Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo· Kevin Fontes, 09/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalSOLIDModel51%RiskMediumGap-4.3%
Liverpool Montevideo Rest
7 days
Cerro Largo Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.88
X
27%3.26
2
21%4.03
Double Chance
1X
79%1.20
X2
48%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.93 = 2.23
Over 1.5
63%1.36
Over 2.5
37%2.19
Over 3.5
19%4.00
Under 1.5
37%2.90
Under 2.5
63%1.63
Under 3.5
81%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'M. Fracchia
27'A. Hernandez
34'S. Strasorier
60'L. Correa
64'G. Viera INA. Pandiani out
67'A. Pandiani
68'D. Romero INK. Lewis out
68'R. Bentancourt INR. Machado out
74'R. M. Degregorio INF. Barcelo out
78'M. Anasco INF. Sellecchia out
78'M. Garcia INN. Ramos out
81'M. Rabunal IND. Zabala out
81'F. Martinez INE. Olivera out
86'S. Marcel INF. Alvez out
86'S. Assis INE. Jourdan out

Lineups

Liverpool Montevideo
5-2-3Coach: Gustavo Ferrin
Cerro Largo
4-3-3Coach: Danielo Nunez
Mathias Bernatene1M. BernateneMathias Bernatene
Facundo Perdomo4F. PerdomoFacundo Perdomo
Santiago Strasorier3S. StrasorierSantiago Strasorier
Enzo Castillo23E. CastilloEnzo Castillo
Santiago Laquidaín15S. LaquidaínSantiago Laquidaín
Diego Romero27D. RomeroDiego Romero
Martín Rabuñal20M. RabuñalMartín Rabuñal
Lucas Acosta16L. AcostaLucas Acosta
Ramiro Matias Degregorio10R. Matias DegregorioRamiro Matias Degregorio
Rubén Bentancourt19R. BentancourtRubén Bentancourt
Federico Martínez7F. MartínezFederico Martínez
Pedro Gonzalez12P. GonzalezPedro Gonzalez
Alexander Hernandez17A. HernandezAlexander Hernandez
Lucas Correa14L. CorreaLucas Correa
Matías Fracchia16M. FracchiaMatías Fracchia
Santiago Franca20S. FrancaSantiago Franca
Mario García8M. GarcíaMario García
Sebastián Assis15S. AssisSebastián Assis
Santiago Marcel5S. MarcelSantiago Marcel
Maximiliano Añasco11M. AñascoMaximiliano Añasco
Tiziano Correa9T. CorreaTiziano Correa
Gustavo Viera7G. VieraGustavo Viera

Liverpool Montevideo Substitutes

34Kevin LewisD
9Renzo MachadoF
12Diego CabreraG
8Matías MirM
29Ezequiel OliveraM
22Diego ZabalaM
6Santiago MilanoM
17Gonzalo de MelloM
31Facundo BarcelóF
26Thiago BrizuelaF

Cerro Largo Substitutes

10Axel PandianiM
1Juan MorenoG
3Alexis PiegasD
28Nicolás RamosD
27Facundo AlvezD
22Nicolas BertochiM
25Emiliano JourdanM
13Borys BaroneF
18Diego DaguerreF
19Federico SellecchiaF

Team Comparison

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1574Elo Rating 1497
0.95Attack 0.73
1.83Defense 1.93
37%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Liverpool Montevideo 83%Draw 0%17% Cerro Largo
2.01Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
2W1D2L
01/06/2026
Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo
01
W
23/05/2026
Liverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
00
D
16/05/2026
PenarolLiverpool Montevideo
21
L
09/05/2026
WanderersLiverpool Montevideo
10
L
02/05/2026
Liverpool MontevideoDanubio
30
W
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
3W0D2L
30/05/2026
Cerro LargoCerro
20
W
23/05/2026
Cerro LargoBoston River
30
W
17/05/2026
Racing MontevideoCerro Largo
10
L
12/05/2026
Cerro LargoPenarol
23
L
03/05/2026
ProgresoCerro Largo
01
W

League Table

Primera División - Apertura 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol28175646:23+2355WDWWL
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado29157744:27+1752LWDWL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo281410435:22+1352WWWWD
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque27155747:31+1650WWWDL
5Club NacionalClub Nacional291441143:38+546LWLLW
6WanderersWanderers29128936:35+144WLDWL
7Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo28119837:27+1042DWWDL
8Central EspanolCentral Espanol281081030:33-338LDLWW
9JuventudJuventud29981235:39-435LLWLL
10Albion FCAlbion FC29971337:38-134WLDLD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo29891228:32-433WWLLL
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting297111125:33-832WLDLW
13CerroCerro29951523:43-2032LLLDD
14Boston RiverBoston River29861528:40-1230WLLDD
15DanubioDanubio294141124:38-1426LWDDL
16ProgresoProgreso29741823:42-1925LWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol2846:2355
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2944:2752
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo2835:2252
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque2747:3150
5Club NacionalClub Nacional2943:3846
6WanderersWanderers2936:3544
7Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo2837:2742
8Central EspanolCentral Espanol2830:3338
9JuventudJuventud2935:3935
10Albion FCAlbion FC2937:3834
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo2928:3233
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting2925:3332
13CerroCerro2923:4332
14Boston RiverBoston River2928:4030
15DanubioDanubio2924:3826
16ProgresoProgreso2923:4225

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol65411113112:57+55134WDWWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional66381414119:71+48125LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado29157744:27+1752LWDWL
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6529201688:64+24107DWWDL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo6528211674:60+14105WWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque64281521101:82+1999WWWDL
7JuventudJuventud6627152480:78+296LLWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting6625182367:71-493WLDLW
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol281081030:33-338LDLWW
10Boston RiverBoston River6622192578:79-185WLLDD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo6620222469:73-482WWLLL
12CerroCerro6621162956:85-2978LLLDD
13Albion FCAlbion FC29971337:38-134WLDLD
14WanderersWanderers6618212761:82-2175WLDWL
15DanubioDanubio6614272565:79-1469LWDDL
16ProgresoProgreso6617133661:102-4164LWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol65112:57134
2Club NacionalClub Nacional66119:71125
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado2944:2752
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo6588:64107
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo6574:60105
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque64101:8299
7JuventudJuventud6680:7896
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting6667:7193
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol2830:3338
10Boston RiverBoston River6678:7985
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo6669:7382
12CerroCerro6656:8578
13Albion FCAlbion FC2937:3834
14WanderersWanderers6661:8275
15DanubioDanubio6665:7969
16ProgresoProgreso6661:10264

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916WDWWL
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211WWLLL
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110WWWWD
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509DWWDL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LDLWW
6CerroCerro73046:10-49LLLDD
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36WLDLW
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLLDD

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931WWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829LWDWL
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WLDLD
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727WDWWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDLWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623WWWDL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WLDLW
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DWWDL
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLDWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418LWDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317WWLLL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLLDD
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515LLWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LWDDL
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque550014:4+1015WWWDL
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo641112:4+813DWWDL
3CerroCerro74129:9013LLLDD
4PenarolPenarol641111:4+712WDWWL
5JuventudJuventud733110:6+412LLWLL
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo63218:5+311WWWWD
7Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado73228:5+311LWDWL
8Club NacionalClub Nacional73229:9011LWLLW
9WanderersWanderers72328:10-29WLDWL
10ProgresoProgreso73045:8-39LWDDL
11Boston RiverBoston River72239:10-18WLLDD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo70525:8-35WWLLL
13Central EspanolCentral Espanol61233:7-45LDLWW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71246:13-75WLDLW
15DanubioDanubio70432:8-64LWDDL
16Albion FCAlbion FC70075:14-90WLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque514:415
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo612:413
3CerroCerro79:913
4PenarolPenarol611:412
5JuventudJuventud710:612
6Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo68:511
7Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado78:511
8Club NacionalClub Nacional79:911
9WanderersWanderers78:109
10ProgresoProgreso75:89
11Boston RiverBoston River79:108
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo75:85
13Central EspanolCentral Espanol63:75
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting76:135
15DanubioDanubio72:84
16Albion FCAlbion FC75:140
PromotionRelegation

Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División - Apertura fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División - Apertura

ScorePredicts covers Uruguay football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Liverpool Montevideo and Cerro Largo have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.01 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.