FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja Prediction

FS Jelgava
0-2
Finished
HT 0-2
FK Liepaja
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
FS Jelgava Rest
6 days
FK Liepaja Rest
3 days

FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja: the result in context

FK Liepaja beat FS Jelgava 2-0 in the Virsliga on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 3.0 for FS Jelgava.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.00
X
26%3.33
2
37%2.10
Double Chance
1X
63%-
X2
63%-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.56
No
56%2.21
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.19
Over 2.5
38%1.69
Over 3.5
19%2.69
Under 1.5
36%3.95
Under 2.5
62%2.02
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'E. Oloko
24'J. NovikovsFoul
27'A. OgunniyiAssist: A. Haidara
46'J. Novikovs INA. Petersons out
46'R. Melkis INR. Becers out
46'E. Rodolphe INA. Korobenko out
53'V. SorokinsFoul
57'E. OlokoFoul
66'D. Patijcuks INK. Leidsman out
75'A. Haidara INA. Leite out
75'A. Ogunniyi IND. Gueye out
80'F. Hasek ING. Patika out
80'M. Pudil INA. Janovskis out
84'T. Rataj INA. Dreimanis out
84'V. Isajevs INK. Iljins out
85'R. BecersFoul
86'D. OssDelay of game
88'L. StrumiaFoul

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1380Elo Rating 1499
0.39Attack 1.36
1.10Defense 2.13
0%Hit Rate 23%
13.0Shots per Game 24.0
7.0Shots on Target 6.0
3.0Corners per Game 9.0
0.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava0Wins · 0%
Draws550%
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja5Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
Virsliga12/04/2026
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga25/10/2025
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
22
Virsliga02/08/2025
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
12
Virsliga30/05/2025
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
01
Virsliga14/04/2025
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
10
Virsliga03/11/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
22
Virsliga10/08/2024
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
30
Cup14/07/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
24
Virsliga02/06/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda35217761:38+2370WWLWD
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils351491242:37+551WWWWD
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja351391349:49048DDWLD
6Super NovaSuper Nova351161835:53-1839DLLLW
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava35881937:61-2432LLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa356111827:64-3729LLWLD
9TukumsTukums355102044:67-2325LDLLD
10Ogre UnitedOgre United35472434:85-5119DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3561:3870
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3542:3751
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3549:4948
6Super NovaSuper Nova3535:5339
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3537:6132
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3527:6429
9TukumsTukums3544:6725
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3534:8519

About the FS Jelgava vs FK Liepaja forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FS Jelgava and FK Liepaja in the Virsliga table

FK Liepaja and FS Jelgava are close in the Virsliga table, 5th and 7th, with 16 points between them. League goal record so far: FS Jelgava 37-61, FK Liepaja 49-49. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.