GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction

GIL Vicente
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Casa Pia
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos· Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal 24/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.92
SignalGOODModel57%RiskMediumGap+5.6%
GIL Vicente Rest
14 days
Casa Pia Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.70
X
24%3.50
2
21%5.33
Double Chance
1X
80%1.15
X2
45%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.15
No
45%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 0.96 = 2.47
Over 1.5
68%1.42
Over 2.5
45%2.31
Over 3.5
22%4.33
Under 1.5
32%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.60
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.51
Over 9.5
53%1.85
Over 10.5
41%2.32
Under 8.5
36%2.37
Under 9.5
47%1.86
Under 10.5
59%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
51%1.32
Over 4.5
34%1.72
Under 3.5
49%2.77
Under 4.5
66%1.95

Match Events

20'G. Pinto MartinsAssist: H. Hernandez
35'S. Perez
45'H. Hernandez(Penalty)
60'H. Araujo INCassiano out
60'A. Lausen IND. Prioste out
60'J. Fernandes INMurilo de Souza out
69'A. Jatta INC. Mendes out
69'S. Perez INGabi out
74'H. Hernandez INCarlos Eduardo out
74'F. Caseres INZe Carlos out
77'A. Conte INP. Rosas out
77'Rochinha INA. Dafe out
79'G. Pinto Martins INA. Moreira out
82'M. Elimbi

Lineups

GIL Vicente
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Pinto
Casa Pia
4-3-3Coach: Filipe Coelho
Lucão30LucãoLucão
Ricardo Esgaio47R. EsgaioRicardo Esgaio
Marvin Elimbi Gilbert4M. Elimbi GilbertMarvin Elimbi Gilbert
Jonathan Buatu39J. BuatuJonathan Buatu
Weverson26WeversonWeverson
Facundo Cáseres5F. CáseresFacundo Cáseres
Andreas Lausen12A. LausenAndreas Lausen
Joelson Fernandes11J. FernandesJoelson Fernandes
Santi García10S. GarcíaSanti García
Gil Martins20G. MartinsGil Martins
Héctor Hernández23H. HernándezHéctor Hernández
André Gomes31A. GomesAndré Gomes
André Geraldes18A. GeraldesAndré Geraldes
João Goulart4J. GoulartJoão Goulart
David Sousa43D. SousaDavid Sousa
Abdu Conté5A. ContéAbdu Conté
Lawrence Ofori80L. OforiLawrence Ofori
Selvi Clúa16S. ClúaSelvi Clúa
Sebastián Pérez24S. PérezSebastián Pérez
Henrique Araújo9H. AraújoHenrique Araújo
Alassana Jatta20A. JattaAlassana Jatta
Rochinha10RochinhaRochinha

GIL Vicente Substitutes

94SamuelG
45David MoreiraD
3Antonio EspigaresD
2José SilvaD
7Tidjany TouréF
86Diogo PriosteM
77MuriloF
32Martin FernándezM
6Zé CarlosM
27Agustín MoreiraF
99Mohamed KabaF
29Carlos EduardoF

Casa Pia Substitutes

95Ivan MandićG
22Daniel AzevedoG
75Pedro RosasD
27Kaique RochaD
19Kevin PrietoF
98JPM
59Abdu DafeM
11Raúl BlancoM
8Gabi PereiraM
21Aymen ZouinF
99Claudio MendesF
90CassianoF

Match Stats

GIL VicenteCasa Pia
56%Ball Possession44%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal9
6Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots2
11Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
503Total Passes381
445Passes Accurate319
88%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1628Elo Rating 1523
0.78Attack 0.27
1.85Defense 0.41
14%Hit Rate 0%
14.8Shots per Game 10.2
3.6Shots on Target 2.8
3.2Corners per Game 3.8
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+105 Elo
📈BTTS Trend66% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Casa PiaCasa Pia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

GIL Vicente 27%Draw 54%19% Casa Pia
1.79Avg Goals
66%BTTS Rate
27%Over 2.5

Recent Form

GIL VicenteGIL Vicente
1W2D2L
09/08/2026
GIL VicenteRio Ave
10
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D
18/07/2026
GIL VicenteFelgueiras 1932
11
D
16/05/2026
Sporting CPGIL Vicente
30
L
11/05/2026
GIL VicenteArouca
13
L
Casa PiaCasa Pia
1W0D4L
17/08/2026
Casa PiaBenfica
07
L
08/08/2026
MaritimoCasa Pia
10
L
01/08/2026
LeixoesCasa Pia
62
L
25/07/2026
Benfica BCasa Pia
10
L
18/07/2026
EstrelaCasa Pia
12
W

Referee Profile

Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal · 4 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
25.2Avg Fouls
Stricter than 35% of referees analysed

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto660015:2+1318WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica651021:4+1716WWWWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP642015:6+914DWWWW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara642011:4+714WWDWW
5AroucaArouca63128:5+310LDWLW
6EstrelaEstrela624014:12+210DWDWD
7SC BragaSC Braga53117:5+210WLWWD
8GIL VicenteGIL Vicente62225:508DLLDW
9Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu62227:9-28WWLDL
10AlvercaAlverca72239:11-28WWLDL
11MaritimoMaritimo72238:12-48DLLLD
12FamalicaoFamalicao71429:7+27WDDDL
13MoreirenseMoreirense62137:13-67WLLWL
14Vitória SCVitória SC61144:7-34LDLWL
15NacionalNacional71157:15-84LLLLL
16Rio AveRio Ave71155:15-104LDLLW
17EstorilEstoril60242:8-62LDLLL
18Casa PiaCasa Pia60151:15-141LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto615:218
2BenficaBenfica621:416
3Sporting CPSporting CP615:614
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara611:414
5AroucaArouca68:510
6EstrelaEstrela614:1210
7SC BragaSC Braga57:510
8GIL VicenteGIL Vicente65:58
9Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu67:98
10AlvercaAlverca79:118
11MaritimoMaritimo78:128
12FamalicaoFamalicao79:77
13MoreirenseMoreirense67:137
14Vitória SCVitória SC64:74
15NacionalNacional77:154
16Rio AveRio Ave75:154
17EstorilEstoril62:82
18Casa PiaCasa Pia61:151
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GIL Vicente vs Casa Pia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primeira Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

GIL Vicente and Casa Pia have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.79 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.