Dijon vs Metz Prediction
France · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Dijon Rest
10 days
Metz Rest
23 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
134%2.75
X29%3.48
237%2.40
Double Chance
1X63%1.53
X266%1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.57
No41%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.4 = 2.82
Over 1.578%1.20
Over 2.554%1.71
Over 3.534%2.75
Under 1.522%4.10
Under 2.546%2.10
Under 3.566%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.558%1.87
Over 9.548%2.38
Over 10.537%3.20
Under 8.542%1.86
Under 9.552%1.49
Under 10.563%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.561%-
Over 4.542%-
Under 3.539%-
Under 4.558%-
Match Events
19'H. Vargas RíosAssist: Paul Bellon
23'Jean RuizFoul
24'Ange Lago
32'Júlio TavaresAssist: Paul Bellon
44'Pape Moussa FallAssist: Jessy Deminguet
51'Believe Munongo INAbdourahmane Mbodj out
62'Ange Lago INAlexis Ntamack out
62'H. Vargas Ríos INBrandon Nsimba Ndezi out
62'Florian MiguelFoul
66'Florian Miguel INMorgan Bokele Mputu out
66'Giorgi Abuashvili INIbou Sane out
69'Quentin Bernard
72'Cristian CastroDissent
76'Adel Lembezat INSamy Chouchane out
76'Júlio Tavares INTyris Dong out
84'Boubacar Diallo INLuis Puleri out
84'Bouna Sarr INBryan Rigobert Song Bahanag out
84'Maxime Colin INAbdoulaye Agne Ba out
88'Pape Moussa FallAssist: Bryan Rigobert Song Bahanag
Lineups
DijonMetz
3-5-2Coach: Grégory PromentAvg ratingAvg rating
16P. Delecroix
7B. Hamada
23L. Lacroix
5Q. Bernard7575B. Diallo
8P. Bellon
14J. Marié
20H. Vargas-Ríos
17A. Lembezat
11J. Tavares
90A. Lago
1J. Fischer
2M. Colin
42C. Devenish
5J. Ruiz
70B. Sarr
12A. Touré
18B. Munongo
8J. Deminguet
3F. Miguel
9G. Abuashvili
11P. FallDijon Substitutes
21Samy Olivier Chouchane76'for Adel Lembezat
6W. Diouf
93I. Bouleghcha
10Y. Barka
9T. Dong76'for Júlio Tavares
46Ilan Marie-Rose
29A. Ntamack62'for Ange Lago
18B. Ndezi62'for H. Vargas Ríos
32Luis Puleri84'replaced by Boubacar Diallo
Metz Substitutes
61P. Sy
88A. Agne Ba84'for Maxime Colin
19M. Bokele Mputu66'for Florian Miguel
30T. Dos Santos
33Abdourahmane Mbodj51'replaced by Believe Munongo
4U. Mboula
98I. Mohamed
7Ibou Sané66'for Giorgi Abuashvili
39B. Song84'for Bouna Sarr
Match Stats
DijonMetz 40%Ball Possession60%
3Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots5
17Fouls17
2Offsides5
2Goalkeeper Saves3
369Total Passes564
301Passes Accurate497
17Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
DijonMetz1611Elo Rating 1605
2.26Attack 1.68
0.71Defense 1.02
50%Hit Rate 23%
14.2Shots per Game 12.4
4.8Shots on Target 4.7
5.0Corners per Game 3.6
1.1Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.82 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Dijon- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.9 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Metz- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Dijon1Wins · 25%Draws250%
Metz1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%2.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4
Previous meetings
18/02/2023DijonMetz00
27/08/2022MetzDijon12
02/05/2021DijonMetz15
08/11/2020MetzDijon11
Recent Form
Dijon3W5D2L
02/10/2026Dijon
Estac Troyes
18/09/2026DijonEstac Troyes22
D
AnnecyDijon12
W11/09/2026Dijon
Laval
DijonLaval32
W04/09/2026
BoulogneDijon
BoulogneDijon11
D31/08/2026Dijon
Saint Etienne
DijonSaint Etienne23
L21/08/2026
Clermont FootDijon
Clermont FootDijon11
D14/08/2026Dijon
PAU
08/08/2026DijonPAU01
L
MontpellierDijon11
D01/08/2026
NancyDijon
NancyDijon22
D25/07/2026
SochauxDijon
SochauxDijon03
WMetz4W4D2L
19/09/2026MetzSaint Etienne
MetzSaint Etienne22
D14/09/2026
RED Star FC 93Metz
RED Star FC 93Metz10
L05/09/2026Metz
Rodez
MetzRodez41
W29/08/2026AnnecyMetz
AnnecyMetz11
D22/08/2026MetzLaval
MetzLaval11
D14/08/2026
GrenobleMetz
GrenobleMetz00
D08/08/2026Metz
Guingamp
MetzGuingamp21
W01/08/2026Metz
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Metz1. FC Kaiserslautern13
L25/07/2026Metz
Fortuna Sittard
MetzFortuna Sittard31
W22/07/2026MetzSochaux
MetzSochaux41
WReferee Profile
3.84Cards per match
3.63Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
27.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.84 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.89).
Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Montpellier | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 |  Reims | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19:11 | +8 | 17 | WDDWD |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 |  Dunkerque | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 | WDLDD |
| 15 |  Nantes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 23:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Nancy | 10 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 9 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 4 | Reims | 9 | 19:11 | 17 |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 13:21 | 6 |
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About the Dijon vs Metz forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Dijon and Metz in the Ligue 2 table
Metz and Dijon are close in the Ligue 2 table, 8th and 9th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Dijon 17-18, Metz 16-14. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.