Defensor Sporting vs Boston River Prediction

Primera División - AperturaUruguay Uruguay · Torneo Intermedio - 4
Defensor Sporting
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Boston River
Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo·Augusto Olmos, Uruguay 07/06/2026
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1-1
Finished
Boston RiverBoston River

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Defensor Sporting Rest
8 days
Boston River Rest
6 days

Defensor Sporting vs Boston River: result, form and history

Defensor Sporting and Boston River drew 1-1 in the Primera División - Apertura on 7 Jun 2026. Boston River had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Defensor Sporting.

Defensor Sporting have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Defensor Sporting tend to win more corners, 4.3 a game to 1.7 for Boston River.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.95
X
25%3.25
2
22%3.80
Double Chance
1X
78%1.25
X2
47%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.91
No
50%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 1.2 = 2.87
Over 1.5
77%1.38
Over 2.5
55%2.15
Over 3.5
33%3.98
Under 1.5
23%2.87
Under 2.5
45%1.64
Under 3.5
67%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Marco Mancebo INAgustín Aguirre out
22'Nicolás Wunsch
42'Mauricio Amaro
59'Axel Frugone
60'Jairo O'Neil
64'Mauricio Amaro INFacundo Castro out
64'Erico Cuello Gutiérrez INBrian Lozano out
70'Alexander MachadoAssist: Guillermo De los Santos
76'Yair González INFranco Pérez out
79'Nicolás Wunsch INLautaro Navarro out
83'Facundo Muñoa INAlexander González out
83'Agustín Amado INFederico Dafonte out
83'Francisco Bonfiglio INGastón Ramírez out
87'Franco Pérez
88'Guillermo De los Santos
88'Gastón Ramírez
90'Alexander Machado INJuan Manuel Jorge out

Lineups

Defensor Sporting
4-3-3Coach: Roman Cuello
Boston River
4-2-3-1Coach: Ignacio Ithurralde Saez
Kevin Dawson12K. Dawson
Lucas Agazzi11L. Agazzi
Guillermo De los Santos3G. De los Santos
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez30E. Cuello Gutiérrez
Axel Frugone15A. Frugone
Germán Barrios5G. Barrios
Lucas De los Santos24L. De los Santos
Mauricio Amaro6M. Amaro
Nicolás Wunsch8N. Wunsch
Brian Montenegro26B. Montenegro
Alexander Machado9A. Machado
Bruno Antúnez1B. Antúnez
Juan Acosta31J. Acosta
Marco Mancebo3M. Mancebo
Martín González30M. González
Jairo O'Neil24J. O'Neil
Rafael Haller17R. Haller
Agustín Amado10A. Amado
Leandro Suhr16L. Suhr
Facundo Muñoa26F. Muñoa
Yair González32Y. González
Francisco Bonfiglio8F. Bonfiglio

Defensor Sporting Substitutes

7Brian Lozano64'for Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
77Facundo Castro64'for Mauricio Amaro
28Lautaro Navarro79'for Nicolás Wunsch
27Juan Manuel Jorge90'for Alexander Machado
1Lucas Machado
2Daniel Martinez
4Geanfranco Rodríguez
25Diego Abella
33Santino Bruschi Díaz
97Juan Pablo Goicochea

Boston River Substitutes

25Agustín Aguirre12'for Marco Mancebo
21Franco Pérez76'for Yair González87'
14Federico Dafonte83'for Agustín Amado
11Gastón Ramírez83'for Francisco Bonfiglio88'
9Alexander González83'for Facundo Muñoa
12Juan Ignacio González
2Kevin Sotto
5Francisco Barrios
29Andy López
28Francisco Martinicorena

Team Comparison

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Boston RiverBoston River
1476Elo Rating 1510
1.84Attack 0.93
1.20Defense 2.15
27%Hit Rate 44%
7.7Shots per Game 10.4
3.9Shots on Target 2.9
4.3Corners per Game 1.7
3.6Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Boston RiverBoston River
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting5Wins · 63%
Draws225%
Boston RiverBoston River1Wins · 12%
2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura11/04/2026
Defensor SportingBoston River
20
Primera División - Apertura01/02/2025
Defensor SportingBoston River
20
Copa Uruguay22/11/2024
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
01
Primera División - Apertura07/04/2024
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
22
Primera División - Apertura09/07/2023
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
01
Primera División - Apertura16/04/2023
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
10
Primera División - Apertura10/07/2022
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
23
Primera División - Apertura21/03/2022
Boston RiverDefensor Sporting
11

