Getafe vs FC Lugano Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-11.0%
Getafe Rest
2 days
FC Lugano Rest
4 days
Getafe vs FC Lugano: result, form and history
FC Lugano beat Getafe 5-2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 22 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Lugano had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Getafe.
Referee Atilla Karaoglan averages 5.61 cards a game, 0.95 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.94
X27%3.30
224%4.10
Double Chance
1X76%1.22
X251%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.93
No51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.25 = 2.81
Over 1.571%1.38
Over 2.547%2.17
Over 3.526%4.00
Under 1.529%3.00
Under 2.553%1.69
Under 3.574%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.4 = 10
Over 8.562%1.84
Over 9.552%2.33
Over 10.541%3.14
Under 8.538%1.95
Under 9.548%1.52
Under 10.559%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.563%1.37
Over 4.543%1.75
Under 3.537%2.92
Under 4.557%2.05
Match Events
2'I. Azon
3'A. AjetiAssist: D. Dos Santos
7'Y. Cimignani
13'Y. CimignaniHolding
20'U. BislimiRoughing
23'B. MayoralHolding
26'A. AjetiAssist: D. Moncada
46'A. Risco INN. Gudelj out
46'Davinchi INJ. Mojica out
46'A. Abqar INR. Terrats out
46'Kiko Femenia INM. Satriano out
50'U. BislimiAssist: M. Zanotti
57'D. MoncadaFoul
59'D. Moncada INE. Pihlstrom out
59'Y. Cimignani INM. Marques out
66'I. Azon INE. Unal out
66'A. Ajeti INK. Behrens out
70'L. MaiRoughing
73'M. ZanottiHolding
74'B. Mayoral
75'D. Dos Santos INB. Karimov out
75'M. Zanotti INE. Alioski out
90+2'K. Behrens
Lineups
GetafeFC Lugano
3-5-2Avg ratingAvg rating
13D. Soria
17K. Femenía
5A. Abqar
26J. Ives Valou
3Davinchi
21A. García
C2Djené
16F. Serrano
28A. Risco
9B. Mayoral
20I. Azón
C16D. von Ballmoos
6A. Papadopoulos
17L. Lukas Mai
3H. Delcroix
46M. Zanotti
25U. Bislimi
8A. Grgić
27D. Dos Santos
21Y. Cimignani
30D. Moncada
9A. AjetiGetafe Substitutes
22Johan Mojica46'for Davinchi
8Nemanja Gudelj46'for A. Risco
11Ramón Terrats46'for A. Abqar
10Martín Satriano46'for Kiko Femenia
19Enes Ünal66'for I. Azon
1Jiří Letáček
35Diego Ferrer
4Saba Sazonov
15Sebastián Boselli
6Mario Martín
FC Lugano Substitutes
26Martim Marques59'for Y. Cimignani
24Elias Pihlström59'for D. Moncada
91Kevin Behrens66'for A. Ajeti90+2'
2Bekhruz Karimov75'for D. Dos Santos
7Ezgjan Alioski75'for M. Zanotti
28Felix Gebhardt
99Diego Mina
4Damian Kelvin
14Ahmed Kendouci
22Beckham Castro
Match Stats
GetafeFC Lugano 60%Ball Possession40%
15Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards5
26Total Shots10
8Shots on Goal7
14Shots off Goal1
13Shots Inside Box7
13Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
6Fouls23
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves6
507Total Passes358
432Passes Accurate288
85%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
GetafeFC Lugano1707Elo Rating 1870
1.10Attack 4.07
0.73Defense 2.07
14%Hit Rate 100%
15.8Shots per Game 16.0
4.8Shots on Target 6.1
7.7Corners per Game 4.8
3.3Cards per Game 3.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Getafe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC Lugano- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
Recent Form
Getafe2W4D4L
19/10/2026Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Universitatea CraiovaGetafe
BarcelonaGetafeGetafe
Malaga
Real BetisGetafeGetafe
Deportivo La CorunaGetafe
Celta Vigo
OsasunaGetafe
FK PartizanGetafeGetafe
Racing Santander
GetafeRayo Vallecano11
D15/10/2026Universitatea CraiovaGetafe11
D10/10/2026BarcelonaGetafe30
L20/09/2026GetafeMalaga10
W17/09/2026Real BetisGetafe10
L13/09/2026GetafeDeportivo La Coruna11
D07/09/2026GetafeCelta Vigo11
D31/08/2026OsasunaGetafe10
L27/08/2026FK PartizanGetafe21
L23/08/2026GetafeRacing Santander10
WFC Lugano8W1D1L
18/10/2026
Pully FootballFC Lugano
15/10/2026Pully FootballFC Lugano04
WFC Lugano
FK Crvena Zvezda32
W10/10/2026FC Lugano
FC Luzern40
W02/10/2026FC Lugano
Hellas Verona
20/09/2026FC LuganoHellas Verona13
L
LausanneFC Lugano04
W16/09/2026FC Lugano
FC ST. Gallen41
W12/09/2026FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys22
D06/09/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Lugano13
W03/09/2026FC Lugano
Servette FC10
W30/08/2026
FC SionFC Lugano12
WReferee Profile
5.64Cards per match
5.40Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.61 cards a match, 0.95 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).
Cards come from 146 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Getafe Predictions
- FC Lugano Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
- Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland 15/10/26
- St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 15/10/26
- Twente vs FC Thun 15/10/26
- Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos 22/10/26
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs FC Copenhagen 22/10/26
- FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjallby AIF 22/10/26
- Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova 22/10/26
- FK Jablonec vs Brighton 22/10/26
About the Getafe vs FC Lugano forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Lugano have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Getafe and FC Lugano have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.