Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.23
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+7.5%
Defensa Y Justicia Rest
14 days
San Lorenzo Rest
13 days
Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo: the result in context
Defensa Y Justicia beat San Lorenzo 3-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Defensa Y Justicia had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for San Lorenzo.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.09
X30%2.99
224%4.00
Double Chance
1X76%1.23
X254%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%2.10
No54%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 0.77 = 2.08
Over 1.562%1.49
Over 2.537%2.50
Over 3.518%5.00
Under 1.538%2.50
Under 2.563%1.50
Under 3.582%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.560%1.88
Over 9.548%2.40
Over 10.536%3.05
Under 8.540%1.85
Under 9.552%1.49
Under 10.564%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.569%1.24
Over 4.550%1.50
Under 3.531%3.80
Under 4.550%2.50
Match Events
11'Jeremías LuccoAssist: Maximiliano Porcel
24'Fernando Roman INDemian Leonel Dominguez out
35'Alexis·CuelloFoul
45'Héctor David MartínezAssist: David Barbona
45'Ignacio Perruzzi Ambrosini INFacundo Gulli out
45'Alexis·Cuello INMatías Reali out
45+3'David BarbonaAssist: Maximiliano Porcel
53'Nicolás Tripichio INGustavo Del Prete out
59'Héctor David MartínezFoul
65'Juan Manuel Gutiérrez INTiziano Perrotta out
65'David Barbona INDomingo Blanco out
66'Mathías de Ritis INTeo Rodríguez Pagano out
68'Gustavo Del PreteArgument
68'Damián FernándezArgument
73'Guzman corujo INJuan Álvarez out
78'Juan ÁlvarezFoul
84'Maximiliano Porcel INJulian Lopez out
84'Leandro Fernández INAgustin Hausch out
Lineups
Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo
3-4-1-2Coach: R. InsúaAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Borgogno
28V. Loza
29D. Fernández
21D. Martínez
3F. Román
15S. Sosa
24J. Gutiérrez
19D. Barbona
22M. Porcel
26J. Lucco
9L. Fernández
25J. Devecchi
2D. Arboleda
16G. Corujo
35A. Cordoba
24N. Tripichio
15M. Cardillo
5I. Perruzzi
6M. de Ritis
38F. Farías
9A. Cuello
29R. AuzmendiDefensa Y Justicia Substitutes
27D. Blanco65'for David Barbona
36L. Amadé
6E. Burdin
30D. Domínguez24'for Fernando Roman
17A. Hausch84'for Leandro Fernández
5J. López84'for Maximiliano Porcel
45T. Martinez
20N. Palavecino
11Tiziano Perrota65'for Juan Manuel Gutiérrez
16A. Portillo
7T. Pérez
32Nazareno Roselli
San Lorenzo Substitutes
62G. Alassia
20F. Altamirano
19E. Amor
10Facundo Gulli45'for Ignacio Perruzzi Ambrosini
18D. Herazo
32E. Herrera
14A. Ladstatter
42F. Lorenzón
11M. Reali45'for Alexis·Cuello
3T. Rodríguez66'for Mathías de Ritis
21G. del Prete53'for Nicolás Tripichio68'
22J. Álvarez73'for Guzman corujo78'
Match Stats
Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo 51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots19
4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
14Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box10
10Blocked Shots6
13Fouls10
2Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
387Total Passes341
315Passes Accurate256
10Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo1685Elo Rating 1611
1.71Attack 0.91
2.22Defense 1.67
63%Hit Rate 50%
17.3Shots per Game 12.0
5.9Shots on Target 4.1
3.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.1Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Defensa Y Justicia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
San Lorenzo- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Defensa Y Justicia4Wins · 50%Draws338%
San Lorenzo1Wins · 12%
1Wins · 12%2.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
16/03/2026San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia25
22/09/2024Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo00
24/11/2023Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo10
08/05/2023San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia00
06/09/2022Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo00
22/02/2022San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia34
26/09/2021San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia21
25/03/2021San LorenzoDefensa Y Justicia02
Recent Form
Defensa Y Justicia5W3D2L
18/09/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoDefensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
Belgrano CordobaDefensa Y Justicia
Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia
Deportivo RiestraDefensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
Central Cordoba de SantiagoDefensa Y Justicia22
D12/09/2026Defensa Y JusticiaGimnasia M.20
W06/09/2026
LanusDefensa Y Justicia
01/09/2026LanusDefensa Y Justicia10
LDefensa Y JusticiaPlatense10
W23/08/2026Belgrano CordobaDefensa Y Justicia12
W18/08/2026Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y Justicia11
D09/08/2026Defensa Y JusticiaNewells Old Boys21
W01/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia30
L29/07/2026Defensa Y JusticiaDeportivo Riestra21
W24/07/2026Defensa Y JusticiaAldosivi11
DSan Lorenzo3W2D5L
20/09/2026San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
14/09/2026San LorenzoBoca Juniors02
L
IndependienteSan Lorenzo11
D06/09/2026San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba10
W01/09/2026
Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo10
L22/08/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSan Lorenzo00
D15/08/2026San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe10
W09/08/2026San Lorenzo
Huracan02
L04/08/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo10
L29/07/2026San LorenzoGimnasia M.10
W26/07/2026LanusSan Lorenzo10
LReferee Profile
5.68Cards per match
5.38Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.68 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.22).
Cards come from 87 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WDWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DWLLW |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDWLL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 32 | LWWLW |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 22:14 | +8 | 27 | WDWWD |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 | WWLWW |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 14 | 21:10 | 32 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 14 | 23:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 22:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 5 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 14 | 21:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 14 | 17:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 14 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. 22/09/26
- Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba 03/10/26
- Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe 03/10/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Gimnasia L.P. 03/10/26
- Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central 03/10/26
- Newells Old Boys vs Lanus 03/10/26
- Huracan vs Aldosivi 04/10/26
- Talleres Cordoba vs Belgrano Cordoba 04/10/26
About the Defensa Y Justicia vs San Lorenzo forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Defensa Y Justicia and San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, San Lorenzo are 7th and Defensa Y Justicia 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Defensa Y Justicia 18-21, San Lorenzo 14-14. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Defensa Y Justicia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.