Twente vs FC Thun Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.20
SignalSTRONGModel76%SurpriseHighGap-1.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseHighGap+5.3%
Twente Rest
5 days
FC Thun Rest
5 days
Twente vs FC Thun: the result in context
Twente beat FC Thun 1-0 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Twente tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 3.5 for FC Thun.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
180%1.20
X11%7.50
29%11.13
Double Chance
1X91%1.05
X220%4.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.65
No47%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.6 + 0.75 = 3.35
Over 1.585%1.05
Over 2.572%1.25
Over 3.552%1.70
Under 1.515%8.10
Under 2.528%3.65
Under 3.548%2.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.3 = 9.2
Over 8.561%1.44
Over 9.543%1.75
Over 10.533%2.23
Under 8.539%2.56
Under 9.557%1.96
Under 10.567%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.50
Over 4.539%2.02
Under 3.541%2.47
Under 4.561%1.78
Match Events
24'Goal Disallowed - FoulD. Weidmann
31'F. FehrFoul
43'A. AdelgaardTripping
46'J. Bamert INN. Zoukit out
60'P. KristalSerious foul
65'R. ZerroukiAssist: D. Weidmann
66'N. Reichmuth INL. Passavant out
66'F. Dursun INN. Maier out
67'Y. Taha INK. Hlynsson out
67'D. Rots INM. Pjaca out
78'S. Orjasaeter INF. Thorvaldsen out
81'O. Mambwa INT. Strannegard out
81'B. Labeau INR. Braschi out
84'D. Weidmann INT. van den Belt out
Lineups
TwenteFC Thun
4-4-2Avg ratingAvg rating
16J. Drommel
28B. van Rooij
C3R. Pröpper
4R. Nijstad
29A. Adelgaard
6R. Zerrouki
8D. Weidmann
11D. Rots
10Y. Taha
27S. Ørjasæter
9W. Weghorst
1N. Steffen
47F. Fehr
5N. Bürgy
C19J. Bamert
2O. Mambwa
70N. Reichmuth
16J. Roth
14M. Käit
15P. Kristal
96B. Labeau
9F. DursunTwente Substitutes
14Kristian Hlynsson67'for Y. Taha
7Marko Pjaca67'for D. Rots
31Yannick Gerritsen
22Remko Pasveer
39Jip Meilink
24Krzysztof Kurowski
2Michał Rosiak
26Benjamin Nagel
18Jordy Bawuah
17Filip Thorvaldsen78'for S. Orjasaeter
20Thomas Van den Belt84'for D. Weidmann
25Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink
FC Thun Substitutes
13Nassim Zoukit46'for J. Bamert
30Nico Maier66'for F. Dursun
54Louis Passavant66'for N. Reichmuth
22Dario Walti
25Tim Spycher
18Tom Strannegård81'for O. Mambwa
37Lucien Dähler
21Dorian Derbaci
20Riccardo Braschi81'for B. Labeau
26Noah Christoffersson
80Simon Lengen
Match Stats
TwenteFC Thun 73%Ball Possession27%
6Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
22Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal0
11Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box1
9Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots3
6Fouls19
0Goalkeeper Saves4
672Total Passes249
584Passes Accurate173
87%Pass Accuracy69%
Team Comparison
TwenteFC Thun1815Elo Rating 1541
2.09Attack 0.84
1.82Defense 1.50
61%Hit Rate 14%
21.9Shots per Game 11.2
6.0Shots on Target 3.6
5.9Corners per Game 3.5
1.0Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+274 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.35 goals
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Twente- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
FC Thun- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
Twente6W3D1L
FC Thun3W2D5L
10/10/2026
FC ZurichFC Thun
FC VaduzFC ThunFC Thun
Servette FCFC Thun
Lausanne
FC ST. GallenFC ThunFC Thun
Lech PoznanLech PoznanFC Thun
FC ZurichFC Thun42
L03/10/2026FC Thun
SC Kriens
20/09/2026FC ThunSC Kriens20
WFC VaduzFC Thun12
W16/09/2026FC ThunServette FC24
L12/09/2026FC Thun
Grasshoppers
FC ThunGrasshoppers01
L06/09/2026
FC SionFC Thun
02/09/2026FC SionFC Thun32
LFC ThunLausanne00
D30/08/2026FC ST. GallenFC Thun34
W27/08/2026FC ThunLech Poznan22
D20/08/2026Lech PoznanFC Thun70
LReferee Profile
4.36Cards per match
4.21Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.36 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).
Cards come from 14 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 6 | WW |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 6 | WW |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | 6 | WW |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 6 | WW |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 4 | DW |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 4 | DW |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 12 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 4 | DW |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | WL |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LW |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 | WL |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 | LW |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 | DD |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | LD |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 | DL |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | DL |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 | LD |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | LD |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | LL |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | LL |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Brann | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 2 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 | Twente | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | St. Truiden | 2 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 | Brighton | 2 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 2 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 | Ajax | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 2 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 | SC Braga | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 | CSKA Sofia | 2 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 | FC Midtjylland | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 | Aarhus | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 | Pafos | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 | Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 | FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 | Getafe | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 | FC Thun | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 | Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Conference League
Explore more predictions
This match
- Twente Predictions
- FC Thun Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions
- UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
- UEFA Europa Conference League Stats 2026
- UEFA Europa Conference League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Europa Conference League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Europa Conference League matches
About the Twente vs FC Thun forecast
This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Europa Conference League
More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
Twente and FC Thun have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.