Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo Prediction

Estadio Belvedere, Montevideo·Kevin Fontes, 09/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Liverpool Montevideo Rest
7 days
Cerro Largo Rest
9 days

Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo: the result in context

Liverpool Montevideo and Cerro Largo drew 0-0 in the Primera División - Apertura on 8 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Liverpool Montevideo have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.88
X
27%3.26
2
21%4.03
Double Chance
1X
79%1.20
X2
48%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 0.93 = 2.23
Over 1.5
63%1.36
Over 2.5
37%2.19
Over 3.5
19%3.98
Under 1.5
37%2.89
Under 2.5
63%1.63
Under 3.5
81%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'M. Fracchia
27'A. Hernandez
34'S. Strasorier
60'L. Correa
64'G. Viera INA. Pandiani out
67'A. Pandiani
68'D. Romero INK. Lewis out
68'R. Bentancourt INR. Machado out
74'R. M. Degregorio INF. Barcelo out
78'M. Anasco INF. Sellecchia out
78'M. Garcia INN. Ramos out
81'M. Rabunal IND. Zabala out
81'F. Martinez INE. Olivera out
86'S. Marcel INF. Alvez out
86'S. Assis INE. Jourdan out

Lineups

Liverpool Montevideo
5-2-3Coach: Gustavo Ferrin
Cerro Largo
4-3-3Coach: Danielo Nunez
Mathias Bernatene1M. Bernatene
Facundo Perdomo4F. Perdomo
Santiago Strasorier3S. Strasorier
Enzo Castillo23E. Castillo
Santiago Laquidaín15S. Laquidaín
Diego Romero27D. Romero
Martín Rabuñal20M. Rabuñal
Lucas Acosta16L. Acosta
Ramiro Matias Degregorio10R. Matias Degregorio
Rubén Bentancourt19R. Bentancourt
Federico Martínez7F. Martínez
Pedro Gonzalez12P. Gonzalez
Alexander Hernandez17A. Hernandez
Lucas Correa14L. Correa
Matías Fracchia16M. Fracchia
Santiago Franca20S. Franca
Mario García8M. García
Sebastián Assis15S. Assis
Santiago Marcel5S. Marcel
Maximiliano Añasco11M. Añasco
Tiziano Correa9T. Correa
Gustavo Viera7G. Viera

Liverpool Montevideo Substitutes

34Kevin Lewis68'for D. Romero
9Renzo Machado68'for R. Bentancourt
12Diego Cabrera
8Matías Mir
29Ezequiel Olivera81'for F. Martinez
22Diego Zabala81'for M. Rabunal
6Santiago Milano
17Gonzalo de Mello
31Facundo Barceló74'for R. M. Degregorio
26Thiago Brizuela

Cerro Largo Substitutes

10Axel Pandiani64'for G. Viera67'
1Juan Moreno
3Alexis Piegas
28Nicolás Ramos78'for M. Garcia
27Facundo Alvez
22Nicolas Bertochi
25Emiliano Jourdan86'for S. Assis
13Borys Barone
18Diego Daguerre
19Federico Sellecchia78'for M. Anasco

Team Comparison

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1669Elo Rating 1464
1.50Attack 0.89
3.00Defense 1.69
100%Hit Rate 23%
6.7Shots per Game 5.7
3.1Shots on Target 1.9
4.2Corners per Game 3.7
3.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+206 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7Wins · 78%
Draws00%
Cerro LargoCerro Largo2Wins · 22%
2.3Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura01/03/2026
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
20
Primera División - Apertura07/06/2025
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
21
Primera División - Apertura18/05/2025
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
10
Primera División - Apertura06/07/2024
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
10
Primera División - Apertura12/05/2024
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
21
Primera División - Apertura17/06/2023
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
13
Primera División - Apertura01/04/2023
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
10
Primera División - Apertura28/05/2022
Cerro LargoLiverpool Montevideo
12
Primera División - Apertura29/05/2021
Liverpool MontevideoCerro Largo
30

Recent Form

Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo
3W3D4L
01/06/2026
Boston RiverLiverpool Montevideo
01
W
23/05/2026
Liverpool MontevideoRacing Montevideo
00
D
16/05/2026
PenarolLiverpool Montevideo
21
L
09/05/2026
WanderersLiverpool Montevideo
10
L
02/05/2026
Liverpool MontevideoDanubio
30
W
25/04/2026
JuventudLiverpool Montevideo
11
D
20/04/2026
Liverpool MontevideoClub Nacional
13
L
14/04/2026
PenarolLiverpool Montevideo
02
W
05/04/2026
Liverpool MontevideoDeportivo Maldonado
02
L
31/03/2026
ProgresoLiverpool Montevideo
33
D
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
4W2D4L
30/05/2026
Cerro LargoCerro
20
W
23/05/2026
Cerro LargoBoston River
30
W
17/05/2026
Racing MontevideoCerro Largo
10
L
12/05/2026
Cerro LargoPenarol
23
L
03/05/2026
ProgresoCerro Largo
01
W
26/04/2026
Cerro LargoRacing Montevideo
01
L
20/04/2026
Boston RiverCerro Largo
10
L
11/04/2026
Cerro LargoCerro
11
D
05/04/2026
Albion FCCerro Largo
22
D
30/03/2026
Cerro LargoDanubio
20
W

