PAU vs Laval Prediction

PAU
3-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Laval
Nouste Camp, Pau·Karim Abed 09/10/2026
PAUPAU
3-2
Finished
LavalLaval

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
PAU Rest
6 days
Laval Rest
7 days

PAU vs Laval: the result in context

PAU beat Laval 3-2 in the Ligue 2 on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Karim Abed averages 3.38 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.04
X
28%3.40
2
27%3.50
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
55%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.75
No
48%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.08 = 2.34
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.97
Over 3.5
25%3.40
Under 1.5
29%3.40
Under 2.5
53%1.79
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.1 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.51
Over 9.5
47%1.90
Over 10.5
37%2.44
Under 8.5
42%2.29
Under 9.5
53%1.82
Under 10.5
63%1.49
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

18'Anthony BriançonAssist: Jessy Benet
21'Mathys HoudayerAssist: Ethan Clavreul
30'Axel BambaFoul
36'Alessio BeaudouinFoul
42'Jessy Benet INLorenzo Rajot out
45'Abdel Hakim Abdallah INMathys Tourraine out
45'Tom Saettel INJeremy Sebas out
55'Babacar LeyeAssist: Jeremy Sebas
57'Hacene BenaliTime wasting
61'Ethan Clavreul INTrevis Dago out
61'Jules Gaudin INAmine Moussaoui out
61'Anthony Briançon INRony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng out
61'Aboubakary Kante INC. Gourichy out
64'Mathys Houdayer
76'Hacene BenaliAssist: Mathys Tourraine
78'Axel Bamba INSouleymane Basse out
81'Alessio Beaudouin INJulien Maggiotti out
81'Sam Sanna INCyril Mandouki out
90'Trevis DagoAssist: C. Gourichy
90+6'Julien MaggiottiViolent conduct

Lineups

PAU
5-3-2Coach: Thierry Debes
Laval
4-3-1-2Coach: David Vignes
Avg rating6.84
Avg rating6.43
B. Maubleu6.81B. Maubleu
T. Pouilly6.72T. Pouilly
G. Paquiez7.029G. Paquiez
A. Briançon8.023A. Briançon
A. Bamba6.288A. Bamba
A. Abdallah6.197A. Abdallah
C. Fall6.36C. Fall
J. Benet6.721J. Benet
T. Saettel6.619T. Saettel
H. Benali8.17H. Benali
B. Leye8.19B. Leye
M. Hautbois6.91M. Hautbois
E. Mouton6.623E. Mouton
S. Bane6.424S. Bane
A. Lô6.618A. Lô
3535J. Samb
S. Sanna6.26S. Sanna
2121A. Beaudouin
J. Gaudin6.222J. Gaudin
M. Houdayer7.631M. Houdayer
A. Kanté6.428A. Kanté
E. Clavreul6.720E. Clavreul

PAU Substitutes

39M. Tourraine45'for Abdel Hakim Abdallah6.6
27L. Gadegbeku
10B. Brahimi
8S. Basse78'for Axel Bamba6.1
56Abdoulaye Mbaye
22R. Baheng61'for Anthony Briançon6.2
5L. Rajot42'for Jessy Benet6.9
30E. Salles
18J. Sebas45'for Tom Saettel7.1

Laval Substitutes

11T. Dago61'for Ethan Clavreul90'7.6
40L. Droyaux
7C. Gourichy61'for Aboubakary Kante6.5
5J. Maggiotti81'replaced by Alessio Beaudouin90+6'5.3
14C. Mandouki81'for Sam Sanna5.8
33S. Mellier
34A. Moussaoui61'for Jules Gaudin6.3
3W. Bianda
29M. Sidibe

Match Stats

PAULaval
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots11
8Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
8Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots2
19Fouls20
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
362Total Passes485
303Passes Accurate425
19Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

PAUPAU
LavalLaval
1594Elo Rating 1530
1.91Attack 1.52
1.97Defense 0.87
86%Hit Rate 0%
14.2Shots per Game 14.6
5.5Shots on Target 5.6
3.5Corners per Game 6.1
3.2Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PAUPAU
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
LavalLaval
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

PAUPAU4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
LavalLaval2Wins · 25%
1.9Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
25%3+ goals2 of 8

Previous meetings

Ligue 230/01/2026
LavalPAU
01
Ligue 223/09/2025
PAULaval
10
Ligue 231/01/2025
PAULaval
11
Ligue 227/09/2024
LavalPAU
31
Ligue 220/04/2024
PAULaval
30
Ligue 216/12/2023
LavalPAU
11
Ligue 218/02/2023
PAULaval
01
Ligue 210/09/2022
LavalPAU
01

Recent Form

PAUPAU
3W2D5L
03/10/2026
ToulousePAU
23
W
18/09/2026
PAUDunkerque
20
W
11/09/2026
MontpellierPAU
10
L
04/09/2026
PAUSochaux
11
D
28/08/2026
RodezPAU
22
D
21/08/2026
PAUNancy
01
L
14/08/2026
DijonPAU
01
W
08/08/2026
PAUAnnecy
01
L
01/08/2026
PAUReal Unión
12
L
25/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIPAU
40
L
LavalLaval
3W3D4L
02/10/2026
LavalRennes
10
W
18/09/2026
LavalSochaux
11
D
11/09/2026
DijonLaval
32
L
04/09/2026
LavalRED Star FC 93
12
L
28/08/2026
LavalGrenoble
03
L
22/08/2026
MetzLaval
11
D
14/08/2026
LavalNantes
21
W
08/08/2026
RodezLaval
31
L
31/07/2026
Le HavreLaval
11
D
30/07/2026
LavalGranville
31
W

Referee Profile

Karim Abed102 matches

3.38Cards per match
3.23Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Karim Abed3.38
Other referees4.03

3.38 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.03).

Cards come from 84 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the PAU vs Laval forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

PAU and Laval in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, PAU are 5th and Laval 18th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: PAU 13-10, Laval 13-21. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.