FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa Prediction

VirsligaLatvia Latvia · Regular Season - 27
FK Liepaja
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Grobiņa
Daugavas stadions 21/08/2026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3-1
Finished
GrobiņaGrobiņa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+0.1%
FK Liepaja Rest
12 days
Grobiņa Rest
4 days

FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa: result, form and history

FK Liepaja beat Grobiņa 3-1 in the Virsliga on 21 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: FK Liepaja had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Grobiņa.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.6 for Grobiņa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.60
X
17%3.80
2
17%4.78
Double Chance
1X
83%1.13
X2
34%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.65
Over 3.5
19%2.63
Under 1.5
37%4.00
Under 2.5
61%2.06
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'E. OlokoAssist: A. Ogunniyi
25'E. OlokoFoul
43'B. StraalmanFoul
46'A. Baydal INA. Aruna out
49'E. Oloko(Penalty)
58'M. Sidorovs INI. Tyshchenko out
65'A. Ogunniyi INA. Leite out
65'A. Korobenko INK. Iljins out
65'E. Rodolphe INI. Mushindi out
75'D. Patijcuks INK. Leidsman out
78'DodoAssist: I. Tyshchenko
80'A. Haidara INB. Melnis out
84'K. LeidsmanAssist: E. Oloko
88'A. Puzirevskis IND. Dobrecovs out
90+1'D. DruzininsFoul
90+3'A. ArunaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1495Elo Rating 1370
1.72Attack 1.35
1.69Defense 0.18
19%Hit Rate 19%
24.0Shots per Game 8.4
8.7Shots on Target 2.7
6.3Corners per Game 3.6
3.2Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
GrobiņaGrobiņa4Wins · 40%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
Virsliga28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
Virsliga21/09/2025
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
01
Virsliga30/06/2025
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
20
Virsliga10/05/2025
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
20
Virsliga16/03/2025
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
41
Virsliga26/10/2024
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
13
Virsliga03/08/2024
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
01
Virsliga29/05/2024
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
30
Virsliga18/04/2024
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
32

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
5W0D5L
09/08/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
W
02/08/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
L
30/07/2026
Austria ViennaFK Liepaja
31
L26/07/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
02
W23/07/2026
FK LiepajaAustria Vienna
02
L15/07/2026
DečićFK Liepaja
12
W
11/07/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
10
L
09/07/2026
FK LiepajaDečić
10
W
04/07/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFK Liepaja
31
L30/06/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
40
W
GrobiņaGrobiņa
3W1D6L
17/08/2026
AudaGrobiņa
3222
L
10/08/2026
Rīgas FSGrobiņa
61
L
02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
W
05/07/2026
GrobiņaTukums
31
W
29/06/2026
FS JelgavaGrobiņa
20
L
25/06/2026
GrobiņaAuda
10
W
20/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
10
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

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About the FK Liepaja vs Grobiņa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and Grobiņa in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja are 5th and Grobiņa 8th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 51-50, Grobiņa 28-66. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Liepaja have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.