Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Excelsior
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
PSV Eindhoven
Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam· Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel64%RiskMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel61%RiskMediumGap+7.6%
Excelsior Rest
8 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
15%5.80
X
18%4.68
2
67%1.44
Double Chance
1X
33%2.63
X2
85%1.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.44
No
33%2.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 2.04 = 3.49
Over 1.5
86%1.08
Over 2.5
77%1.33
Over 3.5
53%1.88
Under 1.5
14%7.00
Under 2.5
23%3.10
Under 3.5
47%1.90
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.6 = 10.1
Over 8.5
64%1.33
Over 9.5
53%1.59
Over 10.5
43%1.97
Under 8.5
36%2.97
Under 9.5
47%2.20
Under 10.5
57%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.6 = 3.1
Over 3.5
32%3.20
Over 4.5
9%-
Under 3.5
68%1.28
Under 4.5
91%-

Match Events

5'R. van Bommel
46'A. Sliti INN. Martens out
46'I. Silva Timas INO. Turay out
54'C. WidellAssist: I. Yegoian
56'R. PepiAssist: S. Dest
63'P. Wanner INK. Sano out
63'R. van Bommel INA. Bouhamdi out
68'D. Garden INN. Groen out
72'I. Perisic IND. Man out
74'L. Hartjes INA. Jahanbakhsh out
80'D. van Vianen INY. Finey out
80'S. Janssen INM. Dominguez out
84'R. Pepi INS. Mijnans out
88'Jan PlugFoul
89'S. Dest INK. Sildillia out

Lineups

Excelsior
4-3-3Coach: Ruben den Uil
PSV Eindhoven
4-3-3Coach: Peter Bosz
S. van Gassel1S. van GasselS. van Gassel
R. Meissen3R. MeissenR. Meissen
C. Widell4C. WidellC. Widell
J. Plug14J. PlugJ. Plug
S. Janssen15S. JanssenS. Janssen
I. Yegoian8I. YegoianI. Yegoian
L. Hartjes20L. HartjesL. Hartjes
D. van Vianen6D. van VianenD. van Vianen
A. Sliti7A. SlitiA. Sliti
D. Garden19D. GardenD. Garden
I. Silva Timas21I. Silva TimasI. Silva Timas
M. Kovar32M. KovarM. Kovar
S. Dest8S. DestS. Dest
R. Flamingo6R. FlamingoR. Flamingo
A. Obispo4A. ObispoA. Obispo
Mauro Junior17M. JuniorMauro Junior
G. Til20G. TilG. Til
J. Veerman23J. VeermanJ. Veerman
P. Wanner10P. WannerP. Wanner
I. Perisic5I. PerisicI. Perisic
R. Pepi9R. PepiR. Pepi
R. van Bommel7R. van BommelR. van Bommel

Excelsior Substitutes

16C. BiaiG
5S. HenderikxD
24G. CairoM
18V. SulzbacherM
23Y. FineyM
17N. MartensD
9M. DominguezF
30A. JahanbakhshF
28N. GroenF
22O. TurayD

PSV Eindhoven Substitutes

1N. OlijG
41K. NgomG
25K. SildilliaD
3Y. GasiorowskiD
38F. MerienD
21S. MijnansM
24K. SanoM
27D. ManF
19E. BajraktarevicF
37A. BouhamdiF

Match Stats

ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
41%Ball Possession59%
1Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
5Total Shots20
2Shots on Goal8
2Shots off Goal7
3Shots Inside Box16
2Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
9Fouls3
1Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves1
427Total Passes607
339Passes Accurate529
79%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

ExcelsiorExcelsior
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1693Elo Rating 1953
1.78Attack 4.04
1.56Defense 2.00
36%Hit Rate 100%
11.5Shots per Game 22.9
4.3Shots on Target 9.7
4.6Corners per Game 7.7
1.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.48 goals
📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

ExcelsiorExcelsior
  • No tendency data available
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Excelsior 0%Draw 19%81% PSV Eindhoven
4.37Avg Goals
83%BTTS Rate
83%Over 2.5

Recent Form

ExcelsiorExcelsior
5W0D0L
07/08/2026
CambuurExcelsior
04
W
01/08/2026
De GraafschapExcelsior
15
W
24/07/2026
HeraclesExcelsior
35
W
18/07/2026
NAC BredaExcelsior
13
W
11/07/2026
DordrechtExcelsior
02
W
PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
2W1D2L
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
L
28/07/2026
PSV EindhovenFC Eindhoven
30
W
25/07/2026
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
13
L
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
W

Referee Profile

Marc Nagtegaal, Netherlands · 10 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
24.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 22% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
9GroningenGroningen622212:13-18DDLLW
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur61149:18-94WDLLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle61146:17-114LDLWL
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag60156:16-101LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
9GroningenGroningen612:138
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur69:184
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle66:174
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag66:161
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Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Excelsior and PSV Eindhoven have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.37 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.