Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht Prediction

Sparta Rotterdam
3-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Utrecht
Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam·Dennis Higler, Netherlands 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 10.5
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Sparta Rotterdam Rest
7 days
Utrecht Rest
7 days

Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht: result, form and history

Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht drew 3-3 in the Eredivisie on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Utrecht tend to win more corners, 7.3 a game to 4.7 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.58
X
25%3.42
2
37%2.60
Double Chance
1X
63%1.46
X2
62%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.57
No
44%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 1.44 = 2.87
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
59%1.70
Over 3.5
32%2.75
Under 1.5
17%4.20
Under 2.5
41%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 5.1 = 10.5
Over 8.5
74%1.31
Over 9.5
60%1.57
Over 10.5
54%1.95
Under 8.5
26%3.06
Under 9.5
40%2.20
Under 10.5
46%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.8 = 3.4
Over 3.5
32%1.75
Over 4.5
16%2.56
Under 3.5
68%1.92
Under 4.5
84%1.41

Match Events

16'M. DiddenAssist: Y. Cathline
45'M. YoungAssist: B. Kuipers
46'A. StepanovAssist: N. Vesterlund
62'N. Thorisson INM. Zonneveld out
62'B. Martins Indi INM. van Bergen out
63'A. Alarcon INK. Paredes out
67'M. ZonneveldAssist: S. Mito
72'N. Ogidi Nwankwo INP. Kloosterboer out
73'Y. Cathline INA. Blake out
73'A. Stepanov IND. Min out
76'A. Blake
77'S. Horemans ING. Offerhaus out
79'M. Young INT. Quintero out
79'R. van Cruijsen INJ. Ideho out
86'J. Baas INC. Terho out
90+6'N. VerschurenAssist: J. Ideho

Lineups

Sparta Rotterdam
3-4-3Coach: Rogier Meijer
Utrecht
3-4-3Coach: Anthony Correia
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.61
Filip Bednarek5.91F. Bednarek
Marvin Young7.23M. Young
Nick Verschuren7.32N. Verschuren
Bruno Martins IndiC6.34B. Martins Indi
Lushendry Edward Martes6.57L. Edward Martes
Shunsuke Mito6.510S. Mito
Julian Baas7.06J. Baas
Bas Kuipers7.65B. Kuipers
Robin van Cruijsen6.68R. van Cruijsen
Nökkvi Þórisson6.59N. Þórisson
Ayoni Santos7.311A. Santos
Vasilis Barkas5.61V. Barkas
Siebe Horemans6.32S. Horemans
Matisse Didden7.63M. Didden
Neville Nwankwo5.621N. Nwankwo
Niklas Vesterlund7.223N. Vesterlund
Dani De WitC6.520D. De Wit
Davy van den Berg6.734D. van den Berg
Arthur Zagre6.292A. Zagre
Ángel Alarcón6.311Á. Alarcón
Artem Stepanov7.218A. Stepanov
Yoann Cathline6.610Y. Cathline

Sparta Rotterdam Substitutes

17Mitchell Van Bergen62'for B. Martins Indi6.9
19Milan Zonneveld62'for N. Thorisson67'7.6
13Teo Quintero79'for M. Young6.7
15Joel Ideho79'replaced by R. van Cruijsen7.2
22Casper Terho86'for J. Baas6.5
20Pascal Kuiper
30Rik Suur
12Boyd Reith
14Giannino Vianello
18Jens Toornstra
16Alwande Roaldsoy
21Younes Jaber el Maftahi

Utrecht Substitutes

30Kevin Paredes63'for A. Alarcon6.5
32Per Kloosterboer72'replaced by N. Ogidi Nwankwo6.2
9David Min73'for A. Stepanov6.7
15Adrian Blake73'for Y. Cathline76'8.0
6Guus Offerhaus77'for S. Horemans6.5
25Michael Brouwer
33Kevin Gadellaa
35Viggo Plantinga
14Zidane Iqbal
47Emmanuel Owen

Match Stats

Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks7
14Total Shots16
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots7
10Fouls13
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
485Total Passes382
415Passes Accurate303
86%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
UtrechtUtrecht
1618Elo Rating 1685
2.38Attack 1.72
0.86Defense 1.42
44%Hit Rate 54%
13.5Shots per Game 16.4
5.4Shots on Target 4.7
4.7Corners per Game 7.3
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
UtrechtUtrecht
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
UtrechtUtrecht5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie25/01/2026
UtrechtSparta Rotterdam
01
Eredivisie17/08/2025
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
21
Eredivisie14/05/2025
UtrechtSparta Rotterdam
11
Eredivisie03/11/2024
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
14
Eredivisie23/05/2024
UtrechtSparta Rotterdam
31
Eredivisie12/05/2024
UtrechtSparta Rotterdam
01
Eredivisie26/11/2023
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
12
Eredivisie04/06/2023
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
5041
Eredivisie01/06/2023
UtrechtSparta Rotterdam
12
Eredivisie24/02/2023
Sparta RotterdamUtrecht
03

Recent Form

Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam
3W2D5L
14/08/2026
TelstarSparta Rotterdam
13
W
09/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamFeyenoord
01
L
01/08/2026
Sparta RotterdamMSV Duisburg
00
D
28/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamAsteras Tripolis
11
D
25/07/2026
Zulte WaregemSparta Rotterdam
32
L
18/07/2026
SV MeppenSparta Rotterdam
32
L
11/07/2026
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
10
W
07/07/2026
VOCSparta Rotterdam
04
W
17/05/2026
Sparta RotterdamExcelsior
23
L
10/05/2026
TwenteSparta Rotterdam
40
L
UtrechtUtrecht
3W0D7L
15/08/2026
UtrechtAZ Alkmaar
14
L
09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
L
02/08/2026
UtrechtSevilla
01
L
24/07/2026
CambuurUtrecht
10
L
17/07/2026
UtrechtV-varen Nagasaki
02
L
27/06/2026
UtrechtDe Graafschap
12
L
24/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
4030
L
21/05/2026
UtrechtHeerenveen
32
W
17/05/2026
UtrechtFortuna Sittard
20
W
10/05/2026
AjaxUtrecht
12
W

Referee Profile

Dennis Higler193 matches

3.42Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Dennis Higler3.42
Other referees3.26

3.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.26).

Cards come from 182 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
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About the Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Sparta Rotterdam and Utrecht in the Eredivisie table

In the Eredivisie table, Sparta Rotterdam (12th) and Utrecht (14th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: Sparta Rotterdam 21-29, Utrecht 21-34. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.