Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja Prediction

Grobiņa
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
FK Liepaja
16/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel53%SurpriseMediumGap+6.6%
Grobiņa Rest
3 days
FK Liepaja Rest
4 days

Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja: the result in context

Grobiņa beat FK Liepaja 1-0 in the Virsliga on 16 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: FK Liepaja had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Grobiņa.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 4.7 for Grobiņa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%3.55
X
24%3.50
2
51%1.88
Double Chance
1X
49%1.79
X2
75%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.71
No
56%1.98
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.83
Over 3.5
19%3.02
Under 1.5
37%3.60
Under 2.5
62%1.89
Under 3.5
81%1.34
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'A. ArunaAssist: G. Kluskins
26'K. RupeiksFoul
46'V. Sorokins INE. Rodolphe out
46'A. Ogunniyi INI. Patrikejevs out
56'E. RodolpheFoul
57'C. Amatkarijo INA. Haidara out
58'Fellipe VieiraFoul
65'K. Leidsman INI. Pulis out
77'J. RibeiroFoul
77'O. Olatunde-Matthew INJ. Krautmanis out
81'M. Sidorovs INO. Rascevskis out
89'A. Silva INA. Traore out
90+1'I. MatyushenkoFoul

Team Comparison

GrobiņaGrobiņa
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
1374Elo Rating 1499
1.59Attack 1.36
0.64Defense 2.13
23%Hit Rate 23%
11.3Shots per Game 24.0
3.8Shots on Target 6.0
4.7Corners per Game 9.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GrobiņaGrobiņa4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja5Wins · 50%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
Virsliga21/09/2025
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
01
Virsliga30/06/2025
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
20
Virsliga10/05/2025
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
20
Virsliga16/03/2025
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
41
Virsliga26/10/2024
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
13
Virsliga03/08/2024
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
01
Virsliga29/05/2024
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
30
Virsliga18/04/2024
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
32
Cup10/07/2022
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
21

Recent Form

GrobiņaGrobiņa
0W5D5L
13/06/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
13
L
29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
L
15/05/2026
GrobiņaTukums
33
D
11/05/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
07/05/2026
AudaGrobiņa
70
L
02/05/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
D
22/04/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
01
L
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
5W2D3L
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
W
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
W
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
22/05/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
31
L
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
W
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
W
08/05/2026
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
50
L
03/05/2026
RigaFK Liepaja
10
L
28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
D
23/04/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda35217761:38+2370WWLWD
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils351491242:37+551WWWWD
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja351391349:49048DDWLD
6Super NovaSuper Nova351161835:53-1839DLLLW
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava35881937:61-2432LLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa356111827:64-3729LLWLD
9TukumsTukums355102044:67-2325LDLLD
10Ogre UnitedOgre United35472434:85-5119DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3561:3870
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3542:3751
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3549:4948
6Super NovaSuper Nova3535:5339
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3537:6132
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3527:6429
9TukumsTukums3544:6725
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3534:8519

About the Grobiņa vs FK Liepaja forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Grobiņa and FK Liepaja in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja are 5th and Grobiņa 8th, 19 points apart. League goal record so far: Grobiņa 27-64, FK Liepaja 49-49. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.