Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Excelsior
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sparta Rotterdam
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam· Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
86%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 10.5
1.89
SignalGOODModel40%RiskMediumGap+4.9%
Excelsior Rest
13 days
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.17
X
27%3.74
2
27%3.00
Double Chance
1X
73%1.37
X2
54%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.48
No
44%2.46
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.25 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.59
Over 3.5
33%2.45
Under 1.5
17%4.72
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
67%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
74%1.31
Over 9.5
60%1.55
Over 10.5
54%1.89
Under 8.5
26%3.04
Under 9.5
40%2.23
Under 10.5
46%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.4
Over 3.5
32%1.57
Over 4.5
16%2.12
Under 3.5
68%2.27
Under 4.5
84%1.64

Match Events

20'Jens ToornstraFoul
24'Aymen sliti
28'Simon JanssenFoul
37'Ágúst Orri ThorsteinssonFoul
39'Robin van Cruijsen INCasper Terho out
48'Milan ZonneveldAssist: Mitchell Van Bergen
59'Aymen sliti INAlireza Jahanbakhsh out
59'Daniel van Vianen INEric da Silva Moreira out
67'David Garden INNesto groen out
67'Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson INIlano Silva Timas out
83'Jens Toornstra INAlwande Benedict Roaldsøy out
83'Mitchell Van Bergen INJoel Ideho out
85'Simon Janssen INKasey Bos out
89'Julian Baas INNick Verschuren out
90+2'Nesto groenAssist: Ilano Silva Timas

Lineups

Excelsior
4-3-3Coach: Ruben den Uil
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1Coach: Rogier Meijer
S. van Gassel1S. van GasselS. van Gassel
R. Meissen3R. MeissenR. Meissen
C. Widell4C. WidellC. Widell
J. Plug14J. PlugJ. Plug
L. Hartjes20L. HartjesL. Hartjes
I. Yegoian8I. YegoianI. Yegoian
D. van Vianen6D. van VianenD. van Vianen
A. Sliti7A. SlitiA. Sliti
D. Garden19D. GardenD. Garden
Á. Þorsteinsson30Á. ÞorsteinssonÁ. Þorsteinsson
F. Bednarek1F. BednarekF. Bednarek
M. Young3M. YoungM. Young
B. Martins Indi4B. Martins IndiB. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers5B. KuipersB. Kuipers
J. Baas6J. BaasJ. Baas
J. Toornstra8J. ToornstraJ. Toornstra
Robin van Cruijsen7R. van CruijsenRobin van Cruijsen
S. Mito10S. MitoS. Mito
M. van Bergen11M. van BergenM. van Bergen
M. Zonneveld9M. ZonneveldM. Zonneveld

Excelsior Substitutes

12K. BosF
5S. HenderikxD
40Tijmen HollaG
11A. JahanbakhshF
23Y. FineyM
21I. Silva TimasF
18V. SulzbacherM
2Eric Emanuel da Silva MoreiraF
28N. GroenF

Sparta Rotterdam Substitutes

15G. VianelloD
13N. VerschurenD
17C. TerhoF
16A. RoaldsøyM
12B. ReithD
14Teo QuinteroD
20P. KuiperG
22Joel IdehoF

Match Stats

ExcelsiorSparta Rotterdam
44%Ball Possession56%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots4
13Fouls7
1Goalkeeper Saves2
364Total Passes480
286Passes Accurate403
6Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

ExcelsiorExcelsior
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
1693Elo Rating 1613
1.78Attack 1.84
1.56Defense 0.44
36%Hit Rate 14%
11.5Shots per Game 14.0
4.3Shots on Target 5.9
4.6Corners per Game 7.1
1.9Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • No tendency data available
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Excelsior 44%Draw 0%56% Sparta Rotterdam
3.95Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
77%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ExcelsiorExcelsior
4W0D1L
15/08/2026
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
12
L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
W
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
W
24/07/2026
HeraclesExcelsior
35
W
18/07/2026
NAC BredaExcelsior
13
W
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
1W3D1L
22/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
33
D
14/08/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
13
W
09/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
01
L
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands · 13 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 12% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Excelsior and Sparta Rotterdam have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.95 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.