Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

EredivisieNetherlands Netherlands · Regular Season - 3
Fortuna Sittard
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard· Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands 22/08/2026
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
0-2
Finished
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+12.2%
Fortuna Sittard Rest
6 days
AZ Alkmaar Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%5.00
X
21%4.32
2
60%1.59
Double Chance
1X
40%2.30
X2
81%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.52
No
42%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 2.09 = 3.16
Over 1.5
85%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.48
Over 3.5
32%2.19
Under 1.5
15%5.50
Under 2.5
41%2.60
Under 3.5
68%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.9 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.38
Over 9.5
53%1.61
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
36%2.80
Under 9.5
47%2.16
Under 10.5
57%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.4
Over 3.5
32%1.98
Over 4.5
16%2.85
Under 3.5
68%1.75
Under 4.5
84%1.30

Match Events

5'O. RomenyTripping
46'Weslley Patati INC. Stengs out
46'D. Kwakman INJ. Hornkamp out
46'A. Descotte INI. Pinto out
58'J. Hornkamp
66'N. de Groot INJ. Dahlhaus out
66'S. Zand INM. Ihattaren out
67'S. van Ottele INY. Oukili out
69'K. Smit INJ. Clasie out
75'S. Wylin INR. Guth out
86'E. Dijkstra INS. Maikuma out
86'M. Meerdink INA. Oufkir out
90+3'A. OufkirFoul
90+4'J. HornkampAssist: C. Stengs

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3Coach: Danny Buijs
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Coach: Leeroy Echteld
Mattijs Branderhorst31M. BranderhorstMattijs Branderhorst
Siebe Wylin2S. WylinSiebe Wylin
Syb Van Ottele6S. Van OtteleSyb Van Ottele
Justin Hubner28J. HubnerJustin Hubner
Nick de Groot15N. de GrootNick de Groot
Shiloh 't Zand22S. 't ZandShiloh 't Zand
Philip Brittijn23P. BrittijnPhilip Brittijn
Édouard Michut20É. MichutÉdouard Michut
Ole Romeny10O. RomenyOle Romeny
Lequincio Zeefuik25L. ZeefuikLequincio Zeefuik
Anthony Descotte9A. DescotteAnthony Descotte
Jari De Busser28J. De BusserJari De Busser
Elijah Dijkstra22E. DijkstraElijah Dijkstra
Wouter Goes3W. GoesWouter Goes
Lewis Schouten4L. SchoutenLewis Schouten
Mateo Chávez5M. ChávezMateo Chávez
Dave Kwakman21D. KwakmanDave Kwakman
Peer Koopmeiners6P. KoopmeinersPeer Koopmeiners
Weslley Patati7W. PatatiWeslley Patati
Kees Smit10K. SmitKees Smit
Ro-Zangelo Daal11R. DaalRo-Zangelo Daal
Mexx Meerdink9M. MeerdinkMexx Meerdink

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

12Ivo PintoD
8Jasper DahlhausD
52Mohamed IhattarenM
5Yassin OukiliM
3Rodrigo GuthD
33Kaylen ReitmaierG
1Luuk KoopmansG
38Moussa GbemouM
44David StockbrinkF

AZ Alkmaar Substitutes

14Calvin StengsM
19Jizz HornkampF
8Jordy ClasieM
2Seiya MaikumaD
24Ayoub OufkirF
1Rome Jayden Owusu-OduroG
12Hobie VerhulstG
31Rion IchiharaD
23Billy van DuijlD
13Sam De GrandD
75Hessel de WitM
45Bendegúz KovácsF

Match Stats

Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
28%Ball Possession72%
1Corner Kicks15
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal11
2Shots off Goal7
2Shots Inside Box18
2Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots8
9Fouls11
0Offsides2
9Goalkeeper Saves2
250Total Passes644
175Passes Accurate577
70%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
1641Elo Rating 1869
1.96Attack 1.92
0.33Defense 1.78
56%Hit Rate 50%
8.8Shots per Game 17.9
4.5Shots on Target 6.1
2.2Corners per Game 7.9
1.9Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend37% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Fortuna Sittard 39%Draw 0%61% AZ Alkmaar
2.93Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
2W1D2L
15/08/2026
Fortuna SittardCambuur
31
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
W
25/07/2026
MetzFortuna Sittard
31
L
17/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusFortuna Sittard
31
L
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
5W0D0L
15/08/2026
UtrechtAZ Alkmaar
14
W08/08/2026
AZ AlkmaarADO Den Haag
20
W
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
W
25/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarOlympiakos Piraeus
32
W
22/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGenk
40
W

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands · 13 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.8Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 12% of referees analysed

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar761018:6+1219WDWWW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord752025:7+1817WWWDW
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven751124:10+1416LWWWW
4TwenteTwente751115:7+816WWWDW
5AjaxAjax742121:9+1214DWWLW
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard741213:14-113WLWWL
7ExcelsiorExcelsior732215:9+611DLDWW
8GroningenGroningen732215:13+211WDDLL
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles623115:13+29DDLWD
10HeerenveenHeerenveen723211:9+29WDLDL
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen621311:12-17LDLWW
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam712410:17-75LLDLD
13TelstarTelstar71245:12-75LDLDL
14CambuurCambuur712410:19-95DWDLL
15UtrechtUtrecht712411:24-135LWDLD
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle71156:20-144LLDLW
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag70257:17-102DLLDL
18Willem IIWillem II70256:20-142LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar718:619
2FeyenoordFeyenoord725:717
3PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven724:1016
4TwenteTwente715:716
5AjaxAjax721:914
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard713:1413
7ExcelsiorExcelsior715:911
8GroningenGroningen715:1311
9GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles615:139
10HeerenveenHeerenveen711:99
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen611:127
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam710:175
13TelstarTelstar75:125
14CambuurCambuur710:195
15UtrechtUtrecht711:245
16PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle76:204
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag77:172
18Willem IIWillem II76:202
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Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eredivisie fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eredivisie

ScorePredicts covers Netherlands football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortuna Sittard have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.93 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.