Recent Form

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
2W4D4L
30/05/2026
Racing MontevideoDefensor Sporting
00
D
24/05/2026
Defensor SportingPenarol
02
L
17/05/2026
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
21
L
10/05/2026
Defensor SportingJuventud
12
L
05/05/2026
PenarolDefensor Sporting
11
D
28/04/2026
Defensor SportingProgreso
10
W
18/04/2026
Racing MontevideoDefensor Sporting
11
D
11/04/2026
Defensor SportingBoston River
20
W
05/04/2026
CerroDefensor Sporting
10
L
01/04/2026
Defensor SportingAlbion FC
11
D
Boston RiverBoston River
3W0D7L
01/06/2026
Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo
01
L
27/05/2026
Sao PauloBoston River
20
L
23/05/2026
Cerro LargoBoston River
30
L
21/05/2026
Boston RiverO'Higgins
32
W
16/05/2026
Boston RiverCerro
41
W
11/05/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoBoston River
21
L
08/05/2026
Boston RiverMillonarios
24
L
03/05/2026
Boston RiverCentral Espanol
21
W
29/04/2026
O'HigginsBoston River
20
L
25/04/2026
Atletico TorqueBoston River
41
L

League Table

Primera División - Apertura 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752:28+2465LDLWL
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263LDWWL
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque351961059:41+1863WDLDL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional351941253:42+1161LWLLW
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo351612745:31+1460WDWWW
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847:31+1659DLWLD
7WanderersWanderers351491242:44-251WLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
9JuventudJuventud3510111437:43-641DDWLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435:43-839WDWLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo359101633:41-837LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River351071834:47-1337LWLWW
14CerroCerro351071829:53-2437LDDWL
15ProgresoProgreso351052031:49-1835LWLLD
16DanubioDanubio356141529:45-1632WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3552:2865
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3554:3263
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3559:4163
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3553:4261
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3545:3160
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3547:3159
7WanderersWanderers3542:4451
8Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
9JuventudJuventud3537:4341
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
11Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3535:4339
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo3533:4137
13Boston RiverBoston River3534:4737
14CerroCerro3529:5337
15ProgresoProgreso3531:4935
16DanubioDanubio3529:4532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol72431514118:62+56144LDLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72431415129:75+54140LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado35189854:32+2263LDWWL
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7234221698:68+30124DLWLD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7230231984:69+15113WDWWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72321624113:92+21112WDLDL
7JuventudJuventud7228182682:820102DDWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7227192677:81-4100WDWLD
9Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
10Boston RiverBoston River7224202884:86-292LWLWW
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7221232874:82-886LLDDW
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol351181635:48-1341WLDWW
13CerroCerro7222183262:95-3383LDDWL
14WanderersWanderers7220223067:91-2482WLLLW
15DanubioDanubio7216272970:86-1675WDDDL
16ProgresoProgreso7220143869:109-4074LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol72118:62144
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72129:75140
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3554:3263
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7298:68124
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7284:69113
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque72113:92112
7JuventudJuventud7282:82102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7277:81100
9Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
10Boston RiverBoston River7284:8692
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7274:8286
12Central EspanolCentral Espanol3535:4841
13CerroCerro7262:9583
14WanderersWanderers7267:9182
15DanubioDanubio7270:8675
16ProgresoProgreso7269:10974

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916LDLWL
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211LLDDW
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110WDWWW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509DLWLD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409WLDWW
6CerroCerro73046:10-49LDDWL
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36WDWLD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55LWLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol712:316
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo77:511
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo74:310
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo75:59
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol74:49
6CerroCerro76:109
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:96
8Boston RiverBoston River75:105

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WDWWW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829LDWWL
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWWDD
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727LDLWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124WLDWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WDLDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WDWLD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DLWLD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLLLW
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418WDDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LLDDW
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617LWLWW
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DDWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LWLLD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LDDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1393122:8+1430DLWLD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1391326:14+1228WDLDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1382319:13+626LWLLW
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1364318:10+822LDWWL
5PenarolPenarol1365217:9+822LDLWL
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1354418:14+419WDWWW
7ProgresoProgreso1361613:15-219LWLLD
8JuventudJuventud1346312:10+218DDWLL
9CerroCerro1353515:19-418LDDWL
10WanderersWanderers1344514:19-516WLLLW
11Boston RiverBoston River1343615:17-215LWLWW
12Albion FCAlbion FC1341815:20-513WWWDD
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1333716:23-712WDWLD
14DanubioDanubio132477:15-810WDDDL
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1316610:17-79LLDDW
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol132298:22-148WLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1322:830
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1326:1428
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1319:1326
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1318:1022
5PenarolPenarol1317:922
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1318:1419
7ProgresoProgreso1313:1519
8JuventudJuventud1312:1018
9CerroCerro1315:1918
10WanderersWanderers1314:1916
11Boston RiverBoston River1315:1715
12Albion FCAlbion FC1315:2013
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1316:2312
14DanubioDanubio137:1510
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1310:179
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol138:228
PromotionRelegation

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About the Defensor Sporting vs Boston River forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Defensor Sporting and Boston River in the Primera División - Apertura table

Defensor Sporting and Boston River are close in the Primera División - Apertura table, 11th and 13th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Defensor Sporting 35-43, Boston River 34-47. The full standings are on the Primera División - Apertura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.