FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva Prediction

CupRussia Russia · Group Stage - 5
FC Orenburg
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Rodina Moskva
Gazovik Stadium, Rostoshi 28/10/2026
FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
2-1
Finished
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.26
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-2.3%
FC Orenburg Rest
4 days
Rodina Moskva Rest
4 days

FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva: result, form and history

FC Orenburg beat Rodina Moskva 2-1 in the Cup on 28 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Orenburg had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Rodina Moskva.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.85
X
24%3.78
2
24%3.96
Double Chance
1X
76%1.26
X2
48%1.93
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'Mikhail Pykhcheev
46'Andrey Egorychev INLeon Musaev out
46'Ruslan Kul INJordhy Thompson out
46'Dmitriy Rybchinskiy INEvgeniy Bolotov out
59'Ivan TimoshenkoAssist: Artem Maksimenko
61'Jersson González INGedeon Guzina out
61'Mikhail Pykhcheev INDamian Puebla out
62'Joao Silva
62'
62'Artur Gharibyan INSoltmurad Bakaev out
66'Iker Pozo
66'Artem Kasimov
68'Joao Silva INMaxime Sivis out
69'Dmitriy Tananeev INMickael Nade out
69'Iker Pozo INYordy Reyna out
74'Damian Puebla
77'Renat GolybinAssist: Damian Puebla

Lineups

FC Orenburg
4-4-2Coach: I. Akhmetzyanov
Rodina Moskva
4-3-3Coach: Jonatan Alba
A. Degtev35A. Degtev
D. Vedernikov3D. Vedernikov
D. Khotulev4D. Khotulev
A. Kasimov38A. Kasimov
João Silva44J. Silva
Renat Golybin27R. Golybin
J. González7J. González
M. Pykhcheev80M. Pykhcheev
D. Rybchinskiy20D. Rybchinskiy
R. Kul78R. Kul
E. Nazarenko11E. Nazarenko
S. Aydarov1S. Aydarov
S. Bessmertny80S. Bessmertny
D. Tananeev19D. Tananeev
L. Goglichidze3L. Goglichidze
A. Meshchaninov26A. Meshchaninov
Iker Pozo8I. Pozo
A. Egorychev5A. Egorychev
K. Ushatov23K. Ushatov
A. Gharibyan77A. Gharibyan
A. Maksimenko9A. Maksimenko
I. Timoshenko99I. Timoshenko

FC Orenburg Substitutes

30G. Guzina61'for Jersson González
8D. Puebla61'for Mikhail Pykhcheev74'
2S. Poroykov
24M. Sivis68'for Joao Silva
6J. Palacios
5A. Tataev
63O. Minatulaev
10J. Thompson46'for Ruslan Kul
57E. Bolotov46'for Dmitriy Rybchinskiy
53V. Korobov
26E. Tsenov

Rodina Moskva Substitutes

15D. Shadrintsev
10Y. Reyna69'for Iker Pozo
75M. Nadé69'for Dmitriy Tananeev
38L. Musaev46'for Andrey Egorychev
11B. Mansilla
55M. Križan
72A. Gordyushenko
95K. Cissoko
17S. Bakaev62'for Artur Gharibyan
18M. Abdusalamov
71I. Svinov

Match Stats

FC OrenburgRodina Moskva
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks3
5Yellow Cards1
7Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
1568Elo Rating 1469
2.17Attack 1.26
2.35Defense 1.12
63%Hit Rate 27%
12.6Shots per Game 10.3
5.3Shots on Target 3.5
3.6Corners per Game 4.2
4.1Cards per Game 3.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva0Wins · 0%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Premier League19/10/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
22
Cup18/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
14

Recent Form

FC OrenburgFC Orenburg
4W3D3L
23/10/2026
AkhmatFC Orenburg
01
W19/10/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
22
D15/10/2026
RubinFC Orenburg
14
W10/10/2026
FC OrenburgDinamo Makhachkala
40
W
03/10/2026
FC OrenburgTekstilshchik
32
W
03/10/2026
LokomotivFC Orenburg
20
L
17/09/2026
FC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
00
D12/09/2026
DynamoFC Orenburg
10
L
06/09/2026
FC OrenburgAkron
22
D
02/09/2026
FC OrenburgRubin
2141
L
Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
1W2D7L
24/10/2026
FakelRodina Moskva
01
W19/10/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC Orenburg
22
D
15/10/2026
Rodina MoskvaSpartak Moscow
24
L
11/10/2026
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
30
L
04/10/2026
DynamoRodina Moskva
32
L
16/09/2026
Rodina MoskvaRubin
11
D
11/09/2026
Krylia SovetovRodina Moskva
21
L06/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina Moskva
20
L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
L
30/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
03
L

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About the FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Cup

More Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Orenburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Orenburg and Rodina Moskva have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.