Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

Nagoya Grampus
3-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Gamba Osaka
Toyota Stadium, Toyota· Koki Nagamine, Japan 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
2.05
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+10.2%
Nagoya Grampus Rest
7 days
Gamba Osaka Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.30
X
30%3.42
2
38%2.90
Double Chance
1X
62%1.38
X2
68%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.66
No
34%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.61 = 2.91
Over 1.5
81%1.25
Over 2.5
54%1.85
Over 3.5
34%3.08
Under 1.5
19%3.55
Under 2.5
46%1.92
Under 3.5
66%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.2 = 10.5
Over 8.5
66%1.60
Over 9.5
55%2.05
Over 10.5
44%2.71
Under 8.5
34%2.13
Under 9.5
45%1.67
Under 10.5
56%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

7'Y. KimuraAssist: R. Izumi
11'R. MeshinoAssist: R. Yamashita
40'T. KishimotoFoul
43'D. HummetFoul
60'T. Uchida INY. Nogami out
63'R. Meshino ING. Nawata out
63'A. Uenaka INE. Adams out
67'R. Izumi INMateus out
78'T. Morishima INM. Ono out
78'K. Nakayama INY. Sato out
78'Y. Yamagishi INY. Asano out
79'D. Hummet INN. Nakatsumi out
83'Y. Asano
86'R. Mito INT. Usami out
86'S. AbeUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+7'M. OnoAssist: Y. Asano

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus
5-3-2Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Gamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Alexandre Pisano35A. PisanoAlexandre Pisano
Ryuji Izumi7R. IzumiRyuji Izumi
Teruki Hara70T. HaraTeruki Hara
Sho Inagaki15S. InagakiSho Inagaki
Tomoki Takamine31T. TakamineTomoki Takamine
Shuhei Tokumoto55S. TokumotoShuhei Tokumoto
Takuya Uchida17T. UchidaTakuya Uchida
Tsukasa Morishima14T. MorishimaTsukasa Morishima
Katsuhiro Nakayama27K. NakayamaKatsuhiro Nakayama
Yuya Yamagishi11Y. YamagishiYuya Yamagishi
Yudai Kimura22Y. KimuraYudai Kimura
Rui Araki18R. ArakiRui Araki
Takeru Kishimoto15T. KishimotoTakeru Kishimoto
Shinnosuke Nakatani4S. NakataniShinnosuke Nakatani
Shogo Sasaki67S. SasakiShogo Sasaki
Ryo Hatsuse21R. HatsuseRyo Hatsuse
Shuto Abe13S. AbeShuto Abe
Rin Mito27R. MitoRin Mito
Ryoya Yamashita17R. YamashitaRyoya Yamashita
Asahi Uenaka14A. UenakaAsahi Uenaka
Ryotaro Meshino8R. MeshinoRyotaro Meshino
Deniz Hümmet23D. HümmetDeniz Hümmet

Nagoya Grampus Substitutes

2Yuki NogamiD
10MateusF
3Yota SatoD
41Masahito OnoM
9Yuya AsanoM
36Hiroaki HagiG
19Hidemasa KodaM
58Tomoya KoyamatsuM
18Kensuke NagaiF

Gamba Osaka Substitutes

38Gaku NawataM
20Eli AdamsM
37Naru NakatsumiF
7Takashi UsamiF
22Jun IchimoriG
2Shota FukuokaD
19Ginjiro IkegayaD
10Shu KurataM
16Tokuma SuzukiM

Match Stats

Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots10
12Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots6
10Fouls19
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves8
417Total Passes398
342Passes Accurate326
82%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
1499Elo Rating 1586
0.70Attack 1.41
0.60Defense 1.55
17%Hit Rate 27%
10.5Shots per Game 13.3
1.9Shots on Target 3.7
4.2Corners per Game 3.5
1.7Cards per Game 0.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals

Game State Tendencies

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Nagoya Grampus 27%Draw 23%50% Gamba Osaka
2.23Avg Goals
41%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
0W0D5L
15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya Grampus
21
L
08/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
01
L
25/07/2026
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus
10
L
21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
21
L
06/06/2026
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
2010
L
Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka
3W1D1L
15/08/2026
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
11
D
11/08/2026
Gangwon FCGamba Osaka
0010
W
07/08/2026
Gamba OsakaUrawa
43
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka
03
W
11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
30
L

Referee Profile

Koki Nagamine, Japan · 25 matches analysed

3.2Avg Yellows
3.3Avg Cards
22.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 3% of referees analysed

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this J1 League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

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Key Factors for This Match

Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.23 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.