FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen Prediction

MCH Arena, Herning·Jacob Karlsen 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
FC Midtjylland Rest
22 days
FC Copenhagen Rest
7 days

FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen: the result in context

FC Midtjylland beat FC Copenhagen 2-1 in the Superliga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FC Midtjylland have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.45
X
30%3.52
2
33%2.63
Double Chance
1X
67%1.44
X2
63%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.51
No
33%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.8 + 1.41 = 3.21
Over 1.5
82%1.18
Over 2.5
61%1.62
Over 3.5
39%2.55
Under 1.5
18%4.40
Under 2.5
39%2.24
Under 3.5
61%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
62%1.45
Over 9.5
50%1.81
Over 10.5
38%2.31
Under 8.5
38%2.50
Under 9.5
50%1.96
Under 10.5
62%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.44
Over 4.5
38%1.87
Under 3.5
42%2.67
Under 4.5
62%1.87

Match Events

12'Friday EtimAssist: Philip Billing
45'David Martínez INSofus Johannesen out
45+2'Marcos LópezFoul
49'Penalty confirmedThomas Delaney
49'Mohamed Elyounoussi(Penalty)
54'Kjell-Arik Wätjen INHong Hyun-Seok out
62'Denil CastilloAssist: Friday Etim
64'Thomas DelaneyFoul
74'Andreas Cornelius INViktor Dadason out
74'Thomas Delaney INThapelo Maseko out
78'Denil Castillo INCho Gue-sung out
78'Stanley Iheanacho INJulius Emefile out
81'Marcos López INBirger Meling out
88'Alex Král INMarvin Nasnas out
88'Mohamed Elyounoussi INGeovanni Vianney Ndjee out
90'Friday Etim INMileta Rajovic out
90+1'William ClemDissent
90+2'Andreas MaxsøFoul

Lineups

FC Midtjylland
3-4-1-2Coach: M. Tullberg
FC Copenhagen
4-2-3-1Coach: B. Svensson
Avg rating6.62
Avg rating6.24
N. Bakker5.925N. Bakker
O. Diao6.74O. Diao
A. Maxsø6.92A. Maxsø
M. Bech6.522M. Bech
D. Martínez6.198D. Martínez
P. Billing7.28P. Billing
P. Bravo6.319P. Bravo
K. Wätjen6.329K. Wätjen
D. Castillo7.721D. Castillo
F. Etim8.790F. Etim
S. Iheanacho6.218S. Iheanacho
D. Ramaj6.41D. Ramaj
F. Beijmo6.42F. Beijmo
A. Sørensen6.44A. Sørensen
W. Clem6.336W. Clem
M. López5.715M. López
T. Delaney6.227T. Delaney
A. Markgráf6.56A. Markgráf
A. Král6.633A. Král
M. Elyounoussi6.710M. Elyounoussi
Robert5.716Robert
A. Cornelius6.114A. Cornelius

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

15B. Dje Bi Dje
10Cho Gue-Sung78'for Denil Castillo6.0
30O. Ejeheri
20Hong Hyun-Seok54'for Kjell-Arik Wätjen6.4
27S. Johannesen45'for David Martínez5.9
9M. Rajović90'for Friday Etim
17M. Uhre
39Joseph Avwerosuoghene Okuaghare
38J. Emefile78'for Stanley Iheanacho6.6

FC Copenhagen Substitutes

34M. Nasnas88'for Alex Král6.0
28Hunor Vajk Németh
31R. Rúnarsson
20J. Suzuki
44G. Vianney88'for Mohamed Elyounoussi6.1
24B. Meling81'for Marcos López6.2
12T. Maseko74'for Thomas Delaney6.8
13R. Huescas
39V. Dadason74'for Andreas Cornelius5.9

Match Stats

FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen
35%Ball Possession65%
4Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
8Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots6
9Fouls14
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
263Total Passes483
183Passes Accurate398
14Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
1784Elo Rating 1803
1.13Attack 1.66
2.00Defense 1.90
39%Hit Rate 34%
12.6Shots per Game 13.8
4.3Shots on Target 3.9
4.4Corners per Game 5.6
1.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1Wins · 10%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

DBU Pokalen14/05/2026
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
01
Superliga08/02/2026
FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen
21
Superliga05/10/2025
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
11
Superliga11/05/2025
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
11
Superliga17/04/2025
FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen
42
Superliga23/02/2025
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
10
Superliga14/09/2024
FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen
21
Superliga16/05/2024
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
12
Superliga14/04/2024
FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen
22
Superliga01/03/2024
FC MidtjyllandFC Copenhagen
20

Referee Profile

Jacob Karlsen127 matches

3.30Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
20.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jacob Karlsen3.30
Other referees3.78

3.30 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 66 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1284024:13+1128WWWDW
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1181225:11+1425DLWWW
3ViborgViborg1262419:12+720LLWWD
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1255218:14+420DDDLW
5BrondbyBrondby1261521:20+119WLWLL
6AC HorsensAC Horsens1244423:20+316WDDDL
7OdenseOdense1134410:15-513WDDWL
8AarhusAarhus1226417:19-212WDWDL
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1226416:20-412DLDWD
10Randers FCRanders FC1232712:19-711LDLLL
11LyngbyLyngby1215617:27-108LDLLD
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1222817:29-128LWLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1224:1328
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1125:1125
3ViborgViborg1219:1220
4FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1218:1420
5BrondbyBrondby1221:2019
6AC HorsensAC Horsens1223:2016
7OdenseOdense1110:1513
8AarhusAarhus1217:1912
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1216:2012
10Randers FCRanders FC1212:1911
11LyngbyLyngby1217:278
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1217:298
Relegation

About the FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Midtjylland and FC Copenhagen in the Superliga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: FC Midtjylland are 1st in the Superliga, 3 points ahead of FC Copenhagen in 2nd. League goal record so far: FC Midtjylland 24-13, FC Copenhagen 25-11. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.