Tukums vs Auda Prediction

Tukums
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Auda
17/06/2026
TukumsTukums
2-1
Finished
AudaAuda

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.48
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+13.4%
Tukums Rest
5 days
Auda Rest
4 days

Tukums vs Auda: the result in context

Tukums beat Auda 2-1 in the Virsliga on 17 Jun 2026. That went against recent form: Auda had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Tukums.

Auda have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%3.82
X
24%3.74
2
50%1.74
Double Chance
1X
50%1.91
X2
74%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.55
No
56%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.17
Over 2.5
39%1.59
Over 3.5
19%2.50
Under 1.5
37%4.33
Under 2.5
61%2.25
Under 3.5
81%1.48
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'E. BongembaFoul
30'B. Samoilovs
35'O. Rubenis
39'A. EnyouFoul
50'LeoniFoul
51'R. ReingolcsFoul
62'E. OlokoAssist: B. Samoilovs
65'R. Reingolcs INR. Melkis out
65'Leoni INR. Deruzinskis out
69'B. Diedhiou INM. Fofana out
69'W. Fofana INH. Ibrahim out
76'K. Kone INJ. Vergara out
76'J. Gerold INH. Lusweki out
76'B. Samoilovs INJ. Toba out
86'D. ZanettiUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'M. Derkach INK. Klavins out
90'T. HrvojUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+3'J. VergaraFoul

Team Comparison

TukumsTukums
AudaAuda
1324Elo Rating 1610
0.17Attack 2.20
1.85Defense 1.72
0%Hit Rate 61%
6.8Shots per Game 18.2
2.1Shots on Target 7.2
1.6Corners per Game 0.9
1.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AudaAuda
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TukumsTukums2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
AudaAuda7Wins · 70%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga26/04/2026
AudaTukums
21
Virsliga02/11/2025
AudaTukums
01
Virsliga10/08/2025
TukumsAuda
10
Virsliga13/06/2025
TukumsAuda
24
Virsliga18/04/2025
AudaTukums
20
Virsliga03/11/2024
TukumsAuda
03
Virsliga02/10/2024
AudaTukums
11
Virsliga02/06/2024
TukumsAuda
14
Virsliga21/04/2024
AudaTukums
20
Virsliga05/11/2023
AudaTukums
10

Recent Form

TukumsTukums
2W4D4L
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
L
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
L
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
L
15/05/2026
GrobiņaTukums
33
D
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
W
01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
W
26/04/2026
AudaTukums
21
L
21/04/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
AudaAuda
7W1D2L
13/06/2026
AudaFS Jelgava
11
D
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
W
26/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
01
W
22/05/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
31
W
17/05/2026
AudaRīgas FS
03
L
12/05/2026
RigaAuda
41
L
07/05/2026
AudaGrobiņa
70
W
01/05/2026
Super NovaAuda
12
W
26/04/2026
AudaTukums
21
W
21/04/2026
FS JelgavaAuda
23
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda35217761:38+2370WWLWD
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils351491242:37+551WWWWD
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja351391349:49048DDWLD
6Super NovaSuper Nova351161835:53-1839DLLLW
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava35881937:61-2432LLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa356111827:64-3729LLWLD
9TukumsTukums355102044:67-2325LDLLD
10Ogre UnitedOgre United35472434:85-5119DLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3561:3870
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3542:3751
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3549:4948
6Super NovaSuper Nova3535:5339
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3537:6132
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3527:6429
9TukumsTukums3544:6725
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3534:8519

About the Tukums vs Auda forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tukums and Auda in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Auda are 3rd in the Virsliga, while Tukums sit 9th, 45 points behind. League goal record so far: Tukums 44-67, Auda 61-38. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.