Sochaux vs Boulogne Prediction

Sochaux
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Boulogne
Stade Bonal, Montbeliard·Mickael Leleu 09/10/2026
SochauxSochaux
1-1
Finished
BoulogneBoulogne

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.34
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Sochaux Rest
7 days
Boulogne Rest
7 days

Sochaux vs Boulogne: result, form and history

Sochaux and Boulogne drew 1-1 in the Ligue 2 on 9 Oct 2026. Sochaux had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Boulogne.

Referee Mickael Leleu averages 3.42 cards a game, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.30
X
29%3.18
2
27%3.10
Double Chance
1X
73%1.34
X2
57%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.91
No
48%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.1 = 2.65
Over 1.5
70%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.26
Over 3.5
25%4.15
Under 1.5
30%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.60
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.4 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.87
Over 9.5
42%2.41
Over 10.5
29%3.20
Under 8.5
47%1.83
Under 9.5
58%1.50
Under 10.5
71%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

8'Benjamin GomelAssist: Kapitbafan Djoco
40'Julien MassonFoul
46'Demba ThiamFoul
64'Mohamed Soumah INBenjamin Besic out
65'Noah Fatar INAurelien Platret out
68'Yohan Demoncy INSamy Baghdadi out
68'Kapitbafan Djoco INMathis Clairicia out
68'Landry Nomel INLouicius Deedson out
75'Abdel HbouchAssist: Aurelien Platret
78'Arthur Vitelli INSaad Agouzoul out
84'Benjamin Gomel INBoubacar Fofana out
87'Abdel Hbouch INMartin Lecolier out
87'Joffrey Bultel INTheo Epailly out
90'Nolan Binet INSonny Duflos out
90+4'Adrien PinotPersistent infringement

Lineups

Sochaux
4-2-3-1Coach: Vincent Hognon
Boulogne
3-4-3Coach: F. Dagneaux
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.49
M. Jeannin6.440M. Jeannin
E. N'Gatta6.426E. N'Gatta
A. Vitelli6.84A. Vitelli
M. Peybernes6.714M. Peybernes
D. Gomis6.53D. Gomis
B. Diawara6.021B. Diawara
J. Masson6.223J. Masson
L. Nomel6.877L. Nomel
Y. Demoncy6.624Y. Demoncy
B. Gomel7.67B. Gomel
K. Djoco7.39K. Djoco
Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu6.899B. Rudolph Nna Noukeu
A. Pinot6.015A. Pinot
A. Kerriou5.825A. Kerriou
D. Thiam6.118D. Thiam
J. Martin6.48J. Martin
J. Bultel6.314J. Bultel
N. Binet6.619N. Binet
N. Fatar6.211N. Fatar
M. Soumah6.336M. Soumah
J. Boyer6.712J. Boyer
A. Hbouch7.610A. Hbouch

Sochaux Substitutes

91M. Clairicia68'for Kapitbafan Djoco6.1
5S. Baghdadi68'for Yohan Demoncy6.5
97S. Agouzoul78'for Arthur Vitelli6.3
11L. Deedson68'for Landry Nomel6.3
25P. Diop
10B. Fofana84'for Benjamin Gomel6.5
15J. Mexique
30A. Pierre
42Dylan Tavares

Boulogne Substitutes

1X. Lenogue
26O. Lenne
20T. Brusco
22S. Duflos90'for Nolan Binet
7A. Nassiri
21A. Platret65'for Noah Fatar6.6
9M. Lecolier87'for Abdel Hbouch6.5
17B. Besic64'for Mohamed Soumah6.7
64T. Epailly87'for Joffrey Bultel6.9

Match Stats

SochauxBoulogne
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls23
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves2
409Total Passes412
323Passes Accurate320
22Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

SochauxSochaux
BoulogneBoulogne
1569Elo Rating 1553
1.23Attack 1.10
1.14Defense 2.24
14%Hit Rate 27%
14.0Shots per Game 12.1
4.3Shots on Target 3.9
7.0Corners per Game 5.1
1.6Cards per Game 2.8

Game State Tendencies

SochauxSochaux
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BoulogneBoulogne
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SochauxSochaux1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
BoulogneBoulogne0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

National 102/05/2025
BoulogneSochaux
23
National 110/01/2025
SochauxBoulogne
11

Recent Form

SochauxSochaux
3W5D2L
02/10/2026
SochauxNeuchatel Xamax FC
21
W
18/09/2026
LavalSochaux
11
D
12/09/2026
SochauxNantes
10
W
04/09/2026
PAUSochaux
11
D
28/08/2026
Clermont FootSochaux
00
D
21/08/2026
SochauxGuingamp
10
W
14/08/2026
RED Star FC 93Sochaux
00
D
08/08/2026
SochauxSaint Etienne
03
L
01/08/2026
SochauxAuxerre
11
D
25/07/2026
SochauxDijon
03
L
BoulogneBoulogne
0W6D4L
02/10/2026
Le HavreBoulogne
61
L
19/09/2026
BoulogneNantes
12
L
11/09/2026
Clermont FootBoulogne
00
D
04/09/2026
BoulogneDijon
11
D
28/08/2026
MontpellierBoulogne
00
D
21/08/2026
BoulogneRED Star FC 93
11
D
14/08/2026
GuingampBoulogne
10
L
08/08/2026
BoulogneNancy
00
D
31/07/2026
ValenciennesBoulogne
11
D
25/07/2026
BoulogneRouen
01
L

Referee Profile

Mickael Leleu122 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.27Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
28.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mickael Leleu3.42
Other referees3.98

3.42 cards a match, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
3MontpellierMontpellier953111:5+618WWDWL
4ReimsReims945019:11+817WDDWD
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93952212:10+217LWWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
14BoulogneBoulogne91626:609WDLDD
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2NancyNancy1012:819
3MontpellierMontpellier911:518
4ReimsReims919:1117
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 93912:1017
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13RodezRodez1016:2210
14BoulogneBoulogne96:69
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Sochaux vs Boulogne forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sochaux and Boulogne in the Ligue 2 table

Sochaux and Boulogne are close in the Ligue 2 table, 12th and 14th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Sochaux 8-12, Boulogne 6-6. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sochaux and Boulogne have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.