Forge vs Atlético Ottawa Prediction

Canadian Premier LeagueCanada Canada · Semi-finals
Knockout
Forge
2-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Atlético Ottawa
Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton 07/11/2026
ForgeForge
2-3
Finished
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Forge Rest
5 days
Atlético Ottawa Rest
5 days

Forge vs Atlético Ottawa: result, form and history

Atlético Ottawa beat Forge 3-2 in the Canadian Premier League on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Forge tend to win more corners, 7.2 a game to 5.2 for Atlético Ottawa.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.50
X
21%4.15
2
17%5.08
Double Chance
1X
83%1.14
X2
38%2.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.62
No
43%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.08 + 1.02 = 3.10
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
61%1.54
Over 3.5
40%2.35
Under 1.5
20%4.47
Under 2.5
39%2.32
Under 3.5
60%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'Nicolas Fleuriau ChateauAssist: Kamron Habibullah
29'Anthony Aromatario
30'Penalty cancelledAnthony Aromatario
45'Tim Arnaud INRony Mbomio out
45+5'Hoce MassundaAssist: aghilas sadek
61'Emiliano·García ING. Antinoro out
67'Goal cancelledNicolas Fleuriau Chateau
68'M. Bourgeois INNana Ampomah out
71'Nana AmpomahFoul
78'aghilas sadek INIsmael Oketokoun Hassane out
78'Noah Jensen INTristan Borges out
82'Hoce Massunda INMaxime Filion out
82'Anthony Aromatario INBen Paton out
84'Nicolas Fleuriau ChateauAssist: Rony Mbomio
86'Goal confirmedNicolas Fleuriau Chateau
88'Kamron Habibullah INJean-Aniel Assi out
88'Joaquim Coulanges INTyr Walker out
90+8'Penalty confirmedMaxime Filion
90+11'D. Nimick(Penalty)
90+13'Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau

Lineups

Forge
4-2-3-1Coach: Bobby Smyrniotis
Atlético Ottawa
4-2-3-1Coach: Gustavo Leal
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.69
D. Bertaud5.916D. Bertaud
R. Rama6.924R. Rama
D. Nimick6.95D. Nimick
5555M. James
M. Jevremović6.73M. Jevremović
A. Batisse5.88A. Batisse
A. Aromatario6.523A. Aromatario
M. Bourgeois5.187M. Bourgeois
N. Jensen6.322N. Jensen
H. Massunda7.517H. Massunda
A. Sadek7.726A. Sadek
C. Kalongo7.531C. Kalongo
T. Arnaud6.137T. Arnaud
J. Dunn-Johnson6.63J. Dunn-Johnson
Sergei Kozlovskiy6.584S. Kozlovskiy
Joaquim Coulanges6.420J. Coulanges
M. Aparicio6.310M. Aparicio
D. Gutiérrez6.66D. Gutiérrez
E. García6.87E. García
B. Tabla6.213B. Tabla
K. Habibullah6.730K. Habibullah
N. Fleuriau Chateau9.421N. Fleuriau Chateau

Forge Substitutes

36Dino Bontis
19T. Borges78'for Noah Jensen6.2
12M. Filion82'for Hoce Massunda6.0
4D. Krutzen
7I. Oketokoun78'for aghilas sadek6.2
11N. Ampomah68'for M. Bourgeois71'6.8
6B. Paton82'for Anthony Aromatario5.7

Atlético Ottawa Substitutes

77R. Abraham
14J. Assi88'for Kamron Habibullah6.5
2J. Castro
1T. Crampton
4T. Walker88'for Joaquim Coulanges6.2
18Rony Mbomio45'for Tim Arnaud6.4
11G. Antinoro61'for Emiliano·García6.0

Match Stats

ForgeAtlético Ottawa
52%Ball Possession48%
12Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal2
15Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots2
11Fouls13
3Goalkeeper Saves5
427Total Passes418
365Passes Accurate341
13Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

ForgeForge
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
1628Elo Rating 1507
2.00Attack 1.72
1.87Defense 1.33
31%Hit Rate 31%
13.6Shots per Game 8.0
4.7Shots on Target 3.8
7.2Corners per Game 5.2
1.2Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ForgeForge
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ForgeForge4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2Wins · 20%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League01/11/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
22
Canadian Premier League17/10/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
12
Canadian Premier League13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
Canadian Premier League24/05/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
21
Canadian Premier League04/04/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
20
Canadian Premier League26/10/2025
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
12
Canadian Premier League21/09/2025
Atlético OttawaForge
11
Canadian Premier League17/08/2025
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
20
Canadian Premier League12/07/2025
Atlético OttawaForge
11
Canadian Premier League13/05/2025
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
22

Recent Form

ForgeForge
5W5D0L
01/11/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
22
D25/10/2026
Pacific FCForge
11
D
22/10/2026
CF MontrealForge
2141
W
17/10/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
12
W12/10/2026
ForgeYork United
50
W08/10/2026
ForgePacific FC
30
W03/10/2026
ForgeHFX Wanderers FC
33
D27/09/2026
Vancouver FCForge
11
D19/09/2026
Cavalry FCForge
11
D16/09/2026
ForgeSupra du Quebec
10
W
Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa
4W2D4L
01/11/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
22
D25/10/2026
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
21
L17/10/2026
Atlético OttawaForge
12
L12/10/2026
Pacific FCAtlético Ottawa
02
W01/10/2026
Atlético OttawaCavalry FC
32
W26/09/2026
HFX Wanderers FCAtlético Ottawa
01
W
20/09/2026
Atlético OttawaSupra du Quebec
02
L
13/09/2026
ForgeAtlético Ottawa
30
L
05/09/2026
Atlético OttawaPacific FC
00
D29/08/2026
Atlético OttawaYork United
21
W

Bracket

Semi-finals

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC28186458:23+3560WWDLL
2ForgeForge28177449:22+2758DWWWD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa281341142:45-343LLWWW
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec281151247:50-338WWDWW
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC281071139:37+237LWDDD
6York UnitedYork United28791242:65-2330WLLLW
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC28771444:50-628LLDDL
8Pacific FCPacific FC28291733:62-2915DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2858:2360
2ForgeForge2849:2258
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2842:4543
4Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2847:5038
5Vancouver FCVancouver FC2839:3737
6York UnitedYork United2842:6530
7HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2844:5028
8Pacific FCPacific FC2833:6215

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About the Forge vs Atlético Ottawa forecast

As a knockout tie in the Canadian Premier League, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Forge and Atlético Ottawa in the Canadian Premier League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Forge are 2nd in the Canadian Premier League, 15 points ahead of Atlético Ottawa in 3rd. League goal record so far: Forge 49-22, Atlético Ottawa 42-45. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Forge have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.