FK Liepaja vs Riga Prediction

FK Liepaja
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Riga
Daugavas stadions 31/08/2026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3-2
Finished
RigaRiga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.44
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
FK Liepaja Rest
5 days
Riga Rest
3 days

FK Liepaja vs Riga: the result in context

FK Liepaja beat Riga 3-2 in the Virsliga on 31 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Riga have had the better of this fixture, winning 9 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
8%5.80
X
13%4.30
2
79%1.44
Double Chance
1X
21%2.52
X2
92%1.08
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'E. OlokoAssist: A. Ogunniyi
6'TaliscaFoul
17'M. BadamosiAssist: A. Cernomordijs
27'E. Oloko(Penalty)
56'S. L. Robalo Pedro INM. Diop out
57'C. Saco INIago Siqueira out
58'A. OgunniyiAssist: E. Oloko
62'Caio Ferreira INA. Taiwo out
63'M. BadamosiUnsportsmanlike conduct
65'Crysthyan INB. Melnis out
78'A. Ogunniyi INK. Leidsman out
78'L. StrumiaUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'A. TaiwoFoul
81'M. Tonisevs INReginaldo Ramires out
90'E. Oloko INA. Leite out
90+1'A. Haidara INM. Martins out
90+4'A. Taiwo
90+5'K. LeidsmanFoul

Lineups

FK Liepaja
4-4-2Coach: Andreas Alm
Riga
4-2-3-1Coach: Adrian Gula
Davis Oss24D. Oss
Vladislavs Sorokins35V. Sorokins
Vjačeslavs Isajevs26V. Isajevs
Talisca34Talisca
Bart Straalman2B. Straalman
Abiodun Ogunniyi7A. Ogunniyi
Leonel Strumia5L. Strumia
Andriy Korobenko28A. Korobenko
Amar Haïdara23A. Haïdara
Crysthyan Lucas Da Silva Rocha9C. Lucas Da Silva Rocha
Joseph Oloko Ede18J. Oloko Ede
Krišjānis Zviedris1K. Zviedris
Maksims Tonisevs23M. Tonisevs
Antonijs Černomordijs34A. Černomordijs
Paulo33Paulo
Andrés Salazar17A. Salazar
Coli Saco6C. Saco
Karl Gameni Wassom5K. Gameni Wassom
Caio Ferreira99C. Ferreira
Salah Oulad M'Hand18S. Oulad M'Hand
Samuel Pedro15S. Pedro
Muhammed Badamosi19M. Badamosi

FK Liepaja Substitutes

12Danijel Petković
3Kirils Iljins
4Marvin Martins90+1'for A. Haidara
29Lauris Lakutis
22Irad Mshindi
11Beknaz Almazbekov
77Afonso Leite90'for E. Oloko
17Bruno Melnis65'for Crysthyan
44Kyvon Leidsman78'for A. Ogunniyi90+5'

Riga Substitutes

44Marcis Kazainis
13Raivis Jurkovskis
21Baba Musah
60Emmanuel Maviram
40Ahmed Ankrah
22Meïssa Diop56'for S. L. Robalo Pedro
8Iago Siqueira Augusto57'for C. Saco
10Reginaldo Ramires81'for M. Tonisevs
25Abdulrahman Taiwo62'for Caio Ferreira78'90+4'

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
RigaRiga
1495Elo Rating 1748
1.72Attack 1.69
1.69Defense 2.03
19%Hit Rate 34%
24.0Shots per Game 17.7
8.7Shots on Target 5.0
6.3Corners per Game 6.1
3.2Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
RigaRiga
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja1Wins · 10%
Draws00%
RigaRiga9Wins · 90%
3.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga21/06/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
40
Virsliga03/05/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
10
Virsliga07/03/2026
FK LiepajaRiga
21
Virsliga03/10/2025
RigaFK Liepaja
30
Cup18/09/2025
FK LiepajaRiga
04
Virsliga19/07/2025
FK LiepajaRiga
23
Virsliga19/05/2025
RigaFK Liepaja
20
Virsliga03/04/2025
FK LiepajaRiga
25
Virsliga29/09/2024
RigaFK Liepaja
10
Virsliga07/07/2024
FK LiepajaRiga
03

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
5W0D5L
RigaRiga
7W3D0L
27/08/2026
RigaKI Klaksvik
21
W
23/08/2026
Rīgas FSRiga
33
D
20/08/2026
KI KlaksvikRiga
00
D
16/08/2026
RigaMetta / LU
41
W
13/08/2026
Gyori ETO FCRiga
11
D
09/08/2026
RigaOgre United
41
W
06/08/2026
RigaGyori ETO FC
10
W
02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
W
28/07/2026
RigaVardar Skopje
5122
W
22/07/2026
Vardar SkopjeRiga
23
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the FK Liepaja vs Riga forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and Riga in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, Riga are 2nd and FK Liepaja 5th, 32 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 51-50, Riga 95-33. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Liepaja have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.