Arouca vs Maritimo Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Arouca vs Maritimo: result, form and history
Arouca beat Maritimo 2-1 in the Primeira Liga on 29 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Referee Gustavo Correia averages 6.06 cards a game, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Arouca
Avg ratingAvg rating
12I. de Arruabarrena
28T. Esgaio
15J. Sánchez
3J. Fontán
18O. Lebedenko
6E. van Ee
8T. Fukui
19A. Trezza
10P. Gozálbez
7N. Djouahra
17Barbero
13A. Pastor
2I. Julião
4R. Fernandes
44R. Correia
23P. Henrique
18V. Danilović
6R. Andrade
35B. Limbombe
14R. Guzzo
10M. Tejón
17A. ButzkeArouca Substitutes
Maritimo Substitutes
Match Stats
AroucaMaritimo Team Comparison
AroucaMaritimoAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Arouca- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Maritimo- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Arouca1Wins · 25%1Wins · 25%Previous meetings
08/04/2023AroucaMaritimo23/10/2022MaritimoArouca14/02/2022AroucaMaritimo13/09/2021MaritimoAroucaRecent Form
Arouca
FC PortoAroucaArouca
Moreirense
GuimaraesArouca
Lusitânia LourosaArouca
Santa ClaraArouca
FamalicaoArouca
FeirenseArouca
Rio AveAroucaArouca
Tondela
GIL VicenteAroucaMaritimoMaritimo
Academico ViseuFamalicaoMaritimoMaritimo
Casa PiaMaritimo
EstrelaMaritimo
CamachaMaritimo
LeixoesMaritimo
AVSMaritimo
Chaves
PenafielMaritimoMaritimoLeixoesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
6.06 cards a match, 0.65 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.41).
Cards come from 120 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25:4 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 25 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 15 | DLWWD |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | +1 | 14 | WLLLD |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 10 |  Alverca | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | LLWWW |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 | LWLWD |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 10 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 10 | 8:7 | 15 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 10 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 10 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 10 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 10 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
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About the Arouca vs Maritimo forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Arouca and Maritimo in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Arouca are 5th and Maritimo 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Arouca 13-7, Maritimo 9-21. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Arouca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.