Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Fortuna Sittard
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard·Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalGOODModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Fortuna Sittard Rest
6 days
AZ Alkmaar Rest
6 days

Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar: result, form and history

AZ Alkmaar beat Fortuna Sittard 2-0 in the Eredivisie on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: AZ Alkmaar had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Fortuna Sittard.

AZ Alkmaar have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk averages 4.00 cards a game, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%5.00
X
21%4.32
2
60%1.59
Double Chance
1X
40%2.30
X2
81%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.52
No
42%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.07 + 2.09 = 3.16
Over 1.5
85%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.48
Over 3.5
32%2.19
Under 1.5
15%5.50
Under 2.5
41%2.60
Under 3.5
68%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 5.9 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.38
Over 9.5
53%1.61
Over 10.5
43%2.00
Under 8.5
36%2.80
Under 9.5
47%2.16
Under 10.5
57%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.7 = 3.4
Over 3.5
32%1.98
Over 4.5
16%2.85
Under 3.5
68%1.75
Under 4.5
84%1.30

Match Events

5'O. RomenyTripping
46'Weslley Patati INC. Stengs out
46'D. Kwakman INJ. Hornkamp out
46'A. Descotte INI. Pinto out
58'J. Hornkamp
66'N. de Groot INJ. Dahlhaus out
66'S. Zand INM. Ihattaren out
67'S. van Ottele INY. Oukili out
69'K. Smit INJ. Clasie out
75'S. Wylin INR. Guth out
86'E. Dijkstra INS. Maikuma out
86'M. Meerdink INA. Oufkir out
90+3'A. OufkirFoul
90+4'J. HornkampAssist: C. Stengs

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3Coach: Danny Buijs
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Coach: Leeroy Echteld
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating7.06
Mattijs BranderhorstC8.931M. Branderhorst
Siebe Wylin6.22S. Wylin
Syb Van Ottele6.96S. Van Ottele
Justin Hubner6.928J. Hubner
Nick de Groot6.715N. de Groot
Shiloh 't Zand7.222S. 't Zand
Philip Brittijn6.323P. Brittijn
Édouard Michut6.620É. Michut
Ole Romeny3.010O. Romeny
Lequincio Zeefuik6.225L. Zeefuik
Anthony Descotte6.69A. Descotte
Jari De Busser7.928J. De Busser
Elijah Dijkstra5.722E. Dijkstra
Wouter Goes7.53W. Goes
Lewis Schouten7.24L. Schouten
Mateo Chávez7.55M. Chávez
Dave Kwakman7.221D. Kwakman
Peer KoopmeinersC7.96P. Koopmeiners
Weslley Patati6.27W. Patati
Kees Smit6.510K. Smit
Ro-Zangelo Daal6.611R. Daal
Mexx Meerdink6.59M. Meerdink

Fortuna Sittard Substitutes

12Ivo Pinto46'for A. Descotte6.9
8Jasper Dahlhaus66'for N. de Groot6.5
52Mohamed Ihattaren66'for S. Zand6.5
5Yassin Oukili67'for S. van Ottele6.5
3Rodrigo Guth75'for S. Wylin6.6
33Kaylen Reitmaier
1Luuk Koopmans
38Moussa Gbemou
44David Stockbrink

AZ Alkmaar Substitutes

14Calvin Stengs46'for Weslley Patati7.7
19Jizz Hornkamp46'for D. Kwakman58'90+4'8.2
8Jordy Clasie69'for K. Smit6.9
2Seiya Maikuma86'for E. Dijkstra6.9
24Ayoub Oufkir86'for M. Meerdink90+3'6.6
1Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
12Hobie Verhulst
31Rion Ichihara
23Billy van Duijl
13Sam De Grand
75Hessel de Wit
45Bendegúz Kovács

Match Stats

Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
28%Ball Possession72%
1Corner Kicks15
0Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots26
2Shots on Goal11
2Shots off Goal7
2Shots Inside Box18
2Shots Outside Box8
0Blocked Shots8
9Fouls11
0Offsides2
9Goalkeeper Saves2
250Total Passes644
175Passes Accurate577
70%Pass Accuracy90%

Team Comparison

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
1685Elo Rating 1797
1.39Attack 1.21
1.80Defense 1.56
19%Hit Rate 17%
10.2Shots per Game 15.8
4.1Shots on Target 5.0
3.9Corners per Game 5.3
1.4Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard2Wins · 20%
Draws00%
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar8Wins · 80%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Eredivisie04/04/2026
AZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
20
Eredivisie21/12/2025
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
43
Eredivisie23/02/2025
AZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
10
Eredivisie06/10/2024
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
10
Eredivisie17/02/2024
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
12
Eredivisie01/10/2023
AZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
40
Eredivisie16/04/2023
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
03
Eredivisie22/01/2023
AZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
31
Eredivisie16/01/2022
Fortuna SittardAZ Alkmaar
12
Eredivisie02/12/2021
AZ AlkmaarFortuna Sittard
21

Recent Form

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
5W1D4L
15/08/2026
Fortuna SittardCambuur
31
W
08/08/2026
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard
22
D
31/07/2026
Fortuna SittardApoel Nicosia
21
W
25/07/2026
MetzFortuna Sittard
31
L
17/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusFortuna Sittard
31
L
11/07/2026
Fortuna SittardGenk
21
W
03/07/2026
Fortuna SittardK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
17/05/2026
UtrechtFortuna Sittard
20
L
10/05/2026
Fortuna SittardPEC Zwolle
32
W
03/05/2026
Fortuna SittardFeyenoord
12
L
AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar
6W4D0L
15/08/2026
UtrechtAZ Alkmaar
14
W
08/08/2026
AZ AlkmaarADO Den Haag
20
W
02/08/2026
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar
04
W
25/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarOlympiakos Piraeus
32
W
22/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGenk
40
W
18/07/2026
Zulte WaregemAZ Alkmaar
11
D
11/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarAlmere City FC
21
W
04/07/2026
AZ AlkmaarGent
33
D
17/05/2026
AZ AlkmaarNAC Breda
33
D
10/05/2026
FeyenoordAZ Alkmaar
11
D

Referee Profile

Serdar Gozubuyuk267 matches

4.01Cards per match
3.87Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Serdar Gozubuyuk4.00
Other referees3.49

4.00 cards a match, 0.51 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.49).

Cards come from 259 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eredivisie 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1282240:15+2526WWDLW
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1274136:17+1925LDDWW
3AjaxAjax1274132:15+1725DWWWD
4TwenteTwente1273230:12+1824DWWLD
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1272324:16+823WLLDL
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1263324:16+821WWWWL
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1255220:20020DDWDD
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1245324:27-317WLWLD
9GroningenGroningen1243529:28+115LLDLW
10CambuurCambuur1243525:27-215LWWDW
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1235420:21-114WLDDD
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1233621:29-812LWLWD
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1233613:24-1112DWDWL
14UtrechtUtrecht1233621:34-1312LLDWW
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1232716:29-1311LLLLL
16TelstarTelstar1224618:25-710DWLLD
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1223716:25-99WLLWD
18Willem IIWillem II1203911:40-293DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven1240:1526
2FeyenoordFeyenoord1236:1725
3AjaxAjax1232:1525
4TwenteTwente1230:1224
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar1224:1623
6HeerenveenHeerenveen1224:1621
7Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard1220:2020
8GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles1224:2717
9GroningenGroningen1229:2815
10CambuurCambuur1225:2715
11NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen1220:2114
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam1221:2912
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle1213:2412
14UtrechtUtrecht1221:3412
15ExcelsiorExcelsior1216:2911
16TelstarTelstar1218:2510
17ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag1216:259
18Willem IIWillem II1211:403
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About the Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie table

AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard are close in the Eredivisie table, 5th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Fortuna Sittard 20-20, AZ Alkmaar 24-16. The full standings are on the Eredivisie Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.