Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC Prediction
South Korea · Regular Season - 32
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Daejeon Citizen Rest
4 days
Gwangju FC Rest
7 days
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC: the result in context
Daejeon Citizen beat Gwangju FC 3-2 in the K League 1 on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Daejeon Citizen tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 1.4 for Gwangju FC.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
166%1.40
X20%4.75
214%6.90
Double Chance
1X86%1.09
X234%2.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.75
No47%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.9 = 2.73
Over 1.578%1.16
Over 2.558%1.56
Over 3.537%2.35
Under 1.522%4.65
Under 2.542%2.35
Under 3.563%1.52
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
3'John IredaleAssist: Kwon Sung-yun
28'John IredaleAssist: Kim Dong-Hwa
29'Masatoshi Ishida INDiogo Oliveira out
31'Yu Je-HoFoul
45'Yu Je-Ho INRi Yong-jik out
45'Um Won-Sang INSeo Jin-Su out
61'Ha Seung-un INMoon Min-Seo out
61'Ri Yong-jikFoul
73'John Iredale INPark Won-Jae out
73'Min Sang-gi INAhn Young-Kyu out
73'Lee Min-Ki INKim Jong-Suk out
74'Seo Jin-Su (Penalty)
74'Kim Dong-HwaFoul
78'Diogo OliveiraAssist: Gustav Ludwigson
85'Joo Min-Kyu INJeong Jae-hee out
Lineups
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
4-4-2Coach: Jeong-kyu LeeAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Chang-Geun
33K. Moon-Hwan
4J. Seong-Kwon
98A. Krivotsyuk
16L. Myung-Jae
30K. Bong-Soo
6K. Yun-Sung
11U. Won-Sang
7M. Ishida
17G. Ludwigson
10J. Min-Kyu
23K. Dong-Hwa
22K. Sung-Yun
4T. van Grunsven
39M. Sang-Gi
3L. Min-Gi
40S. Chang-Moo
10C. Kyoung-Rok
14Y. Je-Ho
9H. Seung-Un
50A. Ba Loua
18J. IredaleDaejeon Citizen Substitutes
9Diogo de Oliveira29'for Masatoshi Ishida78'
27Jeong Jae-Hee85'for Joo Min-Kyu
13Kim Jin-Ya
14Kim Jun-Bum
31Kim Min-Soo
20Lee Hyun-Sik
26Lee Jung-Taek
41Park Byung-chan
19Seo Jin-Su45'for Um Won-Sang74'
Gwangju FC Substitutes
70Kim Woo-jin
88Moon Min-seo61'for Ha Seung-un
33Park Won-Jae73'for John Iredale
37Lee Yong-Jick45'for Yu Je-Ho61'
1Kim Kyeong-Min
8Ju Se-Jong
17João Pedro
6Ahn Young-Kyu73'for Min Sang-gi
21Kim Jong-Suk73'for Lee Min-Ki
Match Stats
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC 60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
20Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box8
9Shots Outside Box5
8Blocked Shots2
6Fouls10
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
423Total Passes276
239Passes Accurate128
8Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC1667Elo Rating 1474
1.89Attack 2.52
1.77Defense 1.26
66%Hit Rate 46%
13.0Shots per Game 13.2
5.1Shots on Target 4.9
4.9Corners per Game 1.4
0.9Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+192 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Daejeon Citizen- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Gwangju FC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Daejeon Citizen4Wins · 40%Draws330%
Gwangju FC3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
02/08/2026Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC20
02/05/2026Gwangju FCDaejeon Citizen05
17/08/2025Gwangju FCDaejeon Citizen20
22/06/2025Gwangju FCDaejeon Citizen22
29/03/2025Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC11
02/11/2024Gwangju FCDaejeon Citizen00
01/09/2024Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC20
22/06/2024Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC21
06/05/2024Gwangju FCDaejeon Citizen21
04/08/2023Gwangju FCDaejeon Citizen30
Recent Form
Daejeon Citizen6W3D1L
13/10/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGDaejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen
Jeonbuk MotorsDaejeon Citizen
Kyoto SangaDaejeon Citizen
Ulsan Hyundai FC
SHANGHAI SIPGDaejeon Citizen11
D09/10/2026Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk Motors21
W20/09/2026
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
15/09/2026Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen11
DDaejeon CitizenKyoto Sanga10
W12/09/2026Daejeon Citizen
Pohang Steelers
Daejeon CitizenPohang Steelers22
D09/09/2026Daejeon Citizen
FC Anyang
Daejeon CitizenFC Anyang32
W05/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon Citizen
Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon Citizen05
W30/08/2026
Jeju United FCDaejeon Citizen
26/08/2026Jeju United FCDaejeon Citizen31
LDaejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FC21
W23/08/2026Daejeon Citizen
Gangwon FC
Daejeon CitizenGangwon FC30
WGwangju FC2W4D4L
11/10/2026Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FCJeonbuk MotorsGwangju FCGwangju FC
FC SeoulGwangju FCPohang Steelers
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC43
W20/09/2026Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC22
D13/09/2026Gwangju FCFC Anyang
Gwangju FCFC Anyang11
D09/09/2026Gwangju FCJeju United FC
Gwangju FCJeju United FC01
