FK Liepaja vs Super Nova Prediction

FK Liepaja
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Super Nova
Daugavas stadions 12/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel70%RiskMediumGap+7.7%
FK Liepaja Rest
13 days
Super Nova Rest
13 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.53
X
21%3.85
2
22%5.00
Double Chance
1X
78%1.11
X2
43%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.73
Over 3.5
19%2.78
Under 1.5
37%3.79
Under 2.5
61%1.97
Under 3.5
81%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'V. LizunovsAssist: N. Pathe
37'D. Gueye(Penalty)
42'K. LeidsmanFoul
45'D. PatijcuksAssist: K. Leidsman
46'R. Sitjakovs INE. Emsis out
58'D. Patijcuks INI. Patrikejevs out
58'A. Ogunniyi INFellipe Vieira out
60'I. KorotkovsFoul
66'R. Iida INI. Ndiaye out
66'N. Pathe INA. Grikovs out
69'D. Gueye INC. Amatkarijo out
72'J. CirulisFoul
76'K. Skadmanis INA. Baghdasaryan out
80'E. EmsisFoul
83'J. Cirulis INN. Barkovskis out
87'FacuFoul
88'M. OssFoul
89'K. Leidsman INI. Pulis out
89'A. Haidara INA. Traore out
90+1'M. MartinsFoul
90+3'D. OssDelay of game

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
Super NovaSuper Nova
1507Elo Rating 1438
1.55Attack 0.69
1.76Defense 2.66
34%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

FK Liepaja 44%Draw 14%42% Super Nova
3.31Avg Goals
58%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3W1D1L
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
W
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
22/05/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
31
L
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
W
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
W
Super NovaSuper Nova
2W1D2L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
W
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
W
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS29234270:21+4973WDWDW
2RigaRiga30217285:30+5570WDDLD
3AudaAuda30186648:29+1960WDWDW
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja301261241:43-242DDWLW
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils301081235:35038LDLDW
6Super NovaSuper Nova291051429:39-1035LWWDD
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava30881432:48-1632DLWWL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa305101520:51-3125DLWLL
9TukumsTukums30581743:60-1723LWLLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United30362129:76-4715LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS2970:2173
2RigaRiga3085:3070
3AudaAuda3048:2960
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3041:4342
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3035:3538
6Super NovaSuper Nova2929:3935
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3032:4832
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3020:5125
9TukumsTukums3043:6023
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3029:7615

FK Liepaja vs Super Nova Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Virsliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Virsliga

ScorePredicts covers Latvia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Liepaja and Super Nova have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.31 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.