Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Telstar
1-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
BUKO Stadion, Velsen·Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.57
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+11.8%
Telstar Rest
6 days
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
5 days

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam: the result in context

Sparta Rotterdam beat Telstar 3-1 in the Eredivisie on 14 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Telstar had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Sparta Rotterdam.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.10
X
24%3.67
2
25%3.13
Double Chance
1X
75%1.34
X2
49%1.69
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.50
No
41%2.46
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 1.23 = 3.23
Over 1.5
85%1.17
Over 2.5
71%1.57
Over 3.5
42%2.40
Under 1.5
15%4.80
Under 2.5
29%2.35
Under 3.5
58%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.1
Over 8.5
56%1.25
Over 9.5
47%1.51
Over 10.5
36%1.83
Under 8.5
44%3.28
Under 9.5
53%2.37
Under 10.5
64%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
45%2.02
Over 4.5
28%2.65
Under 3.5
55%1.70
Under 4.5
72%1.39

Match Events

6'M. YoungAssist: N. Thorisson
53'N. ThorissonAssist: S. Mito
55'A. SoualhiaHolding
56'L. MartesHolding
57'R. Mendes INE. Demircan out
57'G. Caschili INR. Oudsten out
62'C. Terho INM. van Bergen out
64'J. Hardeveld INP. Aning out
64'J. Seedorf INN. Shenkman out
76'S. Mito INA. Roaldsoy out
76'J. Toornstra INR. van Cruijsen out
85'J. Baas INT. Quintero out
85'N. Thorisson INM. Zonneveld out
90+1'A. Soualhia
90+7'R. van CruijsenAssist: B. Kuipers

Lineups

Telstar
4-2-3-1Coach: Henk Brugge
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1Coach: Rogier Meijer
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.96
Ronald Koeman Jr9.01R. Koeman Jr
Gabi Caschili6.618G. Caschili
Abdelnour Soualhia8.24A. Soualhia
Marvin Peersman7.043M. Peersman
Jeff HardeveldC6.22J. Hardeveld
Nils Rossen6.617N. Rossen
Tyrone Owusu6.210T. Owusu
Rui Mendes6.37R. Mendes
Patrick Brouwer6.927P. Brouwer
Soufiane Hetli6.211S. Hetli
Jelani Seedorf6.29J. Seedorf
Filip Bednarek6.31F. Bednarek
Lushendry Edward Martes7.72L. Edward Martes
Marvin Young8.63M. Young
Nick Verschuren6.54N. Verschuren
Bas KuipersC6.65B. Kuipers
Julian Baas6.96J. Baas
Jens Toornstra6.98J. Toornstra
Casper Terho7.37C. Terho
Shunsuke Mito7.210S. Mito
Ayoni Santos7.311A. Santos
Nökkvi Þórisson8.29N. Þórisson

Telstar Substitutes

28Rojendro Oudsten57'for G. Caschili6.3
8Emirhan Demircan57'for R. Mendes6.3
5Prince Aning64'for J. Hardeveld6.3
23Noach Shenkman64'for J. Seedorf6.3
13Finn Mulder
20Daan Reiziger
15Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo
6Isaiah Ahmed
14Harrie Kuster
19Fabiano Rust
21Fofin Turay

Sparta Rotterdam Substitutes

17Mitchell Van Bergen62'for C. Terho6.3
18Robin van Cruijsen6.5
16Alwande Roaldsoy76'for S. Mito6.5
13Teo Quintero85'for J. Baas6.3
19Milan Zonneveld85'for N. Thorisson6.2
20Rik Suur
14Bruno Martins Indi
15Giannino Vianello
12Boyd Reith
30Duncan Lindhout
21Younes Jaber el Maftahi
22Joel Ideho

Match Stats

TelstarSparta Rotterdam
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots16
1Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
13Fouls17
1Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves0
509Total Passes327
424Passes Accurate256
83%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

TelstarTelstar
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
1572Elo Rating 1594
1.37Attack 1.85
0.52Defense 0.55
0%Hit Rate 19%
16.7Shots per Game 14.8
3.5Shots on Target 5.1
5.3Corners per Game 3.7
1.2Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TelstarTelstar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

TelstarTelstar1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam2Wins · 67%
2.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
Eredivisie22/04/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
41
Eredivisie25/10/2025
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10

Recent Form

TelstarTelstar
5W1D4L
08/08/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
12
W
31/07/2026
VfL WolfsburgTelstar
31
L
17/07/2026
De GraafschapTelstar
36
W
11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
L
04/07/2026
Almere City FCTelstar
21
L
17/05/2026
FC VolendamTelstar
12
W
10/05/2026
TelstarHeracles
30
W
02/05/2026
NEC NijmegenTelstar
11
D
22/04/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
41
W
11/04/2026
UtrechtTelstar
41
L
Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
2W3D5L
09/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
01
L
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D
25/07/2026
Zulte WaregemSparta Rotterdam
32
L
18/07/2026
SV MeppenSparta Rotterdam
32
L
11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
W
07/07/2026
VOCSparta Rotterdam
04
W
17/05/2026
Sparta RotterdamExcelsior
23
L
10/05/2026
TwenteSparta Rotterdam
40
L
03/05/2026
Sparta RotterdamGO Ahead Eagles
22
D

Referee Profile

Ingmar Oostrom157 matches

3.25Cards per match
3.15Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ingmar Oostrom3.25
Other referees3.23

3.25 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.23).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1174033:12+2125DDWWW
2AjaxAjax1173130:13+1724WWWDD
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1172235:13+2223WDLWL
4TwenteTwente1172228:10+1823WWLDW
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1162320:13+720LLDLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1154218:18019DWDDW
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1153319:13+618WWWLW
8GroningenGroningen1143426:24+215LDLWW
9CambuurCambuur1143423:22+115WWDWD
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1135323:27-414LWLDD
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1133520:26-612WLWDL
12UtrechtUtrecht1133519:31-1212LDWWL
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1125417:19-211LDDDD
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1132612:23-1111WDWLL
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1132616:28-1211LLLLD
16TelstarTelstar1123616:23-79WLLDL
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113713:24-116LLWDD
18Willem IIWillem II1102910:39-292LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FeyenoordFeyenoord1133:1225
2AjaxAjax1130:1324
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1135:1323
4TwenteTwente1128:1023
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1120:1320
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1118:1819
7HeerenveenHeerenveen1119:1318
8GroningenGroningen1126:2415
9CambuurCambuur1123:2215
10GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1123:2714
11Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1120:2612
12UtrechtUtrecht1119:3112
13NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1117:1911
14PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1112:2311
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1116:2811
16TelstarTelstar1116:239
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1113:246
18Willem IIWillem II1110:392
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About the Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam forecast

The forecasts for this Eredivisie match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Telstar and Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Sparta Rotterdam are 11th and Telstar 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Telstar 16-23, Sparta Rotterdam 20-26. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.