Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

EredivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 4
Groningen
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Fortuna Sittard
Euroborg, Groningen· Martijn Vos, Netherlands 28/08/2026
GroningenGroningen
2-3
Finished
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalGOODModel64%RiskMediumGap+6.5%
Groningen Rest
5 days
Fortuna Sittard Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.48
X
22%4.70
2
14%6.00
Double Chance
1X
86%1.12
X2
36%2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.60
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 1.07 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.45
Over 3.5
33%2.19
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
40%2.63
Under 3.5
67%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.35
Over 9.5
49%1.61
Over 10.5
39%1.97
Under 8.5
40%2.79
Under 9.5
51%2.16
Under 10.5
61%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.3 = 3.7
Over 3.5
46%1.53
Over 4.5
22%2.07
Under 3.5
54%2.25
Under 4.5
78%1.65

Match Events

4'R. GuthHolding
12'M. IhattarenAssist: L. Zeefuik
19'D. van der WerffAssist: J. Schreuders
28'L. ZeefuikAssist: E. Michut
64'T. Land INJ. Ondrejka out
64'B. Willumsson INO. Zawada out
65'J. OndrejkaHolding
68'M. Ihattaren INN. de Groot out
69'J. HubnerHolding
72'A. DescotteAssist: E. Michut
80'S. Zand INY. Oukili out
81'R. Guth INS. van Ottele out
81'W. Prins INT. Hernes out
82'M. Csinger INN. Eggens out
82'D. van der Werff INA. Nordin out
87'J. HubnerOG
88'L. ZeefuikUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'E. VaessenUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+7'T. HernesTripping
90+4'A. Descotte INM. Gbemou out
90+1'E. MichutDelay of game

Lineups

Groningen
4-2-3-1Coach: Dick Lukkien
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2Coach: Danny Buijs
Etienne Vaessen1E. VaessenEtienne Vaessen
Jorg Schreuders14J. SchreudersJorg Schreuders
Thijmen Blokzijl3T. BlokzijlThijmen Blokzijl
Márk Csinger4M. CsingerMárk Csinger
Wouter Prins2W. PrinsWouter Prins
Tygo Land18T. LandTygo Land
Tika de Jonge8T. de JongeTika de Jonge
David van der Werff17D. van der WerffDavid van der Werff
Thom van Bergen26T. van BergenThom van Bergen
Pelle Clement24P. ClementPelle Clement
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson9B. Darri WillumssonBrynjólfur Darri Willumsson
Mattijs Branderhorst31M. BranderhorstMattijs Branderhorst
Ivo Pinto12I. PintoIvo Pinto
Philip Brittijn23P. BrittijnPhilip Brittijn
Rodrigo Guth3R. GuthRodrigo Guth
Justin Hubner28J. HubnerJustin Hubner
Jasper Dahlhaus8J. DahlhausJasper Dahlhaus
Mohamed Ihattaren52M. IhattarenMohamed Ihattaren
Édouard Michut20É. MichutÉdouard Michut
Shiloh 't Zand22S. 't ZandShiloh 't Zand
Anthony Descotte9A. DescotteAnthony Descotte
Lequincio Zeefuik25L. ZeefuikLequincio Zeefuik

Groningen Substitutes

11Jacob OndrejkaF
19Oskar ZawadaF
13Lovro ŠtubljarG
73Daan ErdmanG
15Elvis Van der LaanD
12Nikolas BrandisD
42Jesper MosselaarD
7Travis HernesM
16Alvin NordinM
44Jismerai DillemaM
53Jahelille HallM
20Nils EggensF

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

15Nick de GrootD
33Kaylen ReitmaierG
1Luuk KoopmansG
6Syb Van OtteleD
39Ganni BuyukhanM
38Moussa GbemouM
36Alhaji BahD
5Yassin OukiliM
44David StockbrinkF

Match Stats

GroningenFortuna Sittard
68%Ball Possession32%
7Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
22Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal5
15Shots off Goal1
16Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
6Fouls8
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
544Total Passes274
475Passes Accurate206
87%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

GroningenGroningen
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
1702Elo Rating 1641
1.90Attack 1.96
1.18Defense 0.33
27%Hit Rate 56%
14.2Shots per Game 8.8
4.0Shots on Target 4.5
4.6Corners per Game 2.2
0.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GroningenGroningen
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Groningen 42%Draw 14%44% Fortuna Sittard
1.86Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

GroningenGroningen
3W1D1L
23/08/2026
PSV EindhovenGroningen
51
L16/08/2026
ADO Den HaagGroningen
14
W09/08/2026
GroningenUtrecht
21
W
01/08/2026
GroningenValladolid
10
W
25/07/2026
GroningenVolos NFC
00
D
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
2W1D2L
22/08/2026
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
02
L15/08/2026
Fortuna SittardCambuur
31
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
W
25/07/2026
MetzFortuna Sittard
31
L

Referee Profile

Martijn Vos, Netherlands · 4 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 74% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven651022:7+1516WWWWW
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar651017:6+1116DWWWW
3FeyenoordFeyenoord642020:7+1314WWDWD
4AjaxAjax641119:7+1213WWLWD
5TwenteTwente641112:5+713WWDWW
6GroningenGroningen732215:13+211WDDLL
7ExcelsiorExcelsior631213:7+610LDWWL
8Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard631212:14-210LWWLW
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
11HeerenveenHeerenveen61327:9-26DLDLD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam612310:13-35LDLDW
13TelstarTelstar61235:11-65DLDLL
14UtrechtUtrecht612311:19-85WDLDL
15CambuurCambuur712410:19-95DWDLL
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle71156:20-144LLDLW
17Willem IIWillem II60246:19-132LDLDL
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag70257:17-102DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven622:716
2AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar617:616
3FeyenoordFeyenoord620:714
4AjaxAjax619:713
5TwenteTwente612:513
6GroningenGroningen715:1311
7ExcelsiorExcelsior613:710
8Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard612:1410
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
10NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
11HeerenveenHeerenveen67:96
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam610:135
13TelstarTelstar65:115
14UtrechtUtrecht611:195
15CambuurCambuur710:195
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle76:204
17Willem IIWillem II66:192
18ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag77:172
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Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortuna Sittard have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Groningen and Fortuna Sittard have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.86 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.