Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.48
SignalHIGHModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Boca Juniors Rest
3 days
Velez Sarsfield Rest
5 days
Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield: the result in context
Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield drew 1-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
150%1.85
X28%3.17
222%4.72
Double Chance
1X78%1.18
X250%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%2.31
No47%1.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 0.94 = 2.18
Over 1.568%1.54
Over 2.539%2.63
Over 3.521%5.38
Under 1.532%2.44
Under 2.561%1.46
Under 3.579%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.560%1.67
Over 9.549%2.06
Over 10.537%2.66
Under 8.540%2.08
Under 9.551%1.67
Under 10.563%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.1 = 4.5
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.543%1.34
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.557%2.73
Match Events
12'D. Valdes
36'Lautaro BlancoFoul
39'S. Ascacibar
42'Lucas RobertoneFoul
44'Ayrton CostaFoul
46'A. Costa INM. Pellegrino out
46'D. Valdes INS. Escobar out
54'Elías GómezFoul
60'Matías PellegriniFoul
63'Miguel Merentiel INM. Gimenez out
63'T. Aranda INA. Velasco out
63'E. Gomez INC. Baeza out
63'D. Godoy INT. Aguirre out
74'L. Flores INS. Villa out
82'L. Robertone INL. Feler out
83'M. Lanzini INA. Veron out
88'Joaquín GarcíaFoul
Lineups
Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield
4-2-3-1Coach: Guilermo Barros SchelottoAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Montero
17L. Lozano
2L. Di Lollo
32A. Costa
3L. Blanco
25S. Ascacibar
C5L. Paredes
18M. Delgado
19L. Flores
16M. Merentiel
10T. Aranda
1T. Marchiori
4J. Garcia
32T. Silvero
2E. Mammana
C3E. Gomez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone
11M. Pellegrini
10D. Valdes
22M. Lanzini
15D. GodoyBoca Juniors Substitutes
12L. Brey
11Angel Romero
21K. Zenon
4J. Figal
22S. Villa74'for L. Flores
9M. Gimenez63'for Miguel Merentiel
27M. Braida
15W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
20A. Velasco63'for T. Aranda
26M. Pellegrino46'for A. Costa
23C. Rey Domenech
24D. Gorosito
Velez Sarsfield Substitutes
25F. Villalba
34A. Busso
16L. Magallan
5C. Baeza63'for E. Gomez
17A. Veron83'for M. Lanzini
19L. Cristaldo
18S. Escobar46'for D. Valdes
47A. Pereyra
48L. Feler82'for L. Robertone
39T. Aguirre63'for D. Godoy
37J. Policella
30L. Piola
Match Stats
Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield 59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards4
27Total Shots8
9Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal3
16Shots Inside Box3
11Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots1
12Fouls10
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves8
553Total Passes397
463Passes Accurate304
84%Pass Accuracy77%
Team Comparison
Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield1837Elo Rating 1732
1.41Attack 2.16
2.50Defense 1.85
86%Hit Rate 42%
12.7Shots per Game 16.6
4.2Shots on Target 6.2
6.5Corners per Game 6.5
3.5Cards per Game 2.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Boca Juniors- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Boca Juniors4Wins · 50%Draws113%
Velez Sarsfield3Wins · 37%
3Wins · 37%3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8
Previous meetings
09/02/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors21
28/11/2024Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield34
15/06/2024Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield10
26/02/2023Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors12
02/10/2022Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield10
10/04/2022Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors00
25/10/2021Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors20
08/03/2021Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors17
Recent Form
Boca Juniors5W2D3L
06/08/2026Boca Juniors
Estudiantes L.P.
Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors
O'HigginsBoca Juniors
Deportivo RiestraBoca JuniorsBoca JuniorsO'Higgins
Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.10
W02/08/2026Newells Old BoysBoca Juniors22
D31/07/2026O'HigginsBoca Juniors3140
W27/07/2026Deportivo RiestraBoca Juniors30
L24/07/2026Boca JuniorsO'Higgins10
W17/07/2026
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors02
W09/07/2026Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Boca JuniorsAtletico Paranaense10
W29/05/2026Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica01
L20/05/2026Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Boca JuniorsCruzeiro11
D10/05/2026Boca Juniors
Huracan
Boca JuniorsHuracan2131
LVelez Sarsfield6W3D1L
04/08/2026Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
Talleres CordobaVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
Velez SarsfieldIndependiente10
W31/07/2026Talleres CordobaVelez Sarsfield13
W25/07/2026Velez SarsfieldInstituto Cordoba10
W11/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.01
L05/05/2026Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys11
D01/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia Y Tiro20
W27/04/2026Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Velez SarsfieldUnion Santa Fe22
D21/04/2026
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield
San LorenzoVelez Sarsfield00
D14/04/2026Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Velez SarsfieldCentral Cordoba de Santiago10
W07/04/2026Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Armenio41
WReferee Profile
5.47Cards per match
5.24Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.47 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).
Cards come from 179 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DDLLD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDLDD |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DDDWW |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | LDDWW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DDWWD |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LDWLW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DLLLD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 34 | DDWWD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24:14 | +10 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:17 | +8 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | +6 | 28 | LDWLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | +7 | 26 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:17 | +1 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 20 | WWWLD |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 19 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 11 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 26:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 25:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 19:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 15:16 | 23 |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 18:17 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 18:20 | 20 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9:16 | 19 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 12:26 | 11 |
Liga Profesional Argentina
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 46:23 | +23 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 37:27 | +10 | 60 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:39 | +11 | 57 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:39 | +5 | 57 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 43:29 | +14 | 56 | LDWWL |
| 7 |  River Plate | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 43:26 | +17 | 55 | WLWWD |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:32 | +11 | 55 | DDWWD |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 10 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 49 | LDLLW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 40:29 | +11 | 47 | DDLLD |
| 12 |  Barracas Central | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | +4 | 42 | WDWDL |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 41 | DDLLW |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 41 | LDDWW |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:44 | -8 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Tigre | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:31 | +3 | 39 | WWLDL |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 | DDDWL |
| 23 |  Racing Club | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 36 | LWLDL |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 25 |  Banfield | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 | DLDLW |
| 26 |  Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 27 | DLLLD |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16:31 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15:47 | -32 | 14 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 46:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 46:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 50:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 44:39 | 57 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 43:29 | 56 |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 43:26 | 55 |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 43:32 | 55 |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 48:44 | 42 |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 36:44 | 40 |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28:35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35:44 | 33 |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 31:37 | 32 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 23:47 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 16:31 | 23 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 22:45 | 19 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15:47 | 14 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 08/08/26
- Atletico Tucuman vs Sarmiento Junin 08/08/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes L.P. 08/08/26
- Tigre vs River Plate 08/08/26
- Independiente vs Platense 09/08/26
- Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia M. 09/08/26
- San Lorenzo vs Huracan 09/08/26
- Defensa Y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys 09/08/26
About the Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Boca Juniors and Velez Sarsfield in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Boca Juniors are 2nd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 2 points ahead of Velez Sarsfield in 3rd. League goal record so far: Boca Juniors 22-9, Velez Sarsfield 18-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.