L06/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
30/08/2026Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC22
DGwangju FCFC Seoul25
L26/08/2026Gangwon FCGwangju FC
Gangwon FCGwangju FC22
D23/08/2026Gwangju FCIncheon United
Gwangju FCIncheon United01
L19/08/2026
Ulsan CitizenGwangju FC
15/08/2026Ulsan CitizenGwangju FC01
WGwangju FCPohang Steelers12
LReferee Profile
3.45Cards per match
3.33Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
20.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.45 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.56).
Cards come from 55 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
K-League: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 61:29 | +32 | 67 | DDWLW |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 52:47 | +5 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 53:41 | +12 | 49 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43:33 | +10 | 48 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40:30 | +10 | 48 | DDWDL |
| 6 | Incheon United | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 43:35 | +8 | 46 | WDWDD |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | +2 | 46 | LLLWD |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 | DDWWD |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 42 | DDLWD |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 | LDLWD |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 32 | LLLLD |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 30:69 | -39 | 21 | WLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 33 | 61:29 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 33 | 52:47 | 51 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 33 | 53:41 | 49 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 43:33 | 48 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 40:30 | 48 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 33 | 43:35 | 46 |
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 33 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 33 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 33 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 33:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 30:69 | 21 |
K-League: Championship Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 61:29 | +32 | 67 | DDWLW |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 52:47 | +5 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 53:41 | +12 | 49 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43:33 | +10 | 48 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 40:30 | +10 | 48 | DDWDL |
| 6 | Incheon United | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 43:35 | +8 | 46 | WDWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 33 | 61:29 | 67 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 33 | 52:47 | 51 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 33 | 53:41 | 49 |
| 4 | Jeonbuk Motors | 33 | 43:33 | 48 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 33 | 40:30 | 48 |
| 6 | Incheon United | 33 | 43:35 | 46 |
K-League: Relegation Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 39:37 | +2 | 46 | LLLWD |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40:48 | -8 | 43 | DDWWD |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 42 | DDLWD |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 5 | 19 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 34 | LDLWD |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 32 | LLLLD |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 30:69 | -39 | 21 | WLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jeju United FC | 33 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 8 | FC Anyang | 33 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 33 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 33 | 33:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 33 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 33 | 30:69 | 21 |
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More K League 1 matches
- FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC 10/10/26
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Anyang 10/10/26
- Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC 11/10/26
- Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 17/10/26
- Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC 18/10/26
- FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC 18/10/26
- Gangwon FC vs Incheon United 18/10/26
- Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang 18/10/26
About the Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC forecast
The forecasts for this K League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Daejeon Citizen and Gwangju FC in the K League 1 table
The table shows a wide gap: Daejeon Citizen are 3rd in the K League 1, while Gwangju FC sit 12th, 28 points behind. League goal record so far: Daejeon Citizen 53-41, Gwangju FC 30-69. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.