League Table

Primera División - Apertura 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol35199752:28+2465LDLWL
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque361971061:43+1864DWDLD
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado36189954:33+2163WLDWW
4Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo361613747:33+1461DWDWW
5Club NacionalClub Nacional351941253:42+1161LWLLW
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo351611847:31+1659DLWLD
7WanderersWanderers351491242:44-251WLLLW
8Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol361281636:48-1244LWLDW
10JuventudJuventud3510111437:43-641DDWLL
11CerroCerro361171830:53-2340LLDDW
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting359121435:43-839WDWLD
13Cerro LargoCerro Largo369111635:43-838WLLDD
14Boston RiverBoston River361071934:48-1437WLWLW
15ProgresoProgreso361062033:51-1836LLWLL
16DanubioDanubio356141529:45-1632WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3552:2865
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3661:4364
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3654:3363
4Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3647:3361
5Club NacionalClub Nacional3553:4261
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3547:3159
7WanderersWanderers3542:4451
8Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
9Central EspanolCentral Espanol3636:4844
10JuventudJuventud3537:4341
11CerroCerro3630:5340
12Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3535:4339
13Cerro LargoCerro Largo3635:4338
14Boston RiverBoston River3634:4837
15ProgresoProgreso3633:5136
16DanubioDanubio3529:4532

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol72431514118:62+56144LDLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72431415129:75+54140LWLLW
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado36189954:33+2163WLDWW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7234221698:68+30124DLWLD
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7330241986:71+15114DWDWW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque73321724115:94+21113DWDLD
7JuventudJuventud7228182682:820102DDWLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7227192677:81-4100WDWLD
9Albion FCAlbion FC351381447:44+347WWWDD
10Boston RiverBoston River7324202984:87-392WLWLW
11Central EspanolCentral Espanol361281636:48-1244LWLDW
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo7321242876:84-887WLLDD
13CerroCerro7323183263:95-3286LLDDW
14WanderersWanderers7220223067:91-2482WLLLW
15DanubioDanubio7216272970:86-1675WDDDL
16ProgresoProgreso7320153871:111-4075LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol72118:62144
2Club NacionalClub Nacional72129:75140
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3654:3363
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7298:68124
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7386:71114
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque73115:94113
7JuventudJuventud7282:82102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7277:81100
9Albion FCAlbion FC3547:4447
10Boston RiverBoston River7384:8792
11Central EspanolCentral Espanol3636:4844
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo7376:8487
13CerroCerro7363:9586
14WanderersWanderers7267:9182
15DanubioDanubio7270:8675
16ProgresoProgreso7371:11175

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol751112:3+916LDLWL
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo73227:5+211WLLDD
3Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo72414:3+110DWDWW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo72325:509DLWLD
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol72324:409LWLDW
6CerroCerro73046:10-49LLDDW
7Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting71336:9-36WDWLD
8Boston RiverBoston River71245:10-55WLWLW

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWDWW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829WLDWW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWWDD
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727LDLWL
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LWLDW
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DWDLD
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LWLLW
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221WDWLD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220DLWLD
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520WLLLW
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418WDDDL
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317WLLDD
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWLW
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DDWLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110LLWLL
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610LLDDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1393122:8+1430DLWLD
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1492328:16+1229DWDLD
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1382319:13+626LWLLW
4PenarolPenarol1365217:9+822LDLWL
5Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1464418:11+722WLDWW
6CerroCerro1463516:19-321LLDDW
7Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1455420:16+420DWDWW
8ProgresoProgreso1462615:17-220LLWLL
9JuventudJuventud1346312:10+218DDWLL
10WanderersWanderers1344514:19-516WLLLW
11Boston RiverBoston River1443715:18-315WLWLW
12Albion FCAlbion FC1341815:20-513WWWDD
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1333716:23-712WDWLD
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol143299:22-1311LWLDW
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1417612:19-710WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio132477:15-810WDDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1322:830
2Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1428:1629
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1319:1326
4PenarolPenarol1317:922
5Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1418:1122
6CerroCerro1416:1921
7Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1420:1620
8ProgresoProgreso1415:1720
9JuventudJuventud1312:1018
10WanderersWanderers1314:1916
11Boston RiverBoston River1415:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1315:2013
13Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1316:2312
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol149:2211
15Cerro LargoCerro Largo1412:1910
16DanubioDanubio137:1510
PromotionRelegation

About the Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División - Apertura match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Liverpool Montevideo and Cerro Largo in the Primera División - Apertura table

In the Primera División - Apertura table, Liverpool Montevideo are 6th and Cerro Largo 13th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Liverpool Montevideo 47-31, Cerro Largo 35-43. The full standings are on the Primera División - Apertura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Liverpool Montevideo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.