Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal Prediction
Iraq · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal: the result in context
Erbil and Ghaz Al Shamal drew 1-1 in the Iraqi League on 30 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Erbil
Ghaz Al ShamalGame State Tendencies
Erbil- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ghaz Al Shamal- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Recent Form
ErbilErbil
Al-Ettifaq
ZakhoErbilErbil
Mosul
AjmanErbil
Naft MaysanErbil
KarbalaErbilErbil
Al-KarmaErbil
Diyala
Al ShortaErbilErbil
Al Minaa BasraGhaz Al ShamalGhaz Al ShamalNaft MaysanGhaz Al Shamal
Al Zawra'aAl Minaa BasraGhaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
NewrozAl ShortaGhaz Al Shamal
DuhokGhaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
Al-Jolan SC
GharrafGhaz Al Shamal
Al Quwa Al JawiyaGhaz Al ShamalGhaz Al Shamal
Al KahrabaaLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 2 |  Naft | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 14:5 | +9 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Newroz | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 23 | DDWWD |
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 21 | LLLWW |
| 5 |  Al Shorta | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 21 | DW |
| 6 | Al-Jolan SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 20 | WWWDD |
| 7 | Erbil | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:8 | +7 | 19 | DLLDW |
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 16 | DWLWD |
| 9 | Duhok | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19:16 | +3 | 15 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 | DWWDD |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Diyala | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 | DWLDW |
| 14 | Zakho | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 13 | WDWDL |
| 16 | Mosul | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:20 | -7 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 9 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 20 | Karbala | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 7 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 12 | 19:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Naft | 12 | 14:5 | 25 |
| 3 | Newroz | 12 | 17:5 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 17:9 | 21 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 12 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 6 | Al-Jolan SC | 12 | 16:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Erbil | 12 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Minaa Basra | 12 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Duhok | 12 | 19:16 | 15 |
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 12 | 7:8 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Talaba | 12 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 12 | 14:13 | 13 |
| 13 | Diyala | 12 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Zakho | 12 | 9:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Gharraf | 12 | 8:14 | 13 |
| 16 | Mosul | 12 | 13:20 | 12 |
| 17 | Al Karkh | 12 | 15:21 | 9 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 12 | 7:15 | 9 |
| 19 | Al Kahrabaa | 12 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbala | 12 | 11:24 | 7 |
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About the Erbil vs Ghaz Al Shamal forecast
The forecasts for this Iraqi League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Erbil and Ghaz Al Shamal in the Iraqi League table
In the Iraqi League table, Erbil are 7th and Ghaz Al Shamal 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Erbil 15-8, Ghaz Al Shamal 7-8. The full standings are on the Iraqi League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Erbil have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Erbil and Ghaz Al Shamal have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.