Gangwon FC vs Incheon United Prediction

Gangwon FC
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Incheon United
Chuncheon Songam Sports Town, Chuncheon·Tae-Hwan Seol 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.3%
Gangwon FC Rest
2 days
Incheon United Rest
9 days

Gangwon FC vs Incheon United: the result in context

Gangwon FC and Incheon United drew 1-1 in the K League 1 on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Gangwon FC tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.3 for Incheon United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.18
X
28%3.12
2
28%3.38
Double Chance
1X
72%1.29
X2
57%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.05 = 2.43
Over 1.5
67%1.40
Over 2.5
43%2.29
Over 3.5
23%4.17
Under 1.5
33%2.67
Under 2.5
57%1.58
Under 3.5
77%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Stefan Mugoša(Penalty)
42'Kim Dae-wonAssist: Hwang Mun-Ki
56'Morgan Ferrier INKim Seong-Min out
56'Leandro Ribeiro INGerso Fernandes out
66'Choe Byeong-chan INKim Gun-hee out
66'Lee Seung-Won INLee You-hyeon out
71'Lee Chung-Yong INPark Seung-ho out
71'Lee Min-hyuk INSeo Jae-min out
72'Gerso FernandesFoul
78'Goh Young-junFoul
79'Juan IbizaFoul
89'Abdelkarim Chaouche INKang Joon-Hyuck out
89'Goh Young-jun INPark Sang-Hyeok out
90+3'Seo Min-woo INKim Dong-hyeon out

Lineups

Gangwon FC
4-4-2Coach: Chung Kyung-Ho
Incheon United
4-4-2Coach: Jong-hwan Yoon
Avg rating6.40
Avg rating6.25
Park Cheong-Hyo6.11P. Cheong-Hyo
8888H. Mun-Ki
Shin Min-Ha6.147S. Min-Ha
Lee Gi-Hyuk6.413L. Gi-Hyuk
K. Mammar6.35K. Mammar
Mo Jae-Hyeon6.710M. Jae-Hyeon
Lee Seung-Won6.08L. Seung-Won
Seo Min-Woo6.34S. Min-Woo
Kim Dae-Won7.47K. Dae-Won
Choe Byeong-Chan6.596C. Byeong-Chan
Goh Young-Jun5.911G. Young-Jun
Kim Dong-Heon6.11K. Dong-Heon
Kim Myung-Sun5.939K. Myung-Sun
Kim Geon-Hui6.44K. Geon-Hui
Juan Fernández6.12J. Fernández
Lee Ju-Yong6.332L. Ju-Yong
Lee Chung-Yong6.072L. Chung-Yong
Lee Myung-Joo5.95L. Myung-Joo
Lee Min-Hyeok5.926L. Min-Hyeok
Leandro Ribeiro6.770L. Ribeiro
M. Ferrier6.999M. Ferrier
S. Mugoša6.59S. Mugoša

Gangwon FC Substitutes

99Kang Joon-Hyuck89'for Abdelkarim Chaouche6.3
6Kim Dong-Hyun90+3'for Seo Min-woo
9Kim Gun-Hee66'for Choe Byeong-chan6.6
41K. Sung
17Eun-ho Lee
97Lee You-Hyeon66'for Lee Seung-Won6.3
24Park Ho-Young
19Park Sang-Hyeok89'for Goh Young-jun6.5
23M. Tuci

Incheon United Substitutes

13Choi Seung-Gu
11Gerso56'for Leandro Ribeiro72'6.3
17Kim Seong-Min56'for Morgan Ferrier6.3
10Lee Dong-Ryul
3Lee Sang-Gi
21Lee Tae-Hui
20Park Kyung-Sub
77Park Seung-Ho71'for Lee Chung-Yong6.5
15Seo Jae-Min71'for Lee Min-hyuk6.3

Match Stats

Gangwon FCIncheon United
64%Ball Possession36%
7Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots6
7Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
8Fouls7
5Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
518Total Passes329
427Passes Accurate232
7Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Gangwon FCGangwon FC
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
1599Elo Rating 1611
1.02Attack 1.76
2.11Defense 2.36
17%Hit Rate 46%
12.2Shots per Game 9.1
5.0Shots on Target 4.9
5.8Corners per Game 3.3
2.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gangwon FCGangwon FC
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gangwon FCGangwon FC5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
Incheon UnitedIncheon United2Wins · 20%
1.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 127/09/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
K League 102/05/2026
Incheon UnitedGangwon FC
01
K League 106/10/2024
Incheon UnitedGangwon FC
13
K League 130/06/2024
Incheon UnitedGangwon FC
01
K League 121/04/2024
Gangwon FCIncheon United
41
K League 124/09/2023
Gangwon FCIncheon United
11
K League 102/07/2023
Incheon UnitedGangwon FC
10
K League 116/04/2023
Gangwon FCIncheon United
02
K League 108/10/2022
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
K League 102/09/2022
Incheon UnitedGangwon FC
01

Recent Form

Gangwon FCGangwon FC
2W6D2L
15/10/2026
Gangwon FCPhnom Penh Crown
12
L
09/10/2026
Gangwon FCBucheon FC 1995
20
W
27/09/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
D
20/09/2026
Gangwon FCJeju United FC
01
L
17/09/2026
KitcheeGangwon FC
00
D
13/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FC
22
D
09/09/2026
Gangwon FCJeonbuk Motors
11
D
06/09/2026
FC AnyangGangwon FC
03
W
30/08/2026
Gangwon FCPohang Steelers
00
D
26/08/2026
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
22
D
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
3W4D3L
09/10/2026
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
30
W
27/09/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
D
20/09/2026
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
11
D
12/09/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
21
L
08/09/2026
Incheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995
21
W
05/09/2026
FC SeoulIncheon United
10
L
30/08/2026
Incheon UnitedJeonbuk Motors
11
D
26/08/2026
FC AnyangIncheon United
21
L
23/08/2026
Gwangju FCIncheon United
01
W
16/08/2026
Incheon UnitedGimcheon Sangmu FC
11
D

Referee Profile

Tae-Hwan Seol34 matches

4.08Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
22.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tae-Hwan Seol4.08
Other referees4.02

4.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.02).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
PromotionRelegation

About the Gangwon FC vs Incheon United forecast

The forecasts for this K League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gangwon FC and Incheon United in the K League 1 table

Gangwon FC and Incheon United are close in the K League 1 table, 5th and 6th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Gangwon FC 40-30, Incheon United 43-35. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.