FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg Prediction

Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt·Lukas Benen 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.4%
FC Ingolstadt 04 Rest
7 days
MSV Duisburg Rest
5 days

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg: result, form and history

FC Ingolstadt 04 beat MSV Duisburg 2-1 in the 3. Liga on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: MSV Duisburg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for FC Ingolstadt 04.

FC Ingolstadt 04 have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.94
X
25%3.48
2
44%2.10
Double Chance
1X
56%1.62
X2
69%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.47
No
39%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.65 = 3.00
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.51
Over 3.5
38%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.50
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Dominik KotherAssist: Lex-Tyger Lobinger
16'Max PlathFoul
18'Ben SchlickeFoul
21'Vinko SapinaAssist: Frederik Carlsen
34'Georgios AntzoulasViolent conduct
37'Emre Gul INElias Decker out
45'Ben Schlicke INFlorian Krüger out
51'Frederik CarlsenAssist: Nishan Velupillay
66'Lars Lokotsch INObed Chidindu Ugondu out
66'Nishan Velupillay INDennis Kaygin out
67'Martin EnsFoul
73'Martin Ens INCan Coskun out
73'Frederik Christensen INPatrick Sussek out
73'Dominik Kother INPeter Remmert out
79'Frederik Carlsen INYannick Deichmann out
79'Vinko Sapina INBenjamin Kanuric out
79'Rasim Bulic INMax Besuschkow out

Lineups

FC Ingolstadt 04
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Beierlorzer
MSV Duisburg
5-4-1Coach: D. Hirsch
Avg rating6.35
Avg rating6.14
D. Klein6.147D. Klein
Max Plath6.114M. Plath
G. Antzoulas5.36G. Antzoulas
J. Scholz6.615J. Scholz
L. Rosenlöcher5.919L. Rosenlöcher
L. Fröde5.934L. Fröde
Emre Gül6.05E. Gül
F. Carlsen7.88F. Carlsen
V. Šapina7.441V. Šapina
N. Velupillay6.728N. Velupillay
L. Lokotsch6.513L. Lokotsch
M. Braune5.61M. Braune
J. Bitter6.129J. Bitter
Martin Ens5.84M. Ens
T. Fleckstein6.55T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke5.840B. Schlicke
F. Christensen6.53F. Christensen
C. Noß5.914C. Noß
R. Bulić5.76R. Bulić
A. Casar6.28A. Casar
D. Kother7.111D. Kother
L. Lobinger6.49L. Lobinger

FC Ingolstadt 04 Substitutes

17O. Ugondu66'for Lars Lokotsch6.5
16J. Ganda
20Y. Deichmann79'for Frederik Carlsen6.3
4Elias Decker37'for Emre Gul6.3
37B. Kanurić79'for Vinko Sapina6.3
10D. Kaygin66'for Nishan Velupillay6.3
23J. Maljojoki
1M. Ponath
7Seo Jong-Min

MSV Duisburg Substitutes

27C. Coşkun73'for Martin Ens6.1
43R. Haddou
20N. Jessen
26F. Krüger45'for Ben Schlicke6.3
39P. Remmert73'for Dominik Kother6.3
19Ramien Safi
33T. Stahl
17M. Besuschkow79'for Rasim Bulic6.0
37P. Sussek73'for Frederik Christensen6.0

Match Stats

FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
34%Ball Possession66%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 04
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
1608Elo Rating 1709
1.68Attack 2.34
1.65Defense 1.37
69%Hit Rate 50%
12.3Shots per Game 11.0
4.0Shots on Target 5.1
5.6Corners per Game 3.9
2.6Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 04
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 046Wins · 75%
Draws113%
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1Wins · 12%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

3. Liga04/03/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
00
3. Liga27/09/2025
MSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
21
3. Liga20/04/2024
FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
20
3. Liga11/11/2023
MSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
12
3. Liga12/05/2023
FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
20
3. Liga12/11/2022
MSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
01
3. Liga15/05/2021
MSV DuisburgFC Ingolstadt 04
15
3. Liga10/01/2021
FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
21

Recent Form

FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 04
4W1D5L
17/10/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04Rot-Weiß Essen
10
W
14/10/2026
Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 04
03
W
11/10/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04SV Wehen
24
L
02/10/2026
1. FC NürnbergFC Ingolstadt 04
31
L
19/09/2026
FC Viktoria KölnFC Ingolstadt 04
30
L
16/09/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04Hoffenheim II
12
L
12/09/2026
FC SaarbrückenFC Ingolstadt 04
01
W
04/09/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04Alemannia Aachen
03
L
29/08/2026
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachFC Ingolstadt 04
02
W
15/08/2026
Preußen MünsterFC Ingolstadt 04
11
D
MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
7W1D2L
18/10/2026
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
11
D
13/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
24
W
10/10/2026
MSV DuisburgHoffenheim II
32
W
20/09/2026
SV WehenMSV Duisburg
14
W
15/09/2026
MSV DuisburgHavelse
21
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
L
05/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
12
W
29/08/2026
MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers
30
W
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
L
15/08/2026
VerlMSV Duisburg
24
W

Referee Profile

Lukas Benen89 matches

4.74Cards per match
4.41Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
26.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lukas Benen4.74
Other referees4.73

4.74 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 69 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1181228:14+1425LDWWW
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1172230:15+1523WDDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1163219:13+621WLWDD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1152426:20+617LWLDW
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041152415:16-117WWWLL
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1151520:17+316WLLWW
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1151521:19+216LWLLW
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1144318:20-216DLLWD
10SV WehenSV Wehen1143419:16+315WDWWL
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1143412:14-215DLWDL
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1142516:17-114WDWDL
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1142518:20-214LWWDD
15VerlVerl1133516:22-612LLDDW
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1133513:25-1212LWDLL
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1132615:23-811LWDLL
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1124520:20010LDDWD
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln112458:12-410LLLDW
20HavelseHavelse1123616:25-99WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1128:1425
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1130:1523
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1119:1321
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1126:2017
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041115:1617
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1120:1716
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1121:1916
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1118:2016
10SV WehenSV Wehen1119:1615
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1112:1415
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1116:1714
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1118:2014
15VerlVerl1116:2212
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1113:2512
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1115:2311
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1120:2010
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln118:1210
20HavelseHavelse1116:259
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Ingolstadt 04 vs MSV Duisburg forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Ingolstadt 04 and MSV Duisburg in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, MSV Duisburg are 1st and FC Ingolstadt 04 6th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Ingolstadt 04 15-16, MSV Duisburg 28-14. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

MSV Duisburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.