FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus Prediction

FC Copenhagen
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Aarhus
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen·Lasse Laebel Graagaard 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+2.8%
FC Copenhagen Rest
2 days
Aarhus Rest
2 days

FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: the result in context

FC Copenhagen and Aarhus drew 1-1 in the Superliga on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 9. FC Copenhagen tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 2.7 for Aarhus.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.58
X
24%4.15
2
16%4.96
Double Chance
1X
84%1.15
X2
40%2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.64
No
43%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 0.98 = 3.03
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
59%1.60
Over 3.5
38%2.49
Under 1.5
20%4.55
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
62%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 2.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.50
Over 9.5
43%1.91
Over 10.5
32%2.34
Under 8.5
44%2.40
Under 9.5
57%1.84
Under 10.5
68%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%1.78
Over 4.5
30%-
Under 3.5
51%1.98
Under 4.5
70%-

Match Events

35'Robert SilvaAssist: Marcos López
45'Rasmus Carstensen INJacob Andersen out
63'Janni SerraAssist: Frederik Emmery
65'William Clem INThomas Delaney out
67'Daniel Leo Gretarsson INEric Kahl out
74'Janni Serra INJames Bogere out
75'Callum McCowatt INMarkus Solbakken out
75'Viktor Dadason INGeovanni Vianney Ndjee out
75'Alex KrálFoul
84'Mohamed Elyounoussi INThapelo Maseko out
84'Robert Silva INMads Emil Madsen out
84'Marcos López INBirger Meling out
90+1'Tobias MölgaardFoul

Lineups

FC Copenhagen
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Svensson
Aarhus
3-4-2-1Coach: J. Poulsen
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.69
D. Ramaj6.01D. Ramaj
F. Beijmo6.72F. Beijmo
A. Sørensen7.24A. Sørensen
A. Markgráf7.06A. Markgráf
M. López6.815M. López
A. Král6.133A. Král
W. Clem6.236W. Clem
J. Suzuki6.420J. Suzuki
M. Elyounoussi6.810M. Elyounoussi
Robert8.216Robert
V. Dadason6.639V. Dadason
J. Hansen7.61J. Hansen
T. Mølgaard6.514T. Mølgaard
F. Tingager7.05F. Tingager
D. Grétarsson6.93D. Grétarsson
R. Carstensen6.329R. Carstensen
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad6.710K. Fredrik Malt Arnstad
M. Knudsen6.64M. Knudsen
Frederik Emmery7.039F. Emmery
T. Bech6.431T. Bech
C. McCowatt6.118C. McCowatt
J. Serra7.913J. Serra

FC Copenhagen Substitutes

7M. Carrizo
27T. Delaney65'for William Clem6.7
12T. Maseko84'for Mohamed Elyounoussi6.9
21M. Emil Madsen84'for Robert Silva6.5
34M. Nasnas
28Hunor Vajk Németh
31R. Rúnarsson
24B. Meling84'for Marcos López6.5
44G. Vianney75'for Viktor Dadason6.3

Aarhus Substitutes

27S. Tchamche
7M. Solbakken75'for Callum McCowatt6.3
25C. Rösler
19E. Kahl67'for Daniel Leo Gretarsson6.4
16J. Jønsson
21M. Hedenstad Christiansen
28J. Bogere74'for Janni Serra6.5
26J. Andersen45'for Rasmus Carstensen6.4
8S. Jørgensen

Match Stats

FC CopenhagenAarhus
51%Ball Possession49%
11Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
24Total Shots7
7Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal4
19Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box1
7Blocked Shots0
17Fouls6
1Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
456Total Passes450
362Passes Accurate365
6Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
AarhusAarhus
1803Elo Rating 1624
1.66Attack 1.28
1.90Defense 2.02
34%Hit Rate 17%
13.8Shots per Game 8.3
3.9Shots on Target 2.5
5.6Corners per Game 2.7
1.8Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+179 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AarhusAarhus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
AarhusAarhus4Wins · 40%
3.7Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Superliga30/11/2025
AarhusFC Copenhagen
20
Superliga08/08/2025
FC CopenhagenAarhus
23
Superliga27/04/2025
AarhusFC Copenhagen
13
Superliga21/04/2025
FC CopenhagenAarhus
31
Superliga10/11/2024
AarhusFC Copenhagen
11
Superliga28/07/2024
FC CopenhagenAarhus
32
Superliga21/05/2024
AarhusFC Copenhagen
32
Superliga28/04/2024
FC CopenhagenAarhus
32
Superliga03/12/2023
FC CopenhagenAarhus
12
Superliga08/10/2023
AarhusFC Copenhagen
11

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1284024:13+1128WWWDW
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1282226:12+1426DDLWW
3ViborgViborg1262419:12+720LLWWD
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1255218:14+420DDDLW
5BrondbyBrondby1261521:20+119WLWLL
6AC HorsensAC Horsens1244423:20+316WDDDL
7OdenseOdense1235411:16-514DWDDW
8AarhusAarhus1226417:19-212WDWDL
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1226416:20-412DLDWD
10Randers FCRanders FC1232712:19-711LDLLL
11LyngbyLyngby1215617:27-108LDLLD
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1222817:29-128LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1224:1328
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1226:1226
3ViborgViborg1219:1220
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1218:1420
5BrondbyBrondby1221:2019
6AC HorsensAC Horsens1223:2016
7OdenseOdense1211:1614
8AarhusAarhus1217:1912
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1216:2012
10Randers FCRanders FC1212:1911
11LyngbyLyngby1217:278
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1217:298
Relegation

About the FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Copenhagen and Aarhus in the Superliga table

In the Superliga table, FC Copenhagen are 2nd and Aarhus 8th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Copenhagen 26-12, Aarhus 17-19. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.