Getafe vs Malaga Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
2.02
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
Getafe Rest
2 days
Malaga Rest
2 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.00
X30%3.18
222%4.30
Double Chance
1X78%1.22
X252%1.81
Both Teams to Score
Yes44%2.15
No56%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 0.92 = 2.49
Over 1.566%1.50
Over 2.541%2.57
Over 3.518%4.90
Under 1.534%2.57
Under 2.559%1.50
Under 3.582%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.7 = 9
Over 8.553%1.86
Over 9.542%2.37
Over 10.530%3.27
Under 8.547%1.90
Under 9.558%1.54
Under 10.570%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.561%1.34
Over 4.541%1.73
Under 3.539%3.08
Under 4.559%2.02
Match Events
21'Johan MojicaFoul
39'Eneko JauregiPersistent infringement
45'Eneko Jauregi INAdrian Nino out
45+5'David LarrubiaFoul
54'Nemanja GudeljFoul
58'Francho Serrano GraciaFoul
65'Dakonam Ortega Djené INOrel Mangala out
67'Dani Lorenzo INPablo Martínez Andrés out
67'Joaquín Muñoz INCarlos Ruiz Rubio out
68'Ramón TerratsFoul
74'Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz INRamón Enríquez out
85'Iván AzónAssist: Martin Satriano
89'Juan Berrocal INJuan Cruz out
89'Iván Azón INSaba Sazonov out
90+4'Martin Satriano INDavid Cordón Mancha out
Lineups
GetafeMalaga
4-1-4-1Coach: FunesAvg ratingAvg rating
13D. Soria
21A. García
2D. Dakonam
24Z. Romero
22J. Mojica
20I. Azón
11R. Terrats
8N. Gudelj
16F. Serrano
10M. Satriano
19E. Ünal
1A. Herrero
31Rafita
15Á. Recio
25J. Berrocal
12J. Salinas
14R. Rodríguez
10D. Larrubia
8C. Dotor
22D. Lorenzo
11J. Muñoz
17E. JauregiGetafe Substitutes
26J. Valou
4S. Sazonov89'for Iván Azón
9Borja Mayoral
23O. Mangala65'for Dakonam Ortega Djené
1J. Letáček
31M. Hamdoune
35Diego Ferrer
3Davinchi90+4'for Martin Satriano
15S. Boselli
28Alberto Risco
Malaga Substitutes
32J. Fernandez
3Puga
5Álex Pastor
21Adrián Niño Heredia45'for Eneko Jauregi
23Izan Merino
18Pablo Martínez67'for Dani Lorenzo
13Carlos López
4Einar Galilea
6Ramón Enríquez74'for Rafael Rodríguez Ruiz
19Juan Cruz89'for Juan Berrocal
9Chupe67'for Joaquín Muñoz
30Andrés Céspedes
Match Stats
GetafeMalaga 45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal2
12Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots5
16Fouls16
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves6
320Total Passes418
267Passes Accurate354
15Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
GetafeMalaga1709Elo Rating 1648
1.55Attack 1.62
0.75Defense 1.30
42%Hit Rate 23%
11.8Shots per Game 11.7
4.4Shots on Target 5.1
5.7Corners per Game 3.9
1.9Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Getafe- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Malaga- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
Getafe2W3D5L
17/09/2026
Real BetisGetafeGetafe
Deportivo La CorunaGetafe
Celta Vigo
OsasunaGetafe
FK PartizanGetafeGetafe
Racing SantanderGetafeFK Partizan
Real BetisGetafe10
L13/09/2026GetafeDeportivo La Coruna11
D07/09/2026GetafeCelta Vigo11
D31/08/2026OsasunaGetafe10
L27/08/2026FK PartizanGetafe21
L23/08/2026GetafeRacing Santander10
W20/08/2026GetafeFK Partizan31
W15/08/2026
AlavesGetafe
AlavesGetafe30
L08/08/2026
TottenhamGetafe
TottenhamGetafe11
D06/08/2026
MonacoGetafe
MonacoGetafe10
LMalaga1W5D4L
17/09/2026Malaga
VillarrealCelta VigoMalagaMalaga
Levante
Real MadridMalagaMalagaDeportivo La Coruna
Atletico MadridMalaga
MalagaVillarreal13
L13/09/2026Celta VigoMalaga11
D06/09/2026MalagaLevante00
D30/08/2026Real MadridMalaga40
L24/08/2026MalagaDeportivo La Coruna11
D19/08/2026Atletico MadridMalaga20
L12/08/2026Malaga
Fulham
MalagaFulham22
D07/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
AD Ceuta FCMalaga21
L06/08/2026Malaga
Al-Arabi SC
MalagaAl-Arabi SC42
W30/07/2026Malaga
Al-Ittihad FC
MalagaAl-Ittihad FC22
DReferee Profile
3.68Cards per match
3.51Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.68 cards a match, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).
Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46:12 | +34 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | +14 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | +18 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:15 | +3 | 23 | WDLWD |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 17 | LWLDL |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | WLDDD |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 14 | WLDLD |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 | LDWDW |
| 11 | Alaves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | LDDDW |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 12 | WLDLW |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | WLLDL |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 11 | LLWLD |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 5 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 46:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 22:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 28:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 18:15 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 20:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 11 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 11 | 15:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Alaves | 11 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 8:16 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 15:29 | 11 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 14:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 16:21 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 8:21 | 5 |
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About the Getafe vs Malaga forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Getafe and Malaga in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Getafe are 13th and Malaga 20th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Getafe 8-16, Malaga 8-21. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Getafe and Malaga have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.