Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC Prediction

Gwangju Football Stadium, Gwangju·Lee Dong-jun 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.18
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Gwangju FC Rest
20 days
Ulsan Hyundai FC Rest
21 days

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: result, form and history

Gwangju FC beat Ulsan Hyundai FC 4-3 in the K League 1 on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Ulsan Hyundai FC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Gwangju FC.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Ulsan Hyundai FC tend to win more corners, 8.7 a game to 1.4 for Gwangju FC.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.72
X
25%4.08
2
53%1.62
Double Chance
1X
47%2.17
X2
78%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 1.57 = 2.63
Over 1.5
78%1.15
Over 2.5
56%1.57
Over 3.5
35%2.38
Under 1.5
22%4.80
Under 2.5
44%2.33
Under 3.5
65%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

30'Yago Cariello RibeiroAssist: Darijan Bojanić
36'Adriel D'Avila Ba LouaAssist: Ha Seung-un
39'John IredaleAssist: Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua
43'Kim Young-GwonAssist: Lee Dong-gyeong
45'Choi Seok-hyeon INMiłosz Trojak out
64'Ha Seung-un INMoon Min-Seo out
66'Shin Chang-mooAssist: Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua
76'Choi Kyoung-Rok INJu Se-Jong out
76'Min Sang-gi INPark Won-Jae out
76'Kwon Sung-yun INAhn Young-Kyu out
77'Adriel D'Avila Ba LouaAssist: Lee Min-Ki
78'Darijan Bojanić INLee Gyu-sung out
83'Erick Farias INLee Jin-Hyun out
83'Jang Si-young INYoon Jong-Gyu out
88'Lee Dong-gyeong INLee Hui-gyun out
89'Teun van Grunsven INRi Yong-jik out
90+4'Kim Dong-HwaFoul
90+7'Yago Cariello Ribeiro(Penalty)

Lineups

Gwangju FC
4-4-2Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee
Ulsan Hyundai FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Kim Hyun-Seok
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating5.91
Kim Dong-Hwa5.823K. Dong-Hwa
Kwon Sung-Yun6.622K. Sung-Yun
Min Sang-Gi6.539M. Sang-Gi
T. van Grunsven6.24T. van Grunsven
Lee Min-Gi6.13L. Min-Gi
Shin Chang-Moo6.940S. Chang-Moo
Choi Kyoung-Rok6.310C. Kyoung-Rok
Yu Je-Ho6.314Y. Je-Ho
Ha Seung-Un6.29H. Seung-Un
A. Ba Loua8.650A. Ba Loua
J. Iredale7.018J. Iredale
Jo Hyeon-Woo5.521J. Hyeon-Woo
Choi Seok-Hyun5.396C. Seok-Hyun
Jung Seung-Hyun5.615J. Seung-Hyun
Kim Young-Gwon6.419K. Young-Gwon
Cho Hyun-Taek5.926C. Hyun-Taek
D. Bojanić6.26D. Bojanić
T. Oude Kotte5.855T. Oude Kotte
Jang Si-Young6.033J. Si-Young
Lee Dong-Gyeong6.210L. Dong-Gyeong
Erick Farias5.411E. Farias
Yago Cariello7.199Y. Cariello

Gwangju FC Substitutes

6Ahn Young-Kyu76'for Kwon Sung-yun5.9
11H. Friðjónsson
8Ju Se-Jong76'for Choi Kyoung-Rok5.8
70Kim Woo-jin
1Kim Kyeong-Min
37Lee Yong-Jick89'for Teun van Grunsven5.5
88Moon Min-seo64'for Ha Seung-un5.7
33Park Won-Jae76'for Min Sang-gi5.9
17João Pedro

Ulsan Hyundai FC Substitutes

72Back In-Woo
1Choi Ju-ho
17Kang Sang-Woo
14Lee Jin-Hyun83'for Erick Farias5.9
24Lee Gyu-Sung78'for Darijan Bojanić6.1
28Lee Jae-Ik
8Lee Hui-Gyun88'for Lee Dong-gyeong5.8
66M. Trojak45'for Choi Seok-hyeon5.7
2Yoon Jong-Gyu83'for Jang Si-young5.7

Team Comparison

Gwangju FCGwangju FC
Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC
1474Elo Rating 1572
2.52Attack 2.03
1.26Defense 0.98
46%Hit Rate 37%
13.2Shots per Game 15.0
4.9Shots on Target 5.6
1.4Corners per Game 8.7
2.3Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gwangju FCGwangju FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gwangju FCGwangju FC2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 105/07/2026
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
11
K League 119/04/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCGwangju FC
51
K League 122/11/2025
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
20
K League 118/10/2025
Ulsan Hyundai FCGwangju FC
20
FA Cup02/07/2025
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
10
K League 128/05/2025
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
11
K League 102/05/2025
Ulsan Hyundai FCGwangju FC
30
FA Cup28/08/2024
Ulsan Hyundai FCGwangju FC
22
K League 125/08/2024
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
01
FA Cup21/08/2024
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
01

Recent Form

Gwangju FCGwangju FC
1W5D4L
20/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
22
D
13/09/2026
Gwangju FCFC Anyang
11
D
09/09/2026
Gwangju FCJeju United FC
01
L
06/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
22
D
30/08/2026
Gwangju FCFC Seoul
25
L
26/08/2026
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
22
D
23/08/2026
Gwangju FCIncheon United
01
L
19/08/2026
Ulsan CitizenGwangju FC
01
W
15/08/2026
Gwangju FCPohang Steelers
12
L
08/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
00
D
Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC
5W1D4L
19/09/2026
FC AnyangUlsan Hyundai FC
21
L
12/09/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
21
W
08/09/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCFC Seoul
10
W
05/09/2026
Jeju United FCUlsan Hyundai FC
00
D
29/08/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
31
W
26/08/2026
Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FC
21
L
22/08/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsUlsan Hyundai FC
10
L
16/08/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCGangwon FC
23
L
08/08/2026
Pohang SteelersUlsan Hyundai FC
02
W
02/08/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCFC Anyang
31
W

Referee Profile

Lee Dong-jun101 matches

3.65Cards per match
3.49Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lee Dong-jun3.65
Other referees3.53

3.65 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.53).

Cards come from 81 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
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About the Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gwangju FC and Ulsan Hyundai FC in the K League 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd in the K League 1, while Gwangju FC sit 12th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Gwangju FC 30-69, Ulsan Hyundai FC 52-47. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.