FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 Prediction

FC Lugano
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
FC Basel 1893
St. Jakob-Park, Basel 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel68%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
FC Lugano Rest
7 days
FC Basel 1893 Rest
7 days

FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893: result, form and history

FC Lugano beat FC Basel 1893 2-1 in the Super League on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Lugano had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FC Basel 1893.

FC Lugano have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.50
X
20%4.60
2
15%5.07
Double Chance
1X
85%1.15
X2
35%2.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.37 + 0.99 = 3.36
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
67%1.40
Over 3.5
46%2.10
Under 1.5
15%5.75
Under 2.5
33%2.70
Under 3.5
54%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.34
Over 9.5
52%1.61
Over 10.5
41%1.98
Under 8.5
36%2.90
Under 9.5
48%2.20
Under 10.5
59%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.5 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

10'Daniel Dos Santos CorreiaAssist: Uran Bislimi
16'Uran BislimiArgument
16'Philip OteleArgument
21'Dereck Moncada INBeckham Castro out
26'Yanis CimignaniAssist: Antonios Papadopoulos
37'Philip OteleAssist: Žan Celar
44'Becir OmeragicNot retreating
45'Xherdan ShaqiriDissent
51'Hannes Delcroix INJoel Bichsel out
53'Clément Michelin INKevin Ruegg out
57'Mattia ZanottiFoul
65'Xherdan Shaqiri INAsane Sow out
65'Žan Celar INgiacomo koloto out
73'Kevin Behrens INAlbian Ajeti out
73'Beckham Castro INBehruzjon Karimov out
75'Daniel Dos Santos Correia INElias Pihlstrom out
76'Abemly Meto Silu MetinhoFoul
80'Moussa Cisse INColeen Louis out
80'Ludwig Thorell INJonas harder out
90+2'Lars Lukas MaiFoul

Lineups

FC Lugano
3-1-4-2Coach: M. Croci-Torti
FC Basel 1893
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Jokanović
Avg rating6.76
Avg rating6.66
D. von Ballmoos6.616D. von Ballmoos
A. Papadopoulos7.36A. Papadopoulos
L. Mai5.717L. Mai
H. Delcroix6.73H. Delcroix
A. Grgić6.78A. Grgić
M. Zanotti6.146M. Zanotti
U. Bislimi7.725U. Bislimi
Daniel Dos Santos8.127D. Dos Santos
Y. Cimignani8.221Y. Cimignani
D. Moncada6.230D. Moncada
K. Behrens6.491K. Behrens
J. Omlin7.51J. Omlin
C. Michelin7.022C. Michelin
A. Victory6.955A. Victory
F. Daniliuc6.924F. Daniliuc
M. Cissé6.429M. Cissé
B. Omeragić6.54B. Omeragić
Metinho6.65Metinho
X. Shaqiri6.410X. Shaqiri
L. Małachowski Thorell6.08L. Małachowski Thorell
P. Otele7.57P. Otele
Ž. Celar6.99Ž. Celar

FC Lugano Substitutes

14A. Kendouci
24E. Pihlström75'for Daniel Dos Santos Correia6.4
9A. Ajeti73'for Kevin Behrens6.6
7E. Alioski
18J. Bichsel51'for Hannes Delcroix6.3
22B. Castro21'for Dereck Moncada73'for Behruzjon Karimov6.8
28F. Gebhardt
2B. Karimov73'replaced by Beckham Castro6.5
4D. Kelvin

FC Basel 1893 Substitutes

49Renato Widmer D’Autilia
14A. Bačanin
44J. Harder80'for Ludwig Thorell6.2
37G. Koloto65'for Žan Celar6.6
25C. Louis80'for Moussa Cisse6.1
27K. Rüegg53'for Clément Michelin6.4
18A. Sow65'for Xherdan Shaqiri6.7
6K. Tsunemoto
3N. Vouilloz

Match Stats

FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
37%Ball Possession63%
6Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards4
12Total Shots21
7Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box9
8Shots Outside Box12
2Blocked Shots7
12Fouls13
2Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves5
324Total Passes543
275Passes Accurate484
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

FC LuganoFC Lugano
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
1875Elo Rating 1568
3.79Attack 1.42
1.67Defense 1.64
100%Hit Rate 37%
16.2Shots per Game 14.2
6.3Shots on Target 2.8
3.7Corners per Game 4.6
3.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+307 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.36 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC LuganoFC Lugano
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC LuganoFC Lugano6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18932Wins · 20%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League06/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
13
Super League17/05/2026
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
40
Super League15/02/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
11
Super League09/11/2025
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
01
Super League10/08/2025
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
31
Super League10/05/2025
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
25
Super League06/04/2025
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
20
Super League19/01/2025
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
22
Super League27/07/2024
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
12
Super League02/04/2024
FC LuganoFC Basel 1893
20

Recent Form

FC Basel 1893FC Basel 1893
3W2D5L
25/10/2026
FC Basel 1893Grasshoppers
00
D
16/10/2026
Stade NyonnaisFC Basel 1893
03
W
11/10/2026
FC VaduzFC Basel 1893
30
L
03/10/2026
FC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
73
L
20/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC ST. Gallen
13
L
13/09/2026
FC LuzernFC Basel 1893
24
W
06/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano
13
L
03/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Sion
12
L
29/08/2026
BSC Young BoysFC Basel 1893
33
D
22/08/2026
FC ZurichFC Basel 1893
12
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano12111036:10+2634WWWWW
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1274138:23+1525LWWWD
3FC SionFC Sion1272325:18+723DWLDW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1262425:26-120WWWDW
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1261519:22-319WLWWL
6Servette FCServette FC1251617:16+116LWWLW
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931242618:22-414LDLLW
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1234519:25-613DLLWL
9FC ThunFC Thun1241724:34-1013WLLWL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1231824:25-110DLWLL
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1224615:28-1310DDLLL
12LausanneLausanne1213811:22-116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1236:1034
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1238:2325
3FC SionFC Sion1225:1823
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1225:2620
5FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1219:2219
6Servette FCServette FC1217:1616
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931218:2214
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1219:2513
9FC ThunFC Thun1224:3413
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1224:2510
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1215:2810
12LausanneLausanne1211:226
Relegation

About the FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Lugano and FC Basel 1893 in the Super League table

In the Super League table, FC Lugano are 1st and FC Basel 1893 7th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Lugano 36-10, FC Basel 1893 18-22. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Lugano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.