FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba Prediction

FC Tokyo
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
JEF United Chiba
Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo·Masuya Ueda, Japan 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
FC Tokyo Rest
6 days
JEF United Chiba Rest
6 days

FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba: result, form and history

FC Tokyo beat JEF United Chiba 2-0 in the J1 League on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.50
X
24%4.10
2
20%6.15
Double Chance
1X
80%1.11
X2
44%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.90
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.96 + 0.92 = 2.88
Over 1.5
81%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.85
Over 3.5
34%3.00
Under 1.5
19%3.60
Under 2.5
46%1.93
Under 3.5
66%1.34
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.3 = 9.3
Over 8.5
60%1.47
Over 9.5
49%1.86
Over 10.5
36%2.30
Under 8.5
40%2.44
Under 9.5
51%1.85
Under 10.5
64%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

34'Shion HommaFoul
66'Masaru Hidaka INTakahiro Iida out
66'Kazuki Tanaka INMakoto Himeno out
67'Shion Homma INSoma Anzai out
67'Marcelo Ryan INTeruhito Nakagawa out
72'Takahiro Ko
79'Hayato Inamura INMasato Morishige out
79'Hirokazu Ishihara INKashif Bangnagande out
79'Takumi Tsukui INNaoki Tsubaki out
79'Taishi Taguchi INEduardo out
85'Soma AnzaiAssist: Teruhito Nakagawa
86'Indio INKen Yamura out
88'Takahiro Ko INKyota Tokiwa out

Lineups

FC Tokyo
4-4-2Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi
JEF United Chiba
4-4-2Coach: Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.67
Kim Seung-gyu6.681K. Seung-gyu
Sei MuroyaC7.72S. Muroya
Alexander Scholz7.724A. Scholz
Hayato Inamura7.64H. Inamura
Hirokazu Ishihara7.522H. Ishihara
Kein Sato6.010K. Sato
Kento Hashimoto6.918K. Hashimoto
Takahiro Ko8.78T. Ko
Shion Homma6.319S. Homma
Marcelo Ryan7.09M. Ryan
Motoki Nagakura6.726M. Nagakura
José Aurelio Suárez7.219J. Aurelio Suárez
Rikuto Ishio7.039R. Ishio
Daniel Hall6.766D. Hall
Takashi Kawano7.328T. Kawano
Masaru Hidaka6.667M. Hidaka
Kazuki Tanaka6.57K. Tanaka
Taishi TaguchiC7.24T. Taguchi
Indio6.725Indio
Takumi Tsukui6.78T. Tsukui
Daichi Ishikawa6.720D. Ishikawa
Erison6.099Erison

FC Tokyo Substitutes

7Soma Anzai67'for Shion Homma85'7.7
39Teruhito Nakagawa67'for Marcelo Ryan6.6
6Kashif Bangnagande79'for Hirokazu Ishihara6.9
3Masato Morishige79'for Hayato Inamura6.7
27Kyota Tokiwa88'for Takahiro Ko
1Hayate Tanaka
15Rio Omori
71Fuki Yamada
25Tsuna Kominato

JEF United Chiba Substitutes

22Takahiro Iida66'for Masaru Hidaka6.5
37Makoto Himeno66'for Kazuki Tanaka6.3
14Naoki Tsubaki79'for Takumi Tsukui6.3
6Eduardo79'for Taishi Taguchi6.7
29Ken Yamura86'for Indio6.3
23Ryota Suzuki
24Koji Toriumi
5Yusuke Kobayashi
9Hiroto Goya

Match Stats

FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
22Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box4
5Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots2
11Fouls5
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
578Total Passes337
482Passes Accurate231
83%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
1718Elo Rating 1444
3.12Attack 1.80
2.86Defense 1.82
66%Hit Rate 27%
21.5Shots per Game 14.1
7.7Shots on Target 3.8
6.5Corners per Game 4.7
0.9Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+274 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FC TokyoFC Tokyo1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

J1 League06/05/2026
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
03
J1 League18/03/2026
JEF United ChibaFC Tokyo
12
Emperor Cup10/07/2024
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
1121

Recent Form

FC TokyoFC Tokyo
3W2D5L
15/08/2026
Vissel KobeFC Tokyo
22
D
08/08/2026
FC TokyoMachida Zelvia
15
L
01/08/2026
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund
01
L
21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
21
W
06/06/2026
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
13
L
30/05/2026
Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
22
D
23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
10
L
16/05/2026
UrawaFC Tokyo
90100
W
10/05/2026
FC TokyoTokyo Verdy
21
W
06/05/2026
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
03
L
JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba
1W2D7L
15/08/2026
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
04
L
08/08/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba
30
L
01/08/2026
JEF United ChibaKashiwa Reysol
0000
D
06/06/2026
JEF United ChibaAvispa Fukuoka
12
L
30/05/2026
Avispa FukuokaJEF United Chiba
22
D
23/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolJEF United Chiba
42
L
17/05/2026
JEF United ChibaKashima
02
L
10/05/2026
JEF United ChibaMachida Zelvia
02
L
06/05/2026
FC TokyoJEF United Chiba
03
W
02/05/2026
UrawaJEF United Chiba
20
L

Referee Profile

Masuya Ueda150 matches

2.70Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Masuya Ueda2.70
Other referees2.54

2.70 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.54).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo14103133:8+2533WWWDW
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol14101331:20+1131WWWDL
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1493232:10+2230DWWLW
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1485130:10+2029DDDWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1483323:14+927DWDLW
6KashimaKashima1472529:24+523LWLDW
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1457221:15+622DWDDD
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1464428:24+422LLWWW
9UrawaUrawa1471623:29-622DLWWW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1452716:22-617DLLWL
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1445516:25-917WLDDL
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1444619:23-416WWDDL
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1442815:23-814LLDDW
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1435612:22-1014WWWDL
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1442810:23-1314LLLLD
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1434717:22-513DLLWL
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1434716:24-813WWDLD
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1426616:24-812LDDWD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1423912:26-149LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka14221014:25-118DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1433:833
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1431:2031
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1432:1030
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1430:1029
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1423:1427
6KashimaKashima1429:2423
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1421:1522
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1428:2422
9UrawaUrawa1423:2922
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1416:2217
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1416:2517
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1419:2316
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1415:2314
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1412:2214
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1410:2314
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1417:2213
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1416:2413
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1416:2412
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1412:269
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1414:258
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

FC Tokyo and JEF United Chiba in the J1 League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Tokyo are 1st in the J1 League, while JEF United Chiba sit 17th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Tokyo 33-8, JEF United Chiba 16-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FC Tokyo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. JEF United Chiba have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.