BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa Prediction

BFC Daugavpils
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Grobiņa
Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 20/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseHighGap-7.0%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap+10.3%
BFC Daugavpils Rest
3 days
Grobiņa Rest
3 days

BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa: the result in context

BFC Daugavpils beat Grobiņa 1-0 in the Virsliga on 20 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.85
X
23%3.30
2
24%3.80
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
47%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.77
No
56%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.28
Over 2.5
38%1.90
Over 3.5
18%3.14
Under 1.5
37%3.30
Under 2.5
62%1.79
Under 3.5
82%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'E. IvanovsFoul
51'G. KluskinsFoul
52'W. Mukwelle(Penalty)
54'R. BaravykasFoul
58'A. Garzha ING. Mihalcovs out
59'A. Traore INM. Sylla out
60'M. Sidorovs IND. Sirbu out
72'K. Rupeiks INA. Kholod out
72'O. Rascevskis IND. Dobrecovs out
80'G. MihalcovsFoul
86'O. Olatunde-MatthewFoul
87'R. Ndjiki(Penalty missed)
88'M. Sylla INE. Pinaskins out

Team Comparison

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1526Elo Rating 1370
1.49Attack 1.35
2.64Defense 0.18
86%Hit Rate 19%
11.4Shots per Game 8.4
5.3Shots on Target 2.7
5.0Corners per Game 3.6
1.4Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+156 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
GrobiņaGrobiņa4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga02/05/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
11
Virsliga07/03/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
01
Virsliga15/09/2025
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
32
Virsliga26/06/2025
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
32
Virsliga04/05/2025
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
Virsliga11/03/2025
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
32
Virsliga14/09/2024
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
40
Virsliga27/06/2024
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
30
Virsliga07/05/2024
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
13
Virsliga16/03/2024
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
20

Recent Form

BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1W4D5L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
01
L
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
W
17/05/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
21
L
13/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRīgas FS
01
L
08/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRiga
13
L
02/05/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
27/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
01
L
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1W5D4L
16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
W
13/06/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
13
L
29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
L
15/05/2026
GrobiņaTukums
33
D
11/05/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
07/05/2026
AudaGrobiņa
70
L
02/05/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
28/04/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
11
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

BFC Daugavpils and Grobiņa in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: BFC Daugavpils are 4th in the Virsliga, while Grobiņa sit 8th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: BFC Daugavpils 43-38, Grobiņa 28-66. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.