Guingamp vs PAU Prediction
France · Regular Season - 9
Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp·Vincent, Thomas 16/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Guingamp Rest
7 days
PAU Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.17
X28%3.44
230%3.12
Double Chance
1X70%1.33
X258%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes57%1.65
No43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.25 = 2.67
Over 1.575%1.25
Over 2.552%1.82
Over 3.532%3.04
Under 1.525%3.65
Under 2.548%1.96
Under 3.568%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.5 = 9.6
Over 8.560%1.67
Over 9.548%2.07
Over 10.537%2.67
Under 8.540%2.11
Under 9.552%1.68
Under 10.563%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.543%-
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.557%-
Match Events
6'Cheikh FallAssist: Lorenzo Rajot
13'Anthony BriançonDissent
25'Gaëtan PaquiezFoul
33'Bilal BrahimiAssist: Anthony Briançon
45'Anthony Briançon INRony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng out
45'Tanguy Ahile INBrandon Bokangu out
57'Tuomas Ollila INAmadou Samoura out
57'Tom Ducrocq INFlorent Sanchez Da Silva out
62'Bilal Brahimi INJeremy Sebas out
66'Hacene Benali INLuan Gadegbeku out
66'Jeremy SebasFoul
67'Stanislas Kielt INDylan Louiserre out
74'Nathan FondjaFoul
74'Nathan Fondja INIbrahim Fomba out
75'Teddy Andami Averlant
80'Babacar Leye INAbdoulaye Mbaye out
80'Tom Pouilly INAbdel Hakim Abdallah out
83'Jeovanni DiangangaFoul
Lineups
GuingampPAU
5-3-2Coach: Thierry DebesAvg ratingAvg rating
16A. Ortolá
2E. Koffi
24J. Dianganga
35N. Fondja
5T. Ollila
11T. Averlant
25T. Ducrocq
21T. Ahile
20S. Ben Brahim
10A. Hemia
18S. Kielt
1B. Maubleu
2T. Pouilly
29G. Paquiez
23A. Briançon
88A. Bamba
39M. Tourraine
10B. Brahimi
5L. Rajot
6C. Fall
9B. Leye
7H. BenaliGuingamp Substitutes
8F. Da Silva57'for Tom Ducrocq
22B. Bokangu45'for Tanguy Ahile
1T. Bartouche
38E. Aucan
33Ibrahim Fomba74'replaced by Nathan Fondja
4D. Louiserre67'for Stanislas Kielt
31J. Matondo
3J. Matumona
17A. Samoura57'for Tuomas Ollila
PAU Substitutes
8S. Basse
25Q. Daubin
4A. Dodote
27L. Gadegbeku66'for Hacene Benali
56Abdoulaye Mbaye80'for Babacar Leye
22R. Baheng45'for Anthony Briançon
30E. Salles
97A. Abdallah80'for Tom Pouilly
18J. Sebas62'for Bilal Brahimi66'
Match Stats
GuingampPAU 64%Ball Possession36%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
14Fouls19
1Goalkeeper Saves3
594Total Passes349
516Passes Accurate269
17Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
GuingampPAU1556Elo Rating 1594
1.22Attack 1.91
1.71Defense 1.97
41%Hit Rate 86%
12.7Shots per Game 14.2
4.7Shots on Target 5.5
4.5Corners per Game 3.5
2.4Cards per Game 3.2
Game State Tendencies
Guingamp- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PAU- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Guingamp5Wins · 50%Draws110%
PAU4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
17/04/2026PAUGuingamp21
08/11/2025GuingampPAU22
10/05/2025PAUGuingamp13
18/10/2024GuingampPAU01
27/04/2024PAUGuingamp12
26/08/2023GuingampPAU40
22/04/2023PAUGuingamp21
30/07/2022GuingampPAU40
19/04/2022GuingampPAU30
20/11/2021PAUGuingamp20
Recent Form
Guingamp3W3D4L
09/10/2026
NancyGuingamp
ReimsGuingamp
NancyGuingamp10
L02/10/2026Guingamp
Le Mans
GuingampLe Mans21
W19/09/2026Guingamp
RED Star FC 93
GuingampRED Star FC 9313
L12/09/2026Guingamp
Annecy
05/09/2026GuingampAnnecy21
WReimsGuingamp22
D29/08/2026Guingamp
Nantes
GuingampNantes33
D21/08/2026
SochauxGuingamp
SochauxGuingamp10
L14/08/2026Guingamp
Boulogne
GuingampBoulogne10
W08/08/2026
MetzGuingamp
MetzGuingamp21
L01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp33
DPAU4W2D4L
09/10/2026PAU
LavalPAU
DunkerquePAUSochaux
PAULaval32
W03/10/2026
ToulousePAU
18/09/2026ToulousePAU23
WPAUDunkerque20
W11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
04/09/2026MontpellierPAU10
LPAUSochaux11
D28/08/2026
RodezPAU
RodezPAU22
D21/08/2026PAUNancy
PAUNancy01
L14/08/2026
DijonPAU
DijonPAU01
W08/08/2026PAUAnnecy
PAUAnnecy01
L01/08/2026PAU
Real Unión
PAUReal Unión12
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23:8 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Montpellier | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | +6 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 4 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 19:11 | +8 | 17 | WDDWD |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 17 | WWWWL |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 14 | DWLDL |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 | DWLLW |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 10 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 | WDLDD |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 16 |  Grenoble | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 | LLLDW |
| 17 |  Clermont Foot | 10 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LDLDD |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 23:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Nancy | 10 | 12:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 9 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 4 | Reims | 9 | 19:11 | 17 |
| 5 | PAU | 10 | 13:10 | 17 |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 9 | 12:10 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 8 | Metz | 10 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Dijon | 10 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 10 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 10 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Sochaux | 10 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rodez | 10 | 16:22 | 10 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 9 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 15 | Nantes | 10 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 10 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 10 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Laval | 10 | 13:21 | 6 |
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About the Guingamp vs PAU forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Guingamp and PAU in the Ligue 2 table
In the Ligue 2 table, PAU are 5th and Guingamp 11th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Guingamp 13-15, PAU 13-10. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.