba and America Mineiro in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Cuiaba are 14th and America Mineiro 19th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Cuiaba 34-32, America Mineiro 27-55. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.