Super Nova vs Tukums Prediction

Super Nova
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Tukums
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 10/09/2026
Super NovaSuper Nova
1-0
Finished
TukumsTukums

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+1.6%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalSTRONGModel81%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Super Nova Rest
5 days
Tukums Rest
5 days

Super Nova vs Tukums: result, form and history

Super Nova beat Tukums 1-0 in the Virsliga on 10 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%2.13
X
24%3.38
2
20%2.95
Double Chance
1X
80%1.31
X2
44%1.57
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

61'R. Kirss ING. Bombans out
61'K. Skadmanis INA. Glaudans out
62'M. Derkach INR. Melkis out
69'Bamba INN. Pathe out
73'D. Valmiers INM. Stals out
77'K. Romanovs
81'Anmanis Kaspars INK. Shigema out
81'Leoni IND. Radzenieks out
88'R. ReingolcsFoul

Lineups

Super Nova
4-4-2Coach: Maksims Rafalskis
Tukums
3-5-2Coach: Kristaps Dislers
Davis Veisbuks90D. Veisbuks
Jegors Cirulis5J. Cirulis
Mārcis Ošs25M. Ošs
Kristaps Romanovs16K. Romanovs
Rikuto Iida3R. Iida
Samate Amadou9S. Amadou
Ivans Patrikejevs8I. Patrikejevs
Eduards Emsis6E. Emsis
Raivis Kirss15R. Kirss
Kristers Skadmanis22K. Skadmanis
Valerijs Lizunovs10V. Lizunovs
Sergejs Vilkovs1S. Vilkovs
Kristers Volkovs6K. Volkovs
Davis Valmiers21D. Valmiers
Rudolfs Reingolcs8R. Reingolcs
Kristaps Klavins16K. Klavins
Bogdans Samoilovs10B. Samoilovs
Jun Toba5J. Toba
Kaspars Anmanis4K. Anmanis
Maksym Derkach17M. Derkach
Ruslans Deružinskis27R. Deružinskis
Leoni Gastaldelo11L. Gastaldelo

Super Nova Substitutes

31Toms Petrovics
2Kristers Augusts
21Milans Tihonovics
18Mikus Vasilevskis
7Agris Glaudans61'for K. Skadmanis
29Aram Baghdasaryan
30Georgijs Bombans61'for R. Kirss
27Ndiaye Pathé69'for Bamba
20Sabaly Ndiaye

Tukums Substitutes

12Alekss Kuprins
25Helvijs Joksts
88Martins Stals73'for D. Valmiers
30Marcis Susts
28Rūdolfs Meļķis62'for M. Derkach
29Koyo Shigema81'for Anmanis Kaspars
23Iļja Atligins
19Daniels Radzenieks81'for Leoni

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
TukumsTukums
1413Elo Rating 1324
0.56Attack 0.17
0.65Defense 1.85
17%Hit Rate 0%
7.3Shots per Game 6.8
2.4Shots on Target 2.1
3.2Corners per Game 1.6
2.8Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
TukumsTukums3Wins · 30%
2.9Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
Virsliga01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
Virsliga11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
Virsliga22/03/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
Virsliga28/09/2025
TukumsSuper Nova
21
Virsliga06/07/2025
Super NovaTukums
10
Virsliga16/05/2025
Super NovaTukums
11
Virsliga31/03/2025
TukumsSuper Nova
22
Virsliga17/09/2023
TukumsSuper Nova
10
Virsliga30/06/2023
Super NovaTukums
25

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
4W2D4L
05/09/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
01
W
29/08/2026
AudaSuper Nova
11
D
22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
16/08/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
01
L
09/08/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
L
20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
W
11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
L
01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
25/06/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
15
L
TukumsTukums
2W0D8L
05/09/2026
TukumsOgre United
21
W
29/08/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
14
L
21/08/2026
AudaTukums
30
L
08/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
20
L
02/08/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
W
27/07/2026
TukumsRīgas FS
01
L
18/07/2026
RigaTukums
31
L
11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
L
05/07/2026
GrobiņaTukums
31
L
01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda35217761:38+2370WWLWD
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils351491242:37+551WWWWD
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja351391349:49048DDWLD
6Super NovaSuper Nova351161835:53-1839DLLLW
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava35881937:61-2432LLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa356111827:64-3729LLWLD
9TukumsTukums355102044:67-2325LDLLD
10Ogre UnitedOgre United35472434:85-5119DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3561:3870
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3542:3751
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3549:4948
6Super NovaSuper Nova3535:5339
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3537:6132
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3527:6429
9TukumsTukums3544:6725
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3534:8519

About the Super Nova vs Tukums forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and Tukums in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, Super Nova are 6th and Tukums 9th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Super Nova 35-53, Tukums 44-67. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.