Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano Prediction

Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar· P. Maza 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel64%RiskMediumGap+3.3%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.90
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+12.4%
Everton de Vina Rest
7 days
A. Italiano Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.80
X
25%3.50
2
17%4.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.22
X2
42%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.79
No
36%1.92
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.79 + 1.14 = 2.93
Over 1.5
82%1.29
Over 2.5
61%1.90
Over 3.5
36%3.25
Under 1.5
18%3.50
Under 2.5
39%1.87
Under 3.5
64%1.31
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.3 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.39
Over 9.5
49%1.67
Over 10.5
35%2.10
Under 8.5
33%2.74
Under 9.5
51%2.05
Under 10.5
65%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.7 = 5.2
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

1'P. GuajardoFoul
15'F. Troyansky(Penalty)
15'F. TroyanskyUnsportsmanlike conduct
19'H. MagallanesFoul
25'R. RebolledoFoul
34'H. MagallanesFoul
34'H. MagallanesFoul
37'F. MateosFoul
46'O. Opazo Lara INV. Vidal out
46'P. Guajardo INA. Uribe out
46'J. Ovalle INE. M. Ramos Aviles out
46'F. Troyansky IND. Coelho out
54'E. M. Ramos AvilesAssist: J. Alfaro
64'G. Chiaverano INM. Fuentes out
64'M. Sandoval INM. Collao out
73'N. Baeza ING. Charrupi out
76'F. Mateos IND. Pizarro out
80'N. Montiel INB. Martinez out
87'F. SalomoniFoul
90'J. Alfaro INV. Fernandez out
90+2'M. CollaoFoul
90+5'M. FuentesUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Everton de Vina
Coach: Davis Gonzalez
A. Italiano
Coach: Patricio Graff

Everton de Vina Starting XI

1I. Gonzalez
2O. Opazo Lara
4H. Magallanes
24D. Oyarzun
14N. Baeza
21B. Berrios
7J. Moya
20J. Ovalle
10A. Medina
9J. Alfaro
40N. Montiel

A. Italiano Starting XI

1T. Ahumada
35R. Rebolledo
13E. Ferrario
29M. Ortiz
3F. Salomoni
6M. Sandoval
7P. Guajardo
28F. Mateos
19C. Pinares
21G. Chiaverano
11F. Troyansky

Everton de Vina Substitutes

25E. Kirkman
15V. Fernandez
37V. Vidal
33A. Arroyo
6G. Charrupi
30C. Palacios
11E. M. Ramos Aviles
29B. Martinez
27S. Reinoso

A. Italiano Substitutes

25P. Garrido
14D. Monreal
8M. Collao
32B. Soto
2V. Zenteno
30A. Uribe
22D. Pizarro
9D. Coelho
27M. Fuentes

Team Comparison

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
1630Elo Rating 1585
2.03Attack 0.83
2.19Defense 1.89
63%Hit Rate 50%
16.2Shots per Game 11.3
6.3Shots on Target 3.1
4.0Corners per Game 4.6
1.1Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals

Game State Tendencies

Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Everton de Vina 31%Draw 19%50% A. Italiano
1.9Avg Goals
36%BTTS Rate
17%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

P. Maza · 55 matches analysed

5.5Avg Yellows
5.9Avg Cards
22.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 97% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Everton de Vina vs A. Italiano Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Everton de Vina have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. A. Italiano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Everton de Vina and A. Italiano have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.9 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.