Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

Lanus
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Estudiantes L.P.
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires·Nicolas Ramirez 22/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-11.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+5.5%
Lanus Rest
7 days
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
4 days

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context

Lanus beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 22 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Nicolas Ramirez averages 6.18 cards a game, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.20
X
31%2.94
2
29%3.75
Double Chance
1X
71%1.25
X2
60%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.25
No
54%1.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 0.98 = 2.16
Over 1.5
63%1.57
Over 2.5
36%2.88
Over 3.5
19%6.00
Under 1.5
37%2.37
Under 2.5
64%1.40
Under 3.5
81%1.12
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.5
55%1.93
Over 9.5
42%2.54
Over 10.5
31%3.50
Under 8.5
45%1.81
Under 9.5
58%1.47
Under 10.5
69%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.22
Over 4.5
51%1.45
Under 3.5
31%4.00
Under 4.5
49%2.62

Match Events

13'Gonzalo Thomás LobosAssist: Eduardo Salvio
25'Leandro Gonzalez PirezFoul
31'Felipe Peña Biafore INDiego Agustín Medina out
60'Eduardo Salvio(Penalty)
60'Joaquín Tobio Burgos INEdwuin Cetre out
60'Alexis Castro INBaltasar Gallego Rodriguez out
64'Lucas Agustín Besozzi INGonzalo German Perez Corbalan out
64'Allan Steven Wlk Duré INYoshan Valois out
73'Fabricio Pérez INGuido Carrillo out
73'Lucas Piovi INJalil Elias out
80'Gonzalo Thomás Lobos INMarcelino Moreno out
80'Eduardo Salvio INThiago laplace out
83'Sasha Julian MarcichFoul
84'Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
86'Gastón Benedetti INBrian Aguirre out
90+4'Eric MezaFoul
90+5'Yoshan ValoisArgument

Lineups

Lanus
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Pellegrino
Estudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina
Avg rating6.45
Avg rating6.47
N. Losada6.826N. Losada
T. Guidara6.933T. Guidara
C. Izquierdoz5.924C. Izquierdoz
R. De Jesús6.135R. De Jesús
S. Marcich5.86S. Marcich
F. Peña6.95F. Peña
A. Cardozo6.430A. Cardozo
L. Besozzi6.677L. Besozzi
E. Salvio7.611E. Salvio
G. Lobos7.542G. Lobos
A. Wlk6.420A. Wlk
F. Muslera6.016F. Muslera
E. Meza6.820E. Meza
S. Núñez6.64S. Núñez
L. González7.114L. González
G. Benedetti6.713G. Benedetti
G. Neves7.28G. Neves
Lucas Ezequiel Piovi6.921L. Ezequiel Piovi
F. Pérez Escudero6.529F. Pérez Escudero
A. Castro5.722A. Castro
J. Burgos5.917J. Burgos
A. Gaich6.719A. Gaich

Lanus Substitutes

43Mateo Emanuel Ramirez
38B. Acosta
39T. Laplace80'for Eduardo Salvio6.2
40Tomás López
17A. Medina31'for Felipe Peña Biafore5.5
10M. Moreno80'for Gonzalo Thomás Lobos6.2
3N. Morgantini
1F. Petroli
4G. Pérez64'for Lucas Agustín Besozzi6.3
27F. Sánchez
19Y. Valois64'for Allan Steven Wlk Duré90+5'6.3
8F. Watson

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

9G. Carrillo73'for Fabricio Pérez6.4
18E. Cetré60'for Joaquín Tobio Burgos6.4
39J. Elías73'for Lucas Piovi6.1
26R. Funes Mori
31B. Gallego60'for Alexis Castro6.2
1F. Iacovich
52B. Kociubinski
40E. Mancuso
24T. Palacios
41B. Sagües
7J. Sosa
28B. Aguirre86'for Gastón Benedetti6.5

Match Stats

LanusEstudiantes L.P.
40%Ball Possession60%
1Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards2
6Total Shots24
3Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal10
4Shots Inside Box13
2Shots Outside Box11
1Blocked Shots9
11Fouls10
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
394Total Passes575
300Passes Accurate481
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

LanusLanus
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
1693Elo Rating 1665
1.02Attack 1.20
2.50Defense 1.17
36%Hit Rate 0%
11.7Shots per Game 13.6
3.8Shots on Target 4.8
5.0Corners per Game 5.6
1.8Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LanusLanus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

LanusLanus3Wins · 50%
Draws117%
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.2Wins · 33%
2.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina14/03/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Lanus
01
Liga Profesional Argentina25/05/2024
LanusEstudiantes L.P.
21
Liga Profesional Argentina14/02/2023
Estudiantes L.P.Lanus
02
Liga Profesional Argentina11/10/2022
Estudiantes L.P.Lanus
31
Liga Profesional Argentina19/02/2022
Estudiantes L.P.Lanus
21
Liga Profesional Argentina06/11/2021
LanusEstudiantes L.P.
11

Referee Profile

Nicolas Ramirez147 matches

6.18Cards per match
5.88Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nicolas Ramirez6.18
Other referees5.12

6.18 cards a match, 1.06 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.12).

Cards come from 103 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WDWWL
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330WWWDW
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628DDDWL
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426DDWWL
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424WLWDW
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324DDLWD
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022LWDDW
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421DDLLW
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021WDLWW
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLLLL
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WLWDW
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LLLDD
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016LDWLL
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DDWDW
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba16104226:15+1134WDLWW
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1696124:14+1033WWWDW
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677225:17+828DDDWL
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1684421:15+628LLLLL
5LanusLanus1675419:12+726DDLWD
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1658316:13+323DDWDW
7IndependienteIndependiente1665515:16-123WLWDW
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1664618:17+122WLWDW
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1663724:24021DDLLW
10PlatensePlatense1655618:20-220LLLDD
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo165479:16-719LWDDW
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1644821:22-116WDWWL
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1634917:23-613DDWWL
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1626811:19-812DWLLL
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1625912:26-1411LDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1626:1534
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1624:1433
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1625:1728
4Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1621:1528
5LanusLanus1619:1226
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1616:1323
7IndependienteIndependiente1615:1623
8Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1618:1722
9Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2421
10PlatensePlatense1618:2020
11San LorenzoSan Lorenzo169:1619
12Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1621:2216
13Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:2313
14Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1611:1912
15Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1612:2611

About the Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lanus and Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Estudiantes L.P. are 1st and Lanus 6th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Lanus 18-15, Estudiantes L.P. 19-7. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.