Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Nagoya Grampus Rest
7 days
Gamba Osaka Rest
7 days
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka: result, form and history
Nagoya Grampus beat Gamba Osaka 3-1 in the J1 League on 22 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Gamba Osaka had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Nagoya Grampus.
Gamba Osaka have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
132%2.30
X30%3.42
238%2.90
Double Chance
1X62%1.38
X268%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes66%1.66
No34%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.61 = 2.91
Over 1.581%1.25
Over 2.554%1.85
Over 3.534%3.08
Under 1.519%3.55
Under 2.546%1.92
Under 3.566%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5.2 = 10.5
Over 8.566%1.60
Over 9.555%2.05
Over 10.544%2.71
Under 8.534%2.13
Under 9.545%1.67
Under 10.556%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.8 = 3.5
Over 3.544%-
Over 4.527%-
Under 3.556%-
Under 4.573%-
Match Events
7'Y. KimuraAssist: R. Izumi
11'R. MeshinoAssist: R. Yamashita
40'T. KishimotoFoul
43'D. HummetFoul
60'T. Uchida INY. Nogami out
63'R. Meshino ING. Nawata out
63'A. Uenaka INE. Adams out
67'R. Izumi INMateus out
78'T. Morishima INM. Ono out
78'K. Nakayama INY. Sato out
78'Y. Yamagishi INY. Asano out
79'D. Hummet INN. Nakatsumi out
83'Y. Asano
86'R. Mito INT. Usami out
86'S. AbeUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+7'M. OnoAssist: Y. Asano
Lineups
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
4-2-3-1Coach: Tomokazu MyojinAvg ratingAvg rating
35A. Pisano
7R. Izumi
70T. Hara
C15S. Inagaki
31T. Takamine
55S. Tokumoto
17T. Uchida
14T. Morishima
27K. Nakayama
11Y. Yamagishi
22Y. Kimura
18R. Araki
15T. Kishimoto
C4S. Nakatani
67S. Sasaki
21R. Hatsuse
13S. Abe
27R. Mito
17R. Yamashita
14A. Uenaka
8R. Meshino
23D. HümmetNagoya Grampus Substitutes
2Yuki Nogami60'for T. Uchida
10Mateus67'for R. Izumi
3Yota Sato78'for K. Nakayama
41Masahito Ono78'for T. Morishima90+7'
9Yuya Asano78'for Y. Yamagishi83'
36Hiroaki Hagi
19Hidemasa Koda
58Tomoya Koyamatsu
18Kensuke Nagai
Gamba Osaka Substitutes
38Gaku Nawata63'for R. Meshino
20Eli Adams63'for A. Uenaka
37Naru Nakatsumi79'for D. Hummet
7Takashi Usami86'for R. Mito
22Jun Ichimori
2Shota Fukuoka
19Ginjiro Ikegaya
10Shu Kurata
16Tokuma Suzuki
Match Stats
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka 52%Ball Possession48%
4Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots10
12Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots6
10Fouls19
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves8
417Total Passes398
342Passes Accurate326
82%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka1552Elo Rating 1615
1.28Attack 1.62
1.46Defense 1.52
14%Hit Rate 14%
14.5Shots per Game 16.5
4.5Shots on Target 6.6
4.7Corners per Game 5.8
0.8Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Nagoya Grampus- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Gamba Osaka- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Nagoya Grampus3Wins · 30%Draws110%
Gamba Osaka6Wins · 60%
6Wins · 60%2.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
06/05/2026Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka21
15/02/2026Gamba OsakaNagoya Grampus2030
25/10/2025Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka02
12/04/2025Gamba OsakaNagoya Grampus20
23/10/2024Gamba OsakaNagoya Grampus32
11/05/2024Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka01
21/10/2023Gamba OsakaNagoya Grampus01
06/05/2023Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka10
27/08/2022Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka02
02/04/2022Gamba OsakaNagoya Grampus31
Recent Form
Nagoya Grampus2W1D7L
15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
KashimaNagoya Grampus21
L08/08/2026Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse01
L25/07/2026
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus10
L21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus21
L06/06/2026
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
L30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
D23/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus42
L17/05/2026
Cerezo OsakaNagoya Grampus
Cerezo OsakaNagoya Grampus61
L10/05/2026Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga
Nagoya GrampusKyoto Sanga30
W06/05/2026Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
Nagoya GrampusGamba Osaka21
WGamba Osaka6W2D2L
15/08/2026
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka
Gangwon FCGamba OsakaGamba Osaka
Urawa
Mito HollyhockGamba Osaka11
D11/08/2026Gangwon FCGamba Osaka0010
W07/08/2026Gamba OsakaUrawa43
W15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka03
W11/07/2026
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka
Sparta PrahaGamba Osaka30
L06/06/2026
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka
Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka24
W30/05/2026Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy
Gamba OsakaTokyo Verdy11
D24/05/2026Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka
Shimizu S-pulseGamba Osaka12
W16/05/2026
Al-NassrGamba Osaka
Al-NassrGamba Osaka01
W10/05/2026Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima01
LReferee Profile
3.06Cards per match
2.94Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.06 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (2.89).
Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka 15/08/26
- Kashiwa Reysol vs V-varen Nagasaki 21/08/26
- FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba 21/08/26
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy 22/08/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock 22/08/26
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale 22/08/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Urawa 23/08/26
- Gamba Osaka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29/08/26
About the Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Nagoya Grampus are 13th and Gamba Osaka 18th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Nagoya Grampus 15-23, Gamba Osaka 16-24. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.