Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.63
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
7 days
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
7 days
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale: result, form and history
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale drew 1-1 in the J1 League on 22 Aug 2026. Sanfrecce Hiroshima had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for Kawasaki Frontale.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Yuzo Sutani averages 2.05 cards a game, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.63
X17%3.95
218%4.75
Double Chance
1X82%1.18
X235%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.60
No48%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 0.94 = 3.11
Over 1.582%1.18
Over 2.555%1.61
Over 3.534%2.49
Under 1.518%4.60
Under 2.545%2.27
Under 3.566%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.8 = 9.6
Over 8.560%1.47
Over 9.549%1.84
Over 10.536%2.36
Under 8.540%2.39
Under 9.551%1.85
Under 10.564%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 2.2 = 3.5
Over 3.544%-
Over 4.527%-
Under 3.556%-
Under 4.573%-
Match Events
15'T. ShiotaniFoul
29'M. KatoAssist: S. Higashi
45+1'M. KatoFoul
46'T. Shiotani INN. Arai out
56'Y. Nakajima INT. Matsumoto out
56'S. Haller INT. Kawamura out
58'Y. YamamotoAssist: R. Yamahara
59'A. Sasaki INS. Miura out
59'T. Ito INY. Ozeki out
59'Marcinho INR. Osa out
72'L. RomanicFoul
73'L. Romanic INR. Homma out
81'K. Tachibanada INS. Kawahara out
83'M. Kato INS. Kobayashi out
90'H. Kawabe INT. Yamasaki out
Lineups
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: Shigetoshi HasebeAvg ratingAvg rating
99I. Ouchi
33S. Tsukasa
4H. Araki
C19S. Sasaki
15S. Nakano
6H. Kawabe
35Y. Nakajima
7H. Shunki
11M. Kato
10A. Suzuki
22S. Haller
49S. Brodersen
29R. Yamahara
4P. Romano
3H. Taniguchi
5A. Sasaki
8K. Tachibanada
6Y. Yamamoto
17T. Ito
C14Y. Wakizaka
23Marcinho
9L. RomanićSanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes
5Arai Naoto46'for T. Shiotani
8Takumu Kawamura56'for S. Haller
14Taishi Matsumoto56'for Y. Nakajima
45Shimon Kobayashi83'replaced by M. Kato
3Taichi Yamasaki90'for H. Kawabe
1Keisuke Osako
16Takaaki Shichi
18Daiki Suga
23Shun Ayukawa
Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes
13Sota Miura59'for A. Sasaki
16Yuto Ozeki59'for T. Ito
34Ryuki Osa59'for Marcinho
36Rin Homma73'for L. Romanic
19So Kawahara81'for K. Tachibanada
1Louis Yamaguchi
22Filip Uremović
18Kazuya Konno
20Kyosuke Mochiyama
Match Stats
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale 56%Ball Possession44%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal9
11Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
6Fouls10
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves6
536Total Passes425
472Passes Accurate357
88%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale1707Elo Rating 1648
2.70Attack 2.28
1.42Defense 1.28
61%Hit Rate 73%
18.0Shots per Game 11.7
5.9Shots on Target 4.3
8.0Corners per Game 3.4
0.7Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Kawasaki Frontale- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sanfrecce Hiroshima4Wins · 40%Draws220%
Kawasaki Frontale4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
06/06/2026Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima01
30/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale21
30/11/2025Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima12
31/05/2025Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale12
29/06/2024Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima11
28/04/2024Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale22
19/08/2023Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale32
11/06/2023Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima10
10/09/2022Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima40
19/03/2022Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale02
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima9W0D1L
15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
08/08/2026UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima14
WSanfrecce Hiroshima
JEF United Chiba30
W28/07/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Verspah Oita
Sanfrecce HiroshimaVerspah Oita40
W14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima13
W11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima41
L06/06/2026Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima01
W30/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale21
W23/05/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus42
W17/05/2026
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kyoto SangaSanfrecce Hiroshima04
W10/05/2026
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima01
WKawasaki Frontale3W3D4L
15/08/2026Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga22
D09/08/2026Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale11
D16/07/2026Kawasaki Frontale
Vanraure Hachinohe
Kawasaki FrontaleVanraure Hachinohe00
D06/06/2026Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima01
L30/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale21
L24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale13
W17/05/2026Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki FrontaleMachida Zelvia5141
W10/05/2026
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale
Kashiwa ReysolKawasaki Frontale10
L06/05/2026Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy
Kawasaki FrontaleTokyo Verdy10
W02/05/2026
FC TokyoKawasaki Frontale
FC TokyoKawasaki Frontale20
LReferee Profile
2.05Cards per match
1.84Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
2.05 cards a match, 0.64 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.69).
Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 |  Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba 21/08/26
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy 22/08/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock 22/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka 22/08/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Urawa 23/08/26
- Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29/08/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol 29/08/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo 29/08/26
About the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kawasaki Frontale in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd and Kawasaki Frontale 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32-10, Kawasaki Frontale 28